Medina, Leandro and Lema, Daniel (2004): Electoral Budget Cycles: The case of the Argentine Provinces.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_21504.pdf Download (357kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper presents subnational evidence of electoraly-motivated changes in the level of public expenditures, budgetary deficits and composition of public expenditures in Argentina. The empirical study is made using a dynamic panel data analysis (GMM) for 22 provinces during period 1985-2001. We find evidence of political cycles in policies around the election date. Results shows that deficits and public expenditures increase in election years. Evidence also suggest that expenditures shift toward more visible public investment and away from current consumption goods.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Electoral Budget Cycles: The case of the Argentine Provinces |
English Title: | Electoral Budget Cycles: The case of the Argentine Provinces |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Electoral Budget Cycles, Argentina, Political Economy, Fiscal Policy |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior |
Item ID: | 21504 |
Depositing User: | Leandro Medina |
Date Deposited: | 19 Mar 2010 22:47 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:07 |
References: | Alesina A.; Roubini N. and Cohen G (1997): “Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy”; Cambridge: MIT Press. Arellano, M., and S. Bond (1991): “Some Tests of Specifications for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations”, Review of Economic Studies ) 58:277-97. Block S (2002): “Elections, Electoral Competitiveness, and Political Budget Cycles in Developing Countries”; CID Working Paper N° 78. Hibbs, D. (1977): “Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy,” American Political Science Review, 71:467-87. Krueger, A. and I. Turan (1993): “The Politics and Economics of Turkish Policy Reform in the 1980's,” in R.Bates and A. Krueger, eds., Political and Economic Interactions in Economic PolicyReform: Evidence from Eight Countries, Oxford: Basil Blackwell. Lindbeck, A. (1976): “Stabilization Policies in Open Economies with Endogenous Politicians,” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, p. 1-19. Meloni, O. (2001): “Gobernadores y elecciones:¿Es “negocio” ser austero? Evidencia a partir de Data en Panel”; XXXVI Reunión Anual de la AAEP. Mirabella de Sant, M.(2002):”Diferencias de bienestar entre provincias de Argentina”;XXXVII Reunión Anual de la AAEP. Nordhaus, W.(1975): “The Political Business Cycle,” Review of Economic Studies 42:169-90. Rogoff, K.(1990): “Equilibrium political budget cycles”; American Economic Review; v. 80; N° 1; p. 21-36. Shi M. and Svensson J.(2001): “Conditional Political Business Cycles”; Working Paper; IIES Stockholm University. Schucknecht, L.(2000) “Fiscal Policy Cycles and Public Expenditure in Developing Countries”; Public Choice, 102 115 130. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/21504 |