Ruiz-Porras, Antonio (2006): Información privilegiada, administración de riesgos y utilidades esperadas: Una aplicación de los juegos de señalización al estudio de crisis cambiarias. Forthcoming in: Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics) , Vol. 1, No. 1 (January 2007): pp. 56-63.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_1441.pdf Download (167kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this paper we study the hypothesis of “divergent expectations” with a signaling game. Such hypothesis points out that, in emerging economies, local investors tend to be front-runners in a currency crisis. Our analysis shows that changes in the informational structure available to the investors change their risk management practices. Particularly, if local investors have privileged information, about the likelihood of problems in the economy, they will monopolize the available asset returns and expected utilities. Furthermore the sum of expected utilities of local and foreign investors will be lower than the one achieved without information asymmetries.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Institution: | Department of Accounting and Finance. Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México |
Original Title: | Información privilegiada, administración de riesgos y utilidades esperadas: Una aplicación de los juegos de señalización al estudio de crisis cambiarias |
Language: | Spanish |
Keywords: | privileged information. risk management; expected utilities; currency crises; divergent expectations |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G11 - Portfolio Choice ; Investment Decisions D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information ; Mechanism Design F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 1441 |
Depositing User: | Antonio Ruiz-Porras |
Date Deposited: | 12 Jan 2007 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:32 |
References: | Chan, Kenneth S. y Chiu, Y. Stephen (2002) “The role of (non)transparency in a currency crises model”, European Economic Review, 46(2), 397-416 Cornand, Camille y Heinemann, Frank (2006) “Optimal degree of public information dissemination”, Mannheim, University of Mannheim-GESY, Discussion Paper 158 Fernandez Ruiz, Jorge (2004) “La teoría de juegos como una herramienta de análisis de problemas financieros”, Análisis Económico, 19(40), 5-22 Frankel, Jeffrey A. y Schmuckler, Sergio L. (2000) “Country funds and asymmetric information” International Journal of Finance and Economics, 5(3), 177-195 - (1996) “Country fund discounts, asymmetric information and the Mexican crisis: Did local residents turn pessimistic before international investors?” Massachusetts, National Bureau of Economic Research, NBER Working Paper 5714 Gardner, Roy (1995) Games for Business and Economics, Nueva York, Estados Unidos, John Wiley & Sons Kaufmann, Daniel, Mehrez, Gil y Schmuckler, Sergio L. (2005) “Predicting currency fluctuations and crises: Do resident firms have an informational advantage?”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(6), 1012-1029 Krugman, Paul (2000) The Return of Depression Economics, Nueva York, Estados Unidos, W.W. Norton & Company Lyons, Richard K. (2002) “The future of the foreign exchange market” en R E. Litan, y R. Herring, editores., Brookings-Wharton Papers on Financial Services, (Brookings Institution Press, Washington DC), 253-280 Morris, Stephen y Shin, Hyun-Song (2002) “Social value of public information”, American Economic Review, 95(2), 1521-1534 - (1998) “Unique equilibrium in a model of self-fulfilling currency attacks”, American Economic Review, 88(3), 587-597 Sbracia, Massimo y Zaghini, Andrea (2001) “Expectations and information in second generation currency crises models”, Economic Modelling, 18(2), 203-222 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/1441 |