Martín-Román, Ángel L. (2020): Beyond the added-worker and the discouraged-worker effects: the entitled-worker effect.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_103973.pdf Download (619kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper identifies and analyses a new effect related to the cyclical behavior of labor supply: the Entitled-Worker Effect (EWE). This effect is different from the well-known Added-Worker Effect (AWE) and Discouraged-Worker Effect (DWE). The EWE is a consequence of one of the most important labor institutions: the unemployment benefit (UB). We develop a model with uncertainty about the results of the job seeking and transactions costs linked to such a search process in which a kind of moral hazard appears. This creates new incentives for workers and produces an additional counter-cyclical pressure on aggregate labor supply, but with a different foundation from that of the AWE. Finally, we show some empirical evidence supporting the EWE for the Spanish case.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Beyond the added-worker and the discouraged-worker effects: the entitled-worker effect |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Labor force participation, Business Cycle, Unemployment, Added-worker effect, Discouraged-worker effect, Unemployment Benefit |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E24 - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational Income Distribution ; Aggregate Human Capital ; Aggregate Labor Productivity E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H55 - Social Security and Public Pensions J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J22 - Time Allocation and Labor Supply J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers > J64 - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers > J65 - Unemployment Insurance ; Severance Pay ; Plant Closings |
Item ID: | 103973 |
Depositing User: | Ángel Martín-Román |
Date Deposited: | 10 Nov 2020 08:05 |
Last Modified: | 10 Nov 2020 08:05 |
References: | Addison, J. T., & Portugal, P. (2008). How do different entitlements to unemployment benefits affect the transitions from unemployment into employment? Economics Letters, 101(3), 206-209. Atkinson, A. B., & Micklewright, J. (1991). Unemployment compensation and labor market transitions: a critical review. Journal of Economic Literature, 29(4), 1679-1727. Bande, R., & Martín-Román, Á. (2018). Regional differences in the Okun's Relationship: New Evidence for Spain (1980-2015). Investigaciones Regionales, (41), 137-165. Barth, P. S., (1968). Unemployment and labor force participation. Southern Economic Journal, 34, 375–382. Bassanini, A. (2006). Training, wages and employment security: an empirical analysis on European data. Applied Economics Letters, 13(8), 523-527. Benati, L. (2001). Some empirical evidence on the ‘discouraged worker’ effect. Economics Letters, 70(3), 387-395. Bennmarker, H., Carling, K., & Holmlund, B. (2007). Do benefit hikes damage job finding? Evidence from Swedish unemployment insurance reforms. Labour, 21(1), 85-120. Bhalotra, S., & Umana-Aponte, M. (2010). The dynamics of women’s labour supply in developing countries. IZA Discussion Paper No. 4879. Boeri, T., & Van Ours, J. (2013). The economics of imperfect labor markets. Princeton University Press. Boone, J. (2004). Unemployment insurance and workers' mobility. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 160(2), 275-293. Boone, J., & Van Ours, J. C. (2006). Modeling financial incentives to get the unemployed back to work. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 162(2), 227-252. Bover, O. Arellano, M., & Bentolila, S. (2002), “Unemployment duration, benefit duration and the business cycle”, The Economic Journal, 112(479): 223-265. Bowen, W. G., & Finegan, T.A. (1969). The economics of labor force participation. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. Cabo, F., & Martín-Román, A. (2019). Dynamic collective bargaining and labor adjustment costs. Journal of Economics, 126(2), 103-133. Cahuc, P., Carcillo, S., & Zylberberg, A. (2014). Labor economics. MIT press. Cahuc, P., & Fontaine, F. (2009). On the efficiency of job search with social networks. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 11(3), 411-439. Caliendo, M., Tatsiramos, K., & Uhlendorff, A. (2013). Benefit duration, unemployment duration and job match quality: a regression‐discontinuity approach. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 28(4), 604-627. Card, D., & Levine, P. B. (2000). Extended benefits and the duration of UI spells: evidence from the New Jersey extended benefit program. Journal of Public Economics, 78(1), 107-138. Card, D., Chetty, R., & Weber, A. (2007). Cash-on-hand and competing models of intertemporal behavior: New evidence from the labor market. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(4), 1511-1560. Carling, K., Edin, P. A., Harkman, A., & Holmlund, B. (1996). Unemployment duration, unemployment benefits, and labor market programs in Sweden. Journal of Public Economics, 59(3), 313-334. Carling, K., Holmlund, B., & Vejsiu, A. (2001). Do benefit cuts boost job finding? Swedish evidence from the 1990s. Economic Journal, 111(474), 766-790. Centeno, M., & Novo, Á. A. (2006). The impact of unemployment insurance on the job match quality: a quantile regression approach. Empirical Economics, 31(4), 905-919. Centeno, M., & Novo, Á. A. (2009). Reemployment wages and UI liquidity effect: a regression discontinuity approach. Portuguese Economic Journal, 8(1), 45-52. Centeno, M., & Novo, Á. A. (2014). Do low‐wage workers react less to longer unemployment benefits? Quasi‐experimental evidence. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 76(2), 185-207. Clark, K., & Summers, L. (1981). Demographic differences in cyclical employment variation. Journal of Human Resources, 16, 61–79. Clark, K., & Summers, L. (1982). Labor force participation: timing and persistence. Review of Economic Studies, 49, 825–844. Congregado, E., Carmona, M., Golpe, A. A., & Van Stel, A. (2014). Unemployment, gender and labor force participation in Spain: Future trends in labor market. Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 17(1), 53-66. Congregado, E., Gałecka-Burdziak, E., Golpe, A., & Pater, R. (2020). Asymmetry and Non-linearity in Discouraged and Added Worker Effects. Eastern European Economics, 58(3), 221-241. Congregado, E., Golpe, A. A., & Van Stel, A. (2011). Exploring the big jump in the Spanish unemployment rate: Evidence on an ‘added-worker’ effect. Economic Modelling, 28(3), 1099-1105. Cover, J. P., & Mallick, S. K. (2012). Identifying sources of macroeconomic and exchange rate fluctuations in the UK. Journal of International Money and Finance, 31(6), 1627-1648. Cuéllar-Martín, J., Martín-Román, Á. L., & Moral, A. (2019). An Empirical Analysis of Natural and Cyclical Unemployment at the Provincial Level in Spain. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 12(3), 647-696. Darby, J., Hart, R. A., & Vecchi, M. (2001). Labour force participation and the business cycle: a comparative analysis of France, Japan, Sweden and the United States. Japan and the World Economy, 13(2), 113-133. Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431. Elmeskov, J., & Pichelmann, K. (1994). Interpreting unemployment: the role of labour-force participation. OECD Economic Studies, 21, 139-160. Fallick, B. C. (1991). Unemployment insurance and the rate of re-employment of displaced workers. Review of Economics and Statistics, 228-235. Goodman, Jr. J. L. (1974). Spectral analysis of the dependence of labor force participation on unemployment and wages. Review of Economics and Statistics, 56, 390–393. Granville, B., & Mallick, S. (2009). Monetary and financial stability in the euro area: Pro-cyclicality versus trade-off. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 19(4), 662-674. Humphrey, D. D. (1940). Alleged "additional workers" in the measurement of unemployment. The Journal of Political Economy, 48(3), 412–419. Katz, L. F., & Meyer, B. D. (1990). Unemployment insurance, recall expectations, and unemployment outcomes. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105(4), 973-1002. Knotek, E. S. (2007). How useful is Okun's law?. Economic Review-Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 92(4), 73. Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1), 159-178. Ham, J. C., & Rea Jr, S. A. (1987). Unemployment insurance and male unemployment duration in Canada. Journal of Labor Economics, 5(3), 325-353. Hansen, W. L. (1961). The cyclical sensitivity of the labor supply. American Economic Review, 51, 299-309. Holmlund, B. (1998). Unemployment insurance in theory and practice. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 100(1), 113-141. Hunt, J. (1995). The effect of unemployment compensation on unemployment duration in Germany. Journal of Labor Economics, 13(1), 88-120. Lalive, R. (2007). Unemployment benefits, unemployment duration, and post-unemployment jobs: A regression discontinuity approach. American Economic Review, 97(2), 108-112. Lalive, R. (2008). How do extended benefits affect unemployment duration? A regression discontinuity approach. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2), 785-806. Lalive, R., Van Ours, J., & Zweimüller, J. (2006). How changes in financial incentives affect the duration of unemployment. Review of Economic Studies, 73(4), 1009-1038. Layard, R. N., & Nickell, S. S. and Jackman, R. (1991). Unemployment: Macroeconomic performance and the labour market. New York: Oxford University Press. Le Barbanchon, T. (2016). The effect of the potential duration of unemployment benefits on unemployment exits to work and match quality in France. Labour Economics, 42, 16-29. Lee, G. H., & Parasnis, J. (2014). Discouraged workers in developed countries and added workers in developing countries? Unemployment rate and labour force participation. Economic Modelling, 41, 90-98. Lippman, S. A., & McCall, J. J. (1976a). The economics of job search: a survey: part I. Economic Inquiry, 14, 155-189. Lippman, S. A., & McCall, J. J. (1976b). The economics of job search: a survey: part II. Economic Inquiry, 14, 347–368. Long, C. (1953). Impact of effective demand on the labor supply. American Economic Review, 43, 458–467. Long, C. (1958). The labor force under changing income and employment. In C. D. Long (Ed.), The labor force under changing income and employment (pp. 181–201). Princeton University Press. Martín‐Román, Á. L., Cuéllar‐Martín, J., & Moral, A. (2018). Labor supply and the business cycle: The “Bandwagon Worker Effect”. Papers in Regional Science. Martín-Román, A. L., & Moral, A. (2016). Moral Hazard in Monday claim filing: evidence from Spanish sick leave insurance. The BE Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 16(1), 437-476. Martín-Román, Á., & Moral, A. (2017). A methodological proposal to evaluate the cost of duration moral hazard in workplace accident insurance. The European Journal of Health Economics, 18(9), 1181-1198. McCall, J. J. (1970). Economics of information and job search. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 113-126. Meyer, B. D. (1990). Unemployment insurance and unemployment spells. Econometrica, 58(4), 757-782. Mincer, J. (1966). Labor-force participation and unemployment: a review of recent evidence. In: Gordon, R.A., Gordon, M. (Eds.), Prosperity and Unemployment. John Wiley and Sons, USA, 73–112. Moral-Arce, I., Martín-Román, J., & Martín-Román, Á. L. (2019). Cessation of activity benefit for Spanish self-employed workers: a heterogeneous impact evaluation. Hacienda Pública Española, 231(4), 41-79. Mortensen, D. (1970). Job search, the duration of unemployment, and the Phillips curve. American Economic Review, 60(5), 847-62. Mortensen, D. T. (1986). Job search and labor market analysis. Handbook of Labor Economics, 2, 849-919. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science. Mortensen, D. T., & Pissarides, C. A. (1999). New developments in models of search in the labor market. Handbook of Labor Economics, 3, 2567-2627. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science. Nickell, S. J. (1979). The effect of unemployment and related benefits on the duration of unemployment. Economic Journal, 89(353), 34-49. Nickell, S. J. (1997). Unemployment and labor market rigidities: Europe versus North America. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(3), 55-74. Österholm, P. (2010). Unemployment and labour-force participation in Sweden. Economics Letters, 106(3), 205-208. Parker, S. W., & Skoufias, E. (2004). The added worker effect over the business cycle: evidence from urban Mexico. Applied Economics Letters, 11(10), 625-630. Pedersen, P. J., & Westergård-Nielsen, N. C. (2000). Unemployment. A review of the evidence from panel data. In Economics of Unemployment. Edward Elgar Publishing, Incorporated. Pencavel, J. (1987). Labor supply of men: A survey. Handbook of Labor Economics, 1, 3-102. Pérez, C., Martín-Román, Á., & Moral, A. (2015). The impact of leisure complementarity on the labour force participation of older males in Spain. Applied Economics Letters, 22(3), 214-217. Pérez, C., Martín-Román, Á., & Moral, A. (2020). Two decades of the complementary leisure effect in Spain. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 15, 100216. Perry, G. (1977). Potential output and productivity. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 11–47. Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346. Porras-Arena, M. S., & Martín-Román, Á. L. (2019). Self-employment and the Okun's law. Economic Modelling, 77, 253-265. Prescott, E. C. (2004). Why do Americans work so much more than Europeans? Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 28(1), 2-13. Prescott, E. C., & Wallenius, J. (2012). Aggregate labor supply. Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 35(2), 2-16. Pries, M., & Rogerson, R. (2009). Search frictions and labor market participation. European Economic Review, 53(5), 568-587. Prieto-Rodríguez, J., & Rodríguez-Gutiérrez, C. (2000). The added worker effect in the Spanish case. Applied Economics, 32(15), 1917-1925. Prieto-Rodríguez, J., Rodríguez-Gutiérrez, C. (2003). Participation of married women in the European labor markets and the “added worker effect”. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 32(4), 429-446. Rebollo-Sanz, Y. F., & García-Pérez, J. I. (2015), “Are unemployment benefits harmful to the stability of working careers? The case of Spain”, SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, 6(1): 1-41. Rebollo-Sanz, Y. F., & Rodríguez-Planas, N. (2018), “When the going gets tough… financial incentives, duration of unemployment and job-match quality”, Journal of Human Resources, 1015-7420R2. Røed, K., & Zhang, T. (2003). Does unemployment compensation affect unemployment duration? Economic Journal, 113(484), 190-206. Rogerson, R., Shimer, R., & Wright, R. (2005). Search-theoretic models of the labor market: A survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 43(4), 959-988. Rogerson, R., & Shimer, R. (2011). Search in macroeconomic models of the labor market. Handbook of Labor Economics, 4, 619-700. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science. Scarpetta, S. (1996). Assessing the role of labour market policies and institutional settings on unemployment: A cross-country study. OECD Economic Studies, 26(1), 43-98. Schmieder, J. F., Von Wachter, T., & Bender, S. (2012). The effects of extended unemployment insurance over the business cycle: Evidence from regression discontinuity estimates over 20 years. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(2), 701-752. Stephens, M. J. (2002). Worker displacement and the added worker effect. Journal of Labor Economics, 20(3), 504-537. Tatsiramos, K., & van Ours, J. (2012). Labor market effects of unemployment insurance design. Discussion Paper Series No. 6950. Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Tatsiramos, K., & Ours, J. C. (2014). Labor market effects of unemployment insurance design. Journal of Economic Surveys, 28, 284-311. Tella, A. (1964). The relation of labor force to employment. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 17, 454-469. Tella, A. (1965). Labor force sensitivity to employment by age, sex. Industrial Relations, 4, 69–83 Uusitalo, R., & Verho, J. (2010). The effect of unemployment benefits on re-employment rates: Evidence from the Finnish unemployment insurance reform. Labour Economics, 17(4), 643-654. Van Ours, J. C., & Vodopivec, M. (2006). How shortening the potential duration of unemployment benefits affects the duration of unemployment: Evidence from a natural experiment. Journal of Labor Economics, 24(2), 351-378. Veracierto, M. (2008). On the cyclical behavior of employment, unemployment and labor force participation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 55(6), 1143-1157. Wasmer, E. (2009). Links between labor supply and unemployment: theory and empirics. Journal of Population Economics, 22(3), 773-802. Wachter, M. (1972). A labor supply model for secondary workers. Review of Economics and Statistics, 54, 141–151. Wachter, M. (1974). A new approach to the equilibrium labour force. Economica, 35–51. Wachter, M. (1977). Intermediate swings in labor force participation. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 545–574. White, H. (1980). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica, 817-838. Winter-Ebmer, R. (1998). Potential unemployment benefit duration and spell length: Lessons from a quasi-experiment in Austria. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 60(1), 33-45. Woytinsky, W. S. (1940). Additional workers and the volume of unemployment in the depression. New York: Social Science Research Council. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/103973 |