Impacto devaluatorio sobre las exportaciones e importaciones de Argentina

Frank, Luis (2024): Impacto devaluatorio sobre las exportaciones e importaciones de Argentina.

Abstract

The paper decomposes prices and exchange rate in the supply and demand functions of exports and imports of goods, respectively, in order to assess the impact of a devaluation on Argentina's foreign trade. The results show that, due to Argentina's particular productive structure, the impact of a devaluation on exports is practically neutral, while the impact on imports results mainly in a drop in the renewal and maintenance of capital goods.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Devaluation Impact on Argentina's Exports and Imports
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: exchange rate, devaluation, Argentina
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C51 - Model Construction and Estimation

References

Frank L. 2020. Estimación de elasticidades de demanda de exportaciones por grandes rubros a través de un modelo VARX($p$,$q$). MPRA Paper No. 111425. Disponible en https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/111425/

Frank L., 2021. Projection of Argentina’s Macroeconomic Aggregates through a Constrained Adaptive Expectations Model. 2021 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Government Statistics Section, Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association: 345-360. Disponible en https://www.amstat.org

Frank L. 2022. Elasticidades de demanda de bienes exportados por Argentina. MPRA Paper No. 114220. Disponible en https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/114220/

Frank L. 2023. Impacto de los shocks agropecuarios en los VAB sectoriales. Informe interno DNMyP. Secretaría de Política Económica. Ministerio de Economía de la Nación.

Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas y Censos - INDEC, s/f. Índice de precios y cantidades del comercio exterior. Disponible en: https://www.indec.gob.ar/ftp/cuadros/economia/metodologia\_preciosycantidades.pdf

MacKinnon J. G., 2010. Critical values for cointegration tests. Queen's Economics Department Working Paper, No. 1227, Queen's University, Department of Economics, Kingston (Ontario).