Tatom, John (2007): When Will China’s Prosperity Catch up with the US? Published in: Research Buzz , Vol. 3, No. 1 (31 January 2007): pp. 1-4.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_17779.pdf Download (127kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Though wildly premature at best, and, at worst, very unlikely for several decades, there is some basis for speculation that China’s economy would soon surpass in size and prosperity that of the U.S. Due to the size of its economy and markets, China will have a relatively large share of production and consumption of most goods and services in a few decades. The other ingredient is that, for the past 28 years or so, China has exhibited extremely rapid growth. This article discusses scenarios under which China’s economy will equal or surpass that of the world’s remaining superpower.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | When Will China’s Prosperity Catch up with the US? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | real income convergence; growth |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence |
Item ID: | 17779 |
Depositing User: | John Tatom |
Date Deposited: | 10 Oct 2009 06:10 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 16:38 |
References: | Barro, Robert J. Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study, MIT Press, 1997. _________,. and Xavier Sala-i-Martin, "Convergence," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 100, No. 2, (April, 1992), pp. 223-51. Fishman, Ted C., China, Inc.: How the Rise of the Next Superpower Challenges America and the World, Simon & Schuster, 2005. Hall, Robert and Charles I. Jones, “Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, (February, 1999), pp. 83-116. Kynge, James. China Shakes the World: A Titan’s Rise and Troubled Future—and the Challenge for America, Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 2006. Maddison, Angus. The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, OECD Development Centre Studies, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2001. Spence, Michael, “Why China Grows So Fast,” Wall Street Journal, January 23, 2007. Tatom, John A., “Getting to Know China,” Networks Financial Institute NFI Report, 2007-NFI-01, January 2007. Trustees of the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds, 2006 Annual Report of the Trustees of the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds, Government Printing Office, 2006. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/17779 |