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Wage Phillips Curve of a Large Emerging Economy: Role of Structural Heterogeneity

Behera, Harendra and Mazumder, Debojyoti and ., Kaustubh (2025): Wage Phillips Curve of a Large Emerging Economy: Role of Structural Heterogeneity.

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Abstract

The paper finds the role of dynamic structural heterogeneity in establishing the empirical existence and convexity of the wage Phillips curve for large emerging economies. Using Indian state-level data, we find a negative and convex relationship between earnings growth and unemployment after controlling for structural labour market factors that vary over time and across states. The fixed effects regression model suggests that a higher speed of formalization makes the wage-Phillips curve flatter, controlling for changes in the composition of labour supply and skilling.

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