intégration économique et convergence des cycles : une analyse entre le Cameroun et le Nigéria.

Awoutcha Tchieuzing, Romuald Fernand and Fotsing Waffo, Florent Ulrich (2023): intégration économique et convergence des cycles : une analyse entre le Cameroun et le Nigéria.

Abstract

Does the deepening of bilateral trade between Cameroon and Nigeria strengthen the links between their economic cycles in such a way as to eventually lead to a synchronous evolution? This is the question we attempt to answer here. To do this, two approaches are highlighted: the cycle approach on the one hand. The other is the concordance index of Harding and Pagan (2006), on the other hand. The results obtained show that there is a strong synchronization between the economic cycles of the two countries. The deepening of economic integration between Cameroon and Nigeria constitutes a vector of cyclical transmission and therefore increases the probability of transmission of crises and financial tensions.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Economic Integration and cycle convergence: an analysis between Cameroon and Nigeria
• Language: French
• Keywords: Intégration économique; Synchronisation; Cycle économique
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F19 - Other

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