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Upstream Killer Acquisitions and Market Structure

Cao, Yiran and Lin, ping and Zhang, Tianle (2024): Upstream Killer Acquisitions and Market Structure.

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Abstract

Incumbent firms may acquire start-ups to eliminate potential competition without intending to develop new technology (killer acquisitions). We develop a model to examine the incentives and welfare implications of killer acquisitions under different market structures: vertical separation and integration. Our model focuses on the competition between an upstream incumbent firm and a start-up with the potential to develop superior technology, where the incumbent has the option to acquire the start-up and decide whether to continue the development of the superior technology. We find that killer acquisitions are more likely when the cost of developing the superior technology is moderate under both vertical separation and integration. However, these acquisitions lead to a welfare loss only when the development cost is relatively low. Comparing vertical integration to separation, the probability of killer acquisition is higher (lower) when the incumbent firm has a greater (smaller) chance of successfully developing the superior technology.

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