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Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates

Annicchiarico, Barbara and Piergallini, Alessandro (2009): Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates.

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Abstract

The adoption of a Taylor-type monetary policy rule and an inflation target for emerging market economies that choose a flexible exchange rate regime is often advocated. This paper investigates the issue of exchange rate determination when interest-rate feedback rules are implemented in a continuous-time optimizing model of a small open economy facing an imperfect global capital market. It is demonstrated that when a risk premium on external debt affects the monetary policy transmission mechanism, the Taylor principle is not a necessary condition for determinacy of equilibrium. On the other hand, it is shown that exchange rate dynamics critically depends on whether monetary policy is active or passive.

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