Evolución del supuesto de normalidad en finanzas: un análisis epistemológico del tipo Popper-Kuhn ¿Por qué la normalidad no cae en desuso?

Jaramillo-López, Oscar Andrés and Forero-Laverde, Germán and Venegas-Martínez, Francisco (2020): Evolución del supuesto de normalidad en finanzas: un análisis epistemológico del tipo Popper-Kuhn ¿Por qué la normalidad no cae en desuso?

Abstract

The debate on the assumption of normality, as a necessary principle or not, in the modeling and analysis of some financial phenomena has been a common thread in the development of various areas of finance. The epistemological debate underlies a mathematical model that, despite its limitations, has had a profound impact on the evolution and development of finance. This assumption has been forged since its origin as the search for a mimetic model of reality. The Popperian and Kuhnian analysis proposed in this investigation shows that more than shadows, the assumption has brought light and has raised the technical and theoretical level through multiple generalizations and extensions. In addition to that the popularity of the assumption of normality continues. /

El debate del supuesto de normalidad, como principio necesario o no, en el modelado y análisis de algunos fenómenos financieros ha sido un hilo conductor en el desarrollo diversas áreas de las finanzas. El debate epistemológico subyace en un modelo matemático que, a pesar de sus limitaciones, ha tenido un profundo impacto en la evolución y el desarrollo de las finanzas. Dicho supuesto se ha forjado desde su origen como la búsqueda de un modelo mimético de la realidad. El análisis popperiano y kuhniano propuesto en esta investigación muestra que más que sombras, el supuesto ha traído luz y ha elevado el nivel técnico y teórico a través de múltiples generalizaciones y extensiones; además de que la popularidad del supuesto de normalidad sigue aún vigente.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Evolution of the assumption of normality in finance: a epistemological analysis of the Popper-Kuhn type. Why does not normality fall into disuse?)
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: Normal distribution, methodological aspects, history of financial concepts, history of economic thought. / Distribución normal, aspectos metodológicos, historia de conceptos financieros, historia del pensamiento económico.
• Subjects: B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B4 - Economic Methodology > B41 - Economic Methodology; G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General

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