Annicchiarico, Barbara and Piergallini, Alessandro (2009): Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates.
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Abstract
The adoption of a Taylor-type monetary policy rule and an inflation target for emerging market economies that choose a flexible exchange rate regime is often advocated. This paper investigates the issue of exchange rate determination when interest-rate feedback rules are implemented in a continuous-time optimizing model of a small open economy facing an imperfect global capital market. It is demonstrated that when a risk premium on external debt affects the monetary policy transmission mechanism, the Taylor principle is not a necessary condition for determinacy of equilibrium. On the other hand, it is shown that exchange rate dynamics critically depends on whether monetary policy is active or passive.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Risk Premium on Foreign Debt; Taylor Rules; Exchange Rate Dynamics |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment ; Short-Term Capital Movements E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 13553 |
Depositing User: | Barbara Annicchiarico |
Date Deposited: | 22 Feb 2009 07:24 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 13:45 |
References: | Agénor, P.R. and P.J. Montiel (1999), Development Macroeconomics, Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press. Bardhan, P.K. (1967), `Optimum Foreign Borrowing' in K. Shell (Ed.), Essays on the Theory of Optimal Economic Growth, Cambridge (MA): The MIT Press. Bhandari, J.S., N.U. Haque and S.J. Turnovsky (1990), `Growth, External Debt, and Sovereign Risk in a Small Open Economy', IMF Staff Papers, 37, 388-417. Fischer, S. (2001), `Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Bipolar View Correct?', Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 3-24. Galí, J. (2003), `New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle', in Advances in Economic Theory, edited by: M. Dewatripont, L. Hansen, and S. Turnovsky, 3, 151-197, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. King, R.G. (2000), `The New IS-LM Model: Language, Logic, and Limits', Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Quarterly, 86, 45-103. Leeper, E.M. (1991), `Equilibria under `Active' and `Passive' Monetary and Fiscal Policy', Journal of Monetary Economics, 27, 129-147. McCallum, B.T. (2003), `Multiple-Solution Indeterminacies in Monetary Policy Analysis', Journal of Monetary Economics, 50, 1153-1175. Montiel, P.J. (2003), Macroeconomics in Emerging Markets, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Obstfeld, M. (1982), `Aggregate Spending and the Terms of Trade: Is There a Laursen-Metzler Effect?', Quarterly Journal of Economics, 97, 251-270. Taylor, J.B. (1993), `Discretion Versus Policy Rules in Practice', Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214. Taylor, J.B. (1999), Monetary Policy Rules, Chicago and London: University of Chicago Press. Taylor, J.B. (2001), `Using Monetary Policy Rules in Emerging Market Economies', in Stabilization and Monetary Policy: The International Experience, Mexico City: Bank of Mexico, 441-458. Turnovsky, S.J. (1997), International Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge (MA): The MIT Press. Woodford, M. (2003), Interest and Prices, Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/13553 |
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