Epidemics and Local Demographic Dynamics

Schinaia, Giuseppe (2018): Epidemics and Local Demographic Dynamics.

Abstract

The investigation of the interactions between the demographic dynamics of a healthy population and the perturbations induced in it by the progession of an epidemics is the object of this study. A SIR epidemic model is progressively enriched with demographic features, such as birth-death imbalance, disease-induced deaths, vertical transmission and infectious immigration and its equilibria are investigated. A statistical setting is then established in order to test the relevance of the demographic features of the various modelling hypotheses.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: demographic dynamics; SIR epidemic model; basic reproduction number; immigration; vertical transmission; disease-free equilibrium; estimation; hypothesis testing
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C14 - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C62 - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium; I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health

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