Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2060

Colombier, Carsten (2012): Healthcare expenditure projections up to 2060.

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Abstract

A key concern of this study is to evaluate the increase in healthcare expenditure as a result of an ageing Swiss population and to highlight the resulting financial burden for the public finances and mandatory basic healthcare insurance. In addition, the study also shows the adjustment levers through which healthcare policy can influence expenditure development in the healthcare system. In addition to the ageing of the population per se, the costs of healthcare are also significantly influenced by the relationship between increasing life expectancy and the state of health of the population (morbidity rate) on the one hand, and non-demographic cost drivers such as advances in medical technology and Baumol’s cost disease (the “Baumol Effect”) on the other.

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