Randrianarisoa, Radoniaina (2024): Gaskam : an extended version of the quarterly projection model for Madagascar.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_120678.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This article presents an essay of a macroeconomic modeling dedicated on monetary policy, a Quarterly Projection Model for the case of Madagascar. Initially, we apply the canonical model, developed by Berg-Karam-Laxton (2006a,b), to the data of the Malagasy economy. Subsequently, we propose an extension of this version to further incorporate features of this economy. The results show simulations that closely replicate the stylized facts of the Malagasy economy and highlight the mechanisms of monetary policy transmission. This tool could be useful to the Monetary Authority of this country in its conduct of monetary policy.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Gaskam : an extended version of the quarterly projection model for Madagascar |
English Title: | Gaskam : an extended version of the quarterly projection model for Madagascar |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | monetary policy, inflation, core inflation, output gap, inflation targeting, quarterly projection model |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy |
Item ID: | 120678 |
Depositing User: | Mr Radoniaina RANDRIANARISOA |
Date Deposited: | 24 Apr 2024 06:48 |
Last Modified: | 24 Apr 2024 06:48 |
References: | Andrle M., Berg A., Armando Morales R., Portillo R., and Vlcek J. (2013): “Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya”, IMF WP/13/61. Berg A., Karam P., and Laxton D. (2006a): “A Practical Model-Based Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis—Overview”, IMF WP/06/80. Berg A., Karam P., and Laxton D. (2006b): “A Practical Model-Based Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis—A How-to Guide”, IMF WP/06/81. Bokan N., and Ravnik R. (2018): “Quarterly Projection Model for Croatia”, Croatia National Bank, Surveys S-34. Carabenciov I., Ermolaev I., Freedman C., Juillard M., Kamenik O., Korshunov D., and Laxton D. (2008): “A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy”, IMF Working Paper WP/08/278. de Resende C., Fall A., and Sy D. (2022): “A Quarterly Projection Model for the WAEMU”, IMF WP/22/215. Randriamianjaharison F.J. and Rivomanantsoa J.G. (2020) “Construction d’un Indicateur des Conditions Monétaires pour Banky Foiben’i Madagasikara », Bulletin de BFM Mars 2020. Salas J. (2010): “Bayesian Estimation of a Simple Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy”, Banco Central de Reserva del Peru DT. N° 2010-007. Vlcek J., Pranovich M., Hitayezu P., Mwenese B., and Nyalihama C. (2020): “Quarterly Projection Model for the National Bank of Rwanda”. IMF WP/20/295. https://www.instat.mg/ https://www.banky-foibe.mg/ https://data.ecb.europa.eu/ https://tradingeconomics.com/ |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/120678 |