Goyal, Ashima and Pujari, Ayan Kumar (2005): Identifying long run supply curve of India. Published in: Journal of Quantitative Economics , Vol. Volume, No. New Series , No. 2 (July 2005): pp. 1-15.
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Identifications of a vertical then a horizontal supply curve are successively imposed on Indian time series inflation and industrial output growth data in a two-equation Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model. The results provide an indirect test of the identifications. A high elasticity of long run supply cannot be ruled out, because supply shocks have a large impact on inflation and demand has a large and persistent effect on output levels. But supply is subject to frequent shocks. Estimated structural shocks capture historical recessions and turning points well. Pro-cyclical policy induced demand shocks aggravated negative supply shocks or failed to take full advantage of positive supply side developments.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Identifying long run supply curve of India|
|Keywords:||Horizontal and vertical supply curves, demand and supply shocks, Structural VAR, identification, historical decomposition.|
|Subjects:||C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation
|Depositing User:||ashima goyal|
|Date Deposited:||21. Jul 2010 10:16|
|Last Modified:||14. Feb 2013 17:54|
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