Graf Von Luckner, Clemens and Meyer, Josefin and Reinhart, Carmen and Trebesch, Christoph (2021): External sovereign debt restructurings: Delay and replay. Published in: VoxEU (30 March 2021): pp. 1-7.
Preview |
PDF
VoxEU_March_30_2021.pdf Download (317kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Today, more than half of low-income countries eligible for relief under the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) are either in debt distress or at high risk. Several emerging markets have either recently restructured (Argentina and Ecuador) or remain in default (Lebanon, Surinam, and Venezuela). In this context, we review some of the features of external sovereign debt restructurings. We show that default spells are lengthy and that the road to debt-crisis resolution is often littered with serial restructuring agreements.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | External sovereign debt restructurings: Delay and replay |
English Title: | External sovereign debt restructurings: Delay and replay |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | external debt, default, crises, restructuring |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises |
Item ID: | 117470 |
Depositing User: | Carmen Reinhart |
Date Deposited: | 30 May 2023 14:07 |
Last Modified: | 30 May 2023 14:07 |
References: | Andritzky, J. and Schumacher, J. (2018) “Bond returns in sovereign debt crises: The investors’ perspective,” VoxEU, January 18. Asonuma, T. and Joo, H. (2020). Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Delays in Renegotiations and Risk Averse Creditors. Journal of the European Economic Association, 18(5): 2394–2440. Benjamin, D. and Wright, M. (2009). “Recovery Before Redemption: A Theory of Delays in Sovereign Debt Renegotiations” April. Bulow, J., Reinhart, C., Rogoff, K. Trebesch, C. (2020). “The Debt Pandemic,” Finance and Development, September 13-16. Cruces J., and Trebesch, C. (2013). “Sovereign defaults: The price of haircuts,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol, 5(3):85–117. Fang, C., Schumacher, J. and Trebesch, C. (2021). Restructuring Sovereign Bonds: Holdouts, Haircuts and the Effectiveness of CACs” IMF Economic Review, forthcoming Farah-Yacoub, J., Graf von Luckner, C. and Reinhart, C. (2021). “Sovereign Debt Crises Database”. Horn, S., Reinhart C. and Trebesch, C., (2020). “China’s overseas lending and the looming developing country debt crisis”. VoxEU, May 04. Ghosal, S., and Miller, M., (2017). “A new bargaining perspective on sovereign debt restructuring” VoxEU, April 17. Kaminsky, G. L., and Vega-García, P. (2016). Systemic and idiosyncratic sovereign debt crises. Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(1), 80-114. Meyer, J., Reinhart, C. M., and Trebesch, C. (2019). Sovereign Bonds Since Waterloo” NBER Working Paper 25543, February. Pitchford, R., and Wright, M., (2012) “Holdouts in Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Theory of Negotiation in a Weak Contractual Environment,” The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 79(2), April, 812-837. Reinhart, C.M., and Rogoff, K. (2009). This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. (Princeton: Princeton University Press). Reinhart, C.M., Rogoff, K., and Savastano, M. (2003). “Debt Intolerance,” Brookings Papers for Economic Activity, Vol.1, Spring, 1-74. Reinhart, C. and Trebesch, C. (2016). “Sovereign Debt Relief and t’s Aftermath,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 14(1), 215-251. Schumacher, J., Trebesch, C., Enderlein H. (2021). “Sovereign Defaults in Court,” Journal of International Economics, forthcoming Trebesch, C. (2019). “Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises: The Role of Political Risk” Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 71(2), April 2019, 421–444. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/117470 |