Ngouhouo, Ibrahim and Tchoffo, Rodrigue and Younchawou, Ngouwouo and Tafakeu, Marie-Josée (2021): Opening of alcoholic drink establishments during the Coronavirus period in Cameroon: scope and economic consequences.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_108630.pdf Download (460kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The objective of this article is to evaluate the impacts of alcoholic products on the Cameroonian economy following the government decision on opening alcoholic drink establishments during the period of the highest expansion of coronavirus pandemic. This objective is achieved through a dynamic CGE analysis. The main data come from a social accounting matrix for 2016 calibrated on the Cameroonian economy. As findings, a 50% increase of total alcoholic consumption in 2020 increases the demand of that sector whether the final demand or the intermediate input. The government income may increase in 2020, 2021 and 2024 but may decrease in 2021 and 2022. It may impact positively the GDP in the medium term. Finally, the well-being may be positively impacted by the year 2024.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Opening of alcoholic drink establishments during the Coronavirus period in Cameroon: scope and economic consequences |
English Title: | Opening of alcoholic drink establishments during the Coronavirus period in Cameroon: scope and economic consequences |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | alcoholic drink, government policy, public revenue, well-being, CGE |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C68 - Computable General Equilibrium Models F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F12 - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies ; Fragmentation H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue > H27 - Other Sources of Revenue |
Item ID: | 108630 |
Depositing User: | Tchoffo Nobosse Rodrigue |
Date Deposited: | 07 Jul 2021 13:20 |
Last Modified: | 07 Jul 2021 13:20 |
References: | Arrow, K. & Debreu, G (1954) “Existence of an equilibrium for a competitive economy” Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, pages 265-290. Auld, M. C (2005) “Smoking, drinking, and income” Journal of Human Resources, 40(2), 505-518. Babor, T. F., Mendelson, J. H., Greenberg, I., & Kuehnle, J (1978) “Experimental analysis of the ‘happy hour’: effects of purchase price on alcohol consumption” Psychopharmacology, 58(1), 35-41. Bales, R. F (1946) “Cultural differences in rates of alcoholism” Quarterly journal of Studies on Alcohol, 6(4), 480-499. Becker Gary S. & Murphy Kevin M (1988) “A Theory of Rational Addiction” Journal of Political Economy 96. Blacker, E (1966) “Sociocultural factors in alcoholism” International psychiatry clinics, 3(2), 51. Burfisher, M. E (2017) “Introduction to computable general equilibrium models” Cambridge University Press. Cardenete, M. A., Guerra, A.-I., & Sancho, F (2017) “Applied general equilibrium” Springer, Second Edition. Cook, P. J., & Moore, M. J (2001) “Environment and persistence in youthful drinking patterns” In Risky behavior among youths: An economic analysis (pp. 375-438). University of Chicago Press. Decaluwé, B., Martens, A., & Savard, L (2001) “La politique économique du d´enveloppement et les modèles d’´équilibre général calculable : une introduction à l’application de l’analyse méso économique aux pays en développement” PUM. Dyer, A. R., Stamler, J., Paul, O., Lepper, M., Shekelle, R. B., McKean, H., & Garside, D. (1980) “Alcohol consumption and 17-year mortality in the Chicago Western Electric Company study” Preventive medicine, 9(1), 78-90. Emini, C. A., Ongolo Zogo, V., Kanmi Feunou, D., & Tadjuidje, M. H (2006) “Décomposition des effets des politiques économiques sur l’évolution de la pauvreté au Cameroun : une analyse en équilibre général micro-simulé avec double-calibration” ; rapport final. Epstein, E.E., Labouvie, E., McCrady, B.S., Jensen, N.K. & Hayaki, J (2002) “A multi-site study of alcohol subtypes: classification and overlap of unidimensional and multi-dimensional typologies” Addiction, 97 :1041-1053. Fall, S (2010) “Une matrice de comptabilité sociale (MCS) du Sénégal pour l’année 2006” Technical report, Centre d’Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques Farren, C.K. & Dinan, T.G. (1996). Alcoholism and Typology: findings in an Irish Private Hospital Population. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 57 :249-252. Fofana, I (2007) “Elabourer une matrice de comptabilité sociale pour l’analyse d’impacts des chocs et politiques macro-économiques” Centre Interuniversitaire sur le Risque, les Politiques Economiques et l’Emploi (CIRPEE). Gilles Q., et al (2020) “Early view of the potential impact of government policy responses on reproductive number of COVID-19 in African countries: Evidence from Cameroon” Economics Bulletin, 40(3) :13 Grossman, M., F. J. Chaloupka, H. Saffer, & A. Laixuthai (1994) “Effects of alcohol price policy on youth: A summary of economic research” Journal of Research on Adolescence 4 :347–64. Haqiqi, I. & Mirian, N (2015) “A financial general equilibrium model for assessment of financial sector policies in developing countries” Technical report, University Library of Munich, Germany. Heron, T. (2011) “Asymmetric bargaining and development trade-offs in the cariforum european union economic partnership agreement” Review of international political economy, 18(3) :328-357. Hosoe, N., Gasawa, K., & Hashimoto, H (2010) “Textbook of computable general equilibrium modelling: programming and simulations” Springer. IPD (2020) “Concertocratie locale, nationale et internationale contre le covid-19 : quelles leçons pour le futur ? ” PIPD, Geneva/Yaoundé, July 2020, 268p Iqbal, Z. & Siddiqui, R (2001) “Critical review of literature on computable general equilibrium models” Technical report, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics. Jellinek, E.M (1960) “The disease concept of Alcoholism” New Brunswick, NJ: Hillhouse Press. Kimbambu, V. (2014). “Diagnostic de la politique monétaire en rép. dém. Congo approche par l’équilibre général dynamique stochastique” Technical report, CEPREMAP. Klatsky, A. L., Friedman, G. D., & SIEGELAUB, A. B (1981) “Alcohol and mortality: a ten-year Kaiser Permanente experience” Annals of Internal Medicine, 95(2), 139-145. Leontief, W (1941) “The structure of the American economy, 1919-1929” Harvard university press. Cambridge (new, enlarged edition, Oxford University Press, New York, 1951). Levin, J.D (1990) “Alcoholism: a bio-psycho-social approach”Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data. Manning, W. G., Blumberg, L., & Moulton, L. H (1995) “The demand for alcohol: the differential response to price” Journal of health economics, 14(2), 123-148. Marmot, M. G., Shipley, M. J., Rose, G., & Thomas, B (1981) “Alcohol and mortality: a U-shaped curve” The lancet, 317(8220), 580-583. McClelland, R., & Iselin, J (2017) “Do Alcohol Excise Taxes Reduce Motor Vehicle Fatalities? Evidence from Two Illinois Tax Increases”. MINFI (2008) “Appréciation des impacts de l’accord intérimaire de partenariat économique ue-cameroun sur le budget de l’Etat à l’aide d’un modèle d’équilibre général calculable” Direction des Affaires Economiques ; rapport intérimaire Juillet 2018, 2. Narayanan, B. G., & Rungta, V (2014) “Export Subsidy Reforms and Productivity Improvements: The Case of the Indian Textile and Clothing Sector” Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, 8(3), 327-352. Orphanides A. & Zervos D (1995) “Rational Addiction with Learning and Regret” Journal of Political Economy 103(4). Popham, R. E., Schmidt, W., & Delint, J (1975) “the prevision of alcoholoism: epidemiological study of the effects of government control measures” Br. J Addict, 70, 125-144. Quesnay, F (1759) “The third edition of the tableau economique” Quesnay’s Tableau Economique. Robinson, S. & Moataz, E.-S (2000) “Gams code for estimating a social accounting matrix (sam) using cross entropy methods (ce)” Technical report, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Robinson, S., Cattaneo, A., & Moataz, E.-S (1998) “Estimating a social accounting matrix using cross entropy methods” Technical report, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Scarf, H (1967) “On the computation of equilibrium prices. ten economic studies in the tradition of irving fisher”. Shoven, J. B. & Whalley, J (1984) “Applied general-equilibrium models of taxation and international trade: an introduction and survey” Journal of Economic literature, 22(3) :1007-1051. Stigler George J. & Becker Gary S (1977) “De Gustibus non est Disputandum” American Economic Review. 67(2) :76-90. Wagenaar, A. C., Tobler, A. L., & Komro, K. A (2010) “Effects of alcohol tax and price policies on morbidity and mortality: a systematic review” American journal of public health, 100(11), 2270-2278. Walras, L (1874) “Eléments d’économie politique pure” ed. Lausanne:[sn], 1877. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/108630 |