Pollak, Andreas (2022): A Unified Theory of Growth, Cycles and Unemployment - Part I: Technology, Competition and Growth.
Preview |
PDF
UT1.pdf Download (3MB) | Preview |
Abstract
Part I of this paper proposes a model of endogenous growth, in which the scale of individual production units is endogenously determined in a novel way. The basic model has desirable growth and static properties, including the following:
(1) The economy exhibits productivity growth at a constant rate that only depends on technology parameters; (2) at the aggregate level, the economy is identical to the neoclassical growth model, thus (3) featuring the full medium-term capital dynamics familiar from this framework; moreover, (4) the model explains why the aggregate production function and many industries exhibit constant returns to scale; (5) there are no unrealistic constraints on the firm-level production technology; in particular, production is not linear in a capital-like input and (6) the notion that R&D investments become less effective with rising technology levels is accounted for; (7) generally, there are no knife-edge conditions or implausible scale effects; (8) no particular assumptions regarding market power or the competitive structure of industries are required; markets can be modelled as perfectly competitive, but the framework is robust to alternative assumptions such as monopolistic competition; (9) being based on the quality-ladder idea, the model can be extended to feature the rich industry-level dynamics that have been studied using Schumpeterian growth models; (10) in its basic version, the model is far simpler while being more general than popular models of endogenous growth.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | A Unified Theory of Growth, Cycles and Unemployment - Part I: Technology, Competition and Growth |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | endogenous growth, technology, market structure |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity |
Item ID: | 117768 |
Depositing User: | Dr Andreas Pollak |
Date Deposited: | 30 Jun 2023 14:27 |
Last Modified: | 30 Jun 2023 14:27 |
References: | Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, et al. (Nov. 2018). “Innovation, Reallocation, and Growth”. In: American Economic Review 108.11, pp. 3450–91. doi: 10.1257/aer.20130470. Acemoglu, Daron and Dan Cao (2015). “Innovation by entrants and incumbents”. In: Journal of Economic Theory 157.C, pp. 255–294. doi: 10.1016/j.jet.2015.01.001. Aghion, Philippe (2004). “Growth and Development: A Schumpeterian Approach”. In: An- nals of Economics and Finance 5.1, pp. 1–25. Aghion, Philippe, Ufuk Akcigit, and Peter Howitt (2014). “What Do We Learn From Schum- peterian Growth Theory?” In: Handbook of Economic Growth. 1st ed. Vol. 2. Elsevier. Chap. 0, pp. 515–563. Aghion, Philippe, Ufuk Akcigit, and Peter Howitt (May 2015). “Lessons from Schumpeterian Growth Theory”. In: American Economic Review 105.5, pp. 94–99. doi: 10.1257/aer.p20151067. Aghion, Philippe and Peter Howitt (1992). “A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruc- tion”. In: Econometrica 60.2, pp. 323–351. doi: 10.2307/2951599. Ahmad, Mumtaz, John G. Fernald, and Hashmat Khan (Sept. 2019). Returns to Scale in U.S. Production, Redux. Carleton Economic Papers 19-07. Carleton University, Department of Economics. Akcigit, Ufuk and Sina T. Ates (Jan. 2021). “Ten Facts on Declining Business Dynamism and Lessons from Endogenous Growth Theory”. In: American Economic Journal: Macroeco- nomics 13.1, pp. 257–98. doi: 10.1257/mac.20180449. Akcigit, Ufuk and William R. Kerr (2018). “Growth through Heterogeneous Innovations”. In: Journal of Political Economy 126.4, pp. 1374–1443. doi: 10.1086/697901. Basu, Susanto and John G. Fernald (1997). “Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Implications”. In: Journal of Political Economy 105.2, pp. 249–283. doi: 10.1086/ 262073. Bernanke, Ben S. and Refet S. Gu ̈rkaynak (Sept. 2002). “Is Growth Exogenous? Taking Mankiw, Romer, and Weil Seriously”. In: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16. NBER Chapters. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, pp. 11–72. Blanchard, Olivier Jean and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (1987). “Monopolistic Competition and the Effects of Aggregate Demand”. In: The American Economic Review 77.4, pp. 647–666. Blundell, Richard, Rachel Griffith, and John van Reenen (1999). “Market Share, Market Value and Innovation in a Panel of British Manufacturing Firms”. In: Review of Economic Studies 66.3, pp. 529–554. Cass, David (1965). “Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 32.3, pp. 233–240. doi: 10.2307/2295827. Cavenaile, Laurent and Pau Roldan-Blanco (July 2021). “Advertising, Innovation, and Eco- nomic Growth”. In: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 13.3, pp. 251–303. doi: 10.1257/mac.20180461. Dinlersoz, Emin M. and Mehmet Yorukoglu (Apr. 2012). “Information and Industry Dynamics”. In: American Economic Review 102.2, pp. 884–913. doi: 10.1257/aer.102.2.884. Dinopoulos, Elias and Peter Thompson (1998). “Schumpeterian Growth without Scale Effects”. In: Journal of Economic Growth 3.4, pp. 313–335. doi: 10.2307/40215991. Dinopoulos, Elias and Peter Thompson (1999). “Scale effects in Schumpeterian models of economic growth”. In: Journal of Evolutionary Economics 9.2, pp. 157–185. Gali, Jordi (2015). Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework and Its Applications. Economics Books 10495. Princeton University Press. Gali, Jordi (Aug. 2018). “The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment”. In: Journal of Economic Perspectives 32.3, pp. 87–112. doi: 10.1257/jep.32.3.87. Garcia-Macia, Daniel, Chang-Tai Hsieh, and Peter J. Klenow (Sept. 2019). “How Destructive Is Innovation?” In: Econometrica 87.5, pp. 1507–1541. doi: 10.3982/ECTA14930. Gourio, Francois and Leena Rudanko (2014). “Customer Capital”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 81.3 (288), pp. 1102–1136. doi: 10.2307/43551621. Grossman, Gene M. and Elhanan Helpman (1991). “Quality Ladders in the Theory of Growth”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 58.1, pp. 43–61. doi: 10.2307/2298044. Harrod, R. F. (1948). Towards a Dynamic Economics. Macmillan. Hicks, J. R. (1932). The Theory of Wages. Macmillan. doi: 10.1007/978-1-349-00189-7. Hopenhayn, Hugo and Richard Rogerson (1993). “Job Turnover and Policy Evaluation: A General Equilibrium Analysis”. In: Journal of Political Economy 101.5, pp. 915–938. Jones, Charles I. (1995a). “R & D-Based Models of Economic Growth”. In: Journal of Political Economy 103.4, pp. 759–784. doi: 10.2307/2138581. Jones, Charles I. (1995b). “Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models”. In: The Quarterly Journal of Economics 110.2, pp. 495–525. doi: 10.2307/2118448. Jones, Charles I. (Mar. 2002). “Sources of U.S. Economic Growth in a World of Ideas”. In: American Economic Review 92.1, pp. 220–239. doi: 10.1257/000282802760015685. Jones, Charles I. (2005). “Chapter 16 - Growth and Ideas”. In: ed. by Philippe Aghion and Steven N. Durlauf. Vol. 1. Handbook of Economic Growth. Elsevier, pp. 1063–1111. doi: 10.1016/ S1574-0684(05)01016-6. Jones, Charles I. (July 2019). “Paul Romer: Ideas, Nonrivalry, and Endogenous Growth”. In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics 121.3, pp. 859–883. doi: 10.1111/sjoe.12370. Kaldor, Nicholas (1966). “Marginal Productivity and the Macro-Economic Theories of Distribution: Comment on Samuelson and Modigliani”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 33.4, pp. 309–319. doi: 10.2307/2974428. Klette, Tor Jakob and Samuel S. Kortum (Oct. 2004). “Innovating Firms and Aggregate Innovation”. In: Journal of Political Economy 112.5, pp. 986–1018. doi: 10.1086/422563. Koopmans, Tjalling C. (1963). On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth. Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 163. Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University. Kortum, Samuel S. (1993). “Equilibrium R&D and the Patent–R&D Ratio: U.S. Evidence”. In: The American Economic Review 83.2, pp. 450–457. doi: 10.2307/2117707. Kortum, Samuel S. (1997). “Research, Patenting, and Technological Change”. In: Econometrica 65.6, pp. 1389–1419. doi: 10.2307/2171741. Kydland, Finn E. and Edward C. Prescott (1982). “Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations”. In: Econometrica 50.6, pp. 1345–1370. doi: 10.2307/1913386. Lagos, Ricardo (2006). “A Model of TFP”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 73.4, pp. 983– 1007. doi: 10.2307/4123256. Lentz, Rasmus and Dale T. Mortensen (2008). “An Empirical Model of Growth through Product Innovation”. In: Econometrica 76.6, pp. 1317–1373. doi: 10.2307/40056508. Lucas, Robert E. (1967). “Adjustment Costs and the Theory of Supply”. In: Journal of Political Economy 75.4, pp. 321–334. doi: 10.2307/1828594. Mankiw, N. Gregory (Sept. 1989). “Real Business Cycles: A New Keynesian Perspective”. In: Journal of Economic Perspectives 3.3, pp. 79–90. doi: 10.1257/jep.3.3.79. Mankiw, N. Gregory, David Romer, and David N. Weil (1992). “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth”. In: The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107.2, pp. 407– 437. Midrigan, Virgiliu and Daniel Yi Xu (Feb. 2014). “Finance and Misallocation: Evidence from Plant-Level Data”. In: American Economic Review 104.2, pp. 422–58. doi: 10. 1257/aer.104.2.422. Nickell, Stephen J. (1996). “Competition and Corporate Performance”. In: Journal of Political Economy 104.4, pp. 724–746. doi: 10.2307/2138883. Peters, Michael (Sept. 2020). “Heterogeneous Markups, Growth, and Endogenous Misallocation”. In: Econometrica 88.5, pp. 2037–2073. doi: 10.3982/ECTA15565. Prescott, Edward C. (1986). “Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement”. In: Carnegie- Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 25, pp. 11–44. doi: 10.1016/0167- 2231(86)90035-7. Ramsey, F. P. (1928). “A Mathematical Theory of Saving”. In: The Economic Journal 38.152, pp. 543–559. doi: 10.2307/2224098. Robinson, Joan (1938). “The Classification of Inventions”. In: Review of Economic Studies 5.2, pp. 139–142. Romer, Paul M. (1986). “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth”. In: Journal of Political Economy 94.5, pp. 1002–1037. doi: 10.2307/1833190. Romer, Paul M. (1990). “Endogenous Technological Change”. In: Journal of Political Economy 98.5, S71–S102. doi: 10.2307/2937632. Schumpeter, Joseph (1942). Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy. New York: Harper and Row. Segerstrom, Paul S. (1998). “Endogenous Growth without Scale Effects”. In: The American Economic Review 88.5, pp. 1290–1310. doi: 10.2307/116872. Solow, Robert M. (1956). “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth”. In: The Quarterly Journal of Economics 70.1, pp. 65–94. doi: 10.2307/1884513. Solow, Robert M. (1957). “Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function”. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics 39.3, pp. 312–320. doi: 10.2307/1926047. Summers, Lawrence H. (1986). “Some skeptical observations on real business cycle theory”. In: Quarterly Review 10.Fall, pp. 23–27. Swan, T. W. (1956). “Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation”. In: Economic Record 32.2, pp. 334–361. doi: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1956.tb00434.x. eprint: https: //onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1956.tb00434.x. Tobin, James and William C. Brainard (1976). Asset Markets and the Cost of Capital. Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 427. Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University. Uzawa, H. (1961). “Neutral Inventions and the Stability of Growth Equilibrium”. In: The Review of Economic Studies 28.2, pp. 117–124. doi: 10.2307/2295709. Woodford, Michael (2003). Interest And Prices: Foundations Of A Theory Of Monetary Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Young, Alwyn (1998). “Growth without Scale Effects”. In: Journal of Political Economy 106.1, pp. 41–63. doi: 10.1086/250002. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/117768 |