Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. and Molina, Angel L., Jr. (2009): Follow the leader: Mexico hurt by U.S. slowdown. Published in: Mexico Consensus Economic Forecast , Vol. 12, No. First Quarter 2009, Number 1 (25. March 2009): pp. 1-4.
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As economic conditions in the United States have faltered, the impact on the Mexican economy has been negative. The short-term consensus projections for Mexico reflect this and suggest that the downturn is not likely to loosen its grip on the Mexican economy until the second half of 2009 or even early 2010. Panelist projections for real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2009 are consistently negative, ranging from a relatively moderate contraction of -0.8 percent to a fairly sharp decline of -4.0 percent. The consensus GDP forecast anticipates GDP will shrink by -2.2 percent in 2009.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Follow the leader: Mexico hurt by U.S. slowdown|
|Keywords:||Mexico, Survey, Economic Forecast|
|Subjects:||E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles
O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O54 - Latin America ; Caribbean
|Depositing User:||Thomas Fullerton|
|Date Deposited:||08. Apr 2011 17:11|
|Last Modified:||30. Dec 2015 19:42|
INEGI, March 2009, "Producto Interno Bruto," Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Geografia: Mexico, DF.