Popov, Vladimir (2010): Development theories and development experience: half a century journey.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_28111.pdf Download (328kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper examines the impact that development theories have had on development policies, and the inverse impact of actual successes and failures in the global South on development thinking. It is argued that development thinking is at the cross-roads. Development theories in postwar period went through a full circle – from Big Push and ISI to neo-liberal Washington consensus to the understanding that neither the former, nor the later really works in engineering successful catch-up development. Meanwhile, economic miracles were manufactured in East Asia without much reliance on development thinking and theoretical background – just by experimentation of the strong hand politicians.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Development theories and development experience: half a century journey |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Development theories, catch up growth, economic miracles, Washington consensus, import substitution, "Big push", export orientation |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O10 - General O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O43 - Institutions and Growth P - Economic Systems > P5 - Comparative Economic Systems > P51 - Comparative Analysis of Economic Systems |
Item ID: | 28111 |
Depositing User: | Vladimir Popov |
Date Deposited: | 18 Jan 2011 15:27 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 16:43 |
References: | Acemoglu, Daron, Philippe Aghion, and Fabrizio Zilibotti (2002a). Distance to Frontier, Selection, and Economic Growth. June 25, 2002 (http://post.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/aghion/papers/Distance_to_Frontier.pdf) Acemoglu, Daron, Philippe Aghion and Fabrizio Zilibotti (2002b) Vertical Integration and Distance to Frontier. August 2002 (http://post.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/aghion/papers/vertical_integration.pdf) Acemoglu, Daron and James A. Robinson (2000) “Why Did the West Extend the Franchise? Growth, Inequality and Democracy in Historical Perspective”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, CXV, 1167-1199. Acemoglu, Daron and James A. Robinson (2005). Economic Backwardness in Political Perspective. Unpublished paper. July 2005. Acemoglu, Daron and James Robinson (2006). Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy, Cambridge University Press. Bardhan, Pranab (1993). Economics of Development and the Development of Economics. - Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 7, No. 2 (Spring, 1993), pp. 129-142. Bourguignon, François and Christian Morrisson (2002), ‘Inequality among world citizens: 1820-1992’, American Economic Review 92(4), 727–744. Chang, H.-J. (2002). Kicking Away the Ladder. Cambridge University Press. Easterly, W. (2005) The Lamentable Return of the Big Push. Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005 / Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics, at http://opus.zbw-kiel.de/volltexte/2005/3485/. Easterly, W., Fisher, S. 1995. The Soviet Economic Decline. – The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 9, No.3, pp. 341-71. Feldman, G.A. (1964) 'On the theory of growth rates of national income', 1928, translated in: N. Spulber, ed., Foundations of Soviet strategy for economic growth. Bloomington, IN: Indiana University Press. Feldstein, Martin; Horioka, Charles (1980). "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows", Economic Journal 90: 314–329. Findlay, Ronald (2009). ‘The Trade-Development Nexus in Theory and History. UNU-WIDER Annual Lecture, October, 2009. Department of Economics, Columbia University. Findlay, Ronald, Kevin H. O’Rourke (2007). Power and Plenty: Trade, War and the World Economy in the Second Millennium. Princeton University Press, 2009. Galor, Oded (1998). Economic Growth in the Very Long-Run. - Prepared for the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics - 2nd edition (S. Duraluf and L. Blume, eds.) Galor, Oded, D. Weil (2000). Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and Beyond. – American Economic Review, 90(4):806-828, September, 2000. Galor, Oded and Omer Moav (2005). Natural Selection and the Evolution of Life Expectancy. August 24, 2004 (http://129.3.20.41/eps/ge/papers/0409/0409004.pdf). Ghosh, Jayati (2007. Macroeconomic and Growth Policies. Background Note. UN DESA, 2007. Goldstone Jack A. (2007). Unraveling the Mystery of Economic Growth. A review of Gregory Clark’s “A Farewell to Alms: A Brief Economic History of the World”. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press. September, 2007. – World Economics, Vol. 8, No. 3, July–September 2007. Goldstone, J. (2009). Comments on Popov, 2009. Unpublished. Hausmann, Ricardo, Jason Hwang, and Dani Rodrik (2006). “What You Export Matters,” NBER Working Paper, January 2006. Kim, Dong Hyeon and Shu-Chin Lin (2009). “Trade and Growth at Different Stages of Economic Development”, Journal of Development Studies, 45.8, pp.1211-24. Krugman, Paul (2009). Finance mythbusting, third world edition. Nov 10, 2009. – Paul Krugman’s blog: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/11/09/finance-mythbusting-third-world-edition/ Lu, Aiguo. China and the Global Economy Since 1840. New York, St. Martins Press, 1999. Maddison, A. (2008). Statistics on World Population, GDP and Per Capita GDP, 1-2006 AD (http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/Historical_Statistics/horizontal-file_09-2008.xls) Malafeev, A.N. (1964). Istoriya Tsenoobrazovaniya v SSSR.1917-1963(The History of Price Formation in the USSR.1917-63). M., 1964, pp. 126-127, 136-137, 173. Marx, Karl. Contribution to the Critique of Hegel's Philosophy of Right (1843). Marx-Engels Reader. Ed. By Robert Tucker. Oxford University Press, 1972. Milanovic, Branko, 2009. "Global inequality recalculated: The effect of new 2005 PPP estimates on global inequality," MPRA Paper 16538, University Library of Munich, Germany. Milanovic, Branko, Peter H. Lindert, Jeffrey G. Williamson (2008). Pre-Industrial Inequality: An Early Conjectural Map. Mimeo, August 23, 2007 (http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/williamson/files/Pre-industrial_inequality.pdf) Murphy, K.M., A. Shleifer, R.W. Vishny, (1989): Industrialization and the Big Push. The Journal of Political Economy Vol. 97, pp. 1003-1026 Naughton, Barry, Economic Reform in China. Macroeconomic and Overall Performance. - In: The System Transformation of the Transition Economies: Europe, Asia and North Korea. Ed. by D. Lee. Yonsei University Press, Seoul, 1997. Nayyar, Deepak (2006). INDIA’S UNFINISHED JOURNEY. Transforming Growth into Development. – Modern Asian Studies, Volume 40, Number 3, July 2006 O’Campo, Jose Antonio, Jomo K.S. and Rob Vos (2007). Explaining Growth Divergences. In: Growth Divergences. Explaining Differences in economic Performance. Ed. by Jose Antonio O’Campo,. Orient Longman, Hyderabad, 2007. People’s Web (2003). “Today in History: Mao Zedong Said: I Did 2 Things in My Life”. June 15, 2003 (http://www.people.com.cn/GB/tupian/1097/1914967.html). In Chinese. Polterovich, V., V. Popov (2004) Accumulation of Foreign Exchange Reserves and Long Term Economic Growth. – In: Slavic Eurasia’s Integration into the World Economy. Ed. By S. Tabata and A. Iwashita. Slavic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, 2004 (http://www.nes.ru/%7Evpopov/documents/EXCHANGE%20RATE-GrowthDEC2002withcharts.pdf). Polterovich, V., Popov, V. (2005). Appropriate Economic Policies at Different Stages of Development. NES, 2005 - http://www.nes.ru/english/research/pdf/2005/PopovPolterovich.pdf. Polterovich, V., Popov, V. (2006). Stages of Development, Economic Policies and New World Economic Order. Paper presented at the Seventh Annual Global Development Conference in St. Petersburg, Russia. January 2006. (http://http-server.carleton.ca/~vpopov/documents/NewWorldEconomicOrder.pdf). Polterovich, V., Popov, V. (2007). Democratization, Quality of Institutions and Economic Growth. – In: Political Institutions And Development. Failed Expectations and Renewed Hopes. Edited by Natalia Dinello and Vladimir Popov, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2007. Polterovich, V., Popov, V. and Tonis, A.(2007). Resource abundance, political corruption, and instability of democracy. - NES Working Paper # WP2007/73 (http://www.nes.ru/russian/research/pdf/2007/PolterPopovTonisIns.pdf). Polterovich, V., Popov, V. and Tonis, A.(2008). Mechanisms of resource curse, economic policy and growth. NES Working Paper # WP/2008/082 (http://www.nes.ru/english/research/pdf/2008/Polterivich_Popov.pdf). Popov, V. (2000). Shock Therapy versus Gradualism: The End of the Debate (Explaining the Magnitude of the Transformational Recession) – Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 42, No. 1, Spring 2000, pp. 1-57 (http://www.nes.ru/%7Evpopov/documents/TR-REC-full.pdf); Popov, V. (2007a). Shock Therapy versus Gradualism Reconsidered: Lessons from Transition Economies after 15 Years of Reforms. – Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 49, Issue 1, March 2007, pp. 1-31 (http://www.nes.ru/%7Evpopov/documents/Shock%20vs%20grad%20reconsidered%20-15%20years%20after%20-article.pdf). Popov, V. (2007b). Life Cycle of the Centrally Planned Economy: Why Soviet Growth Rates Peaked in the 1950s. In: Transition and Beyond. Edited by: Saul Estrin, Grzegorz W. Kolodko and Milica Uvalic. Palgrave Macmillan, 2007. Popov, V. (2007c). Russia Redux. – New Left Review, No. 44, March-April,2007. Popov, V. (2008). Lessons from the Transition Economies. Putting the Success Stories of the Postcommunist World into a Broader Perspective. - UNU/WIDER Research Paper No. 2009/15. Popov, V. (2009). Why the West Became Rich before China and Why China Has Been Catching Up with the West since 1949: Another Explanation of the “Great Divergence” and “Great Convergence” Stories. -NES/CEFIR Working paper # 132, October 2009. Preobrazhenski, E., The New Economics. (1926), Oxford: Clarendon Press, [1965]. Reinsert, Erik S. (2007). How Rich Countries Got Rich… And Why Poor Countries Stay Poor. Constable, London, 2007. Rodriguez, Francisco (2007). Openness and Growth: What have We Learned? – In: Growth Divergences. Explaining Differences in economic Performance. Ed. by Jose Antonio O’Campo, Jomo K.S. and Rob Vos. Orient Longman, Hyderabad, 2007. Rodriguez, Francisco and Dani Rodrik (1999). TRADE POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A Skeptic’s Guide to the Cross-National Evidence. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2143. Rodrik, Dani (2004). Getting Institutions Right. CESifo. Journal for Institutional Comparisons. Vol. 2, No. 4, Summer 2004. Rodrik, Dani, R. Hausmann, A. Velasco (2005). Growth Diagnostics. 2005. http://ksghome.harvard.edu/~drodrik/barcelonafinalmarch2005.pdf Rodrik, Dani (2006) WHAT’S SO SPECIAL ABOUT CHINA’S EXPORTS? Harvard University, January 2006. Http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/drodrik/Chinaexports.pdf Rodrik, Dani (2008) The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth revised, October 2008. Undervaluation is good for growth, but why? Http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/drodrik/RER%20and%20growth.pdf Rodrik, Dani, Arvind Subramanian and Francesco Trebbi (2002). Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic evelopment. October 2002 (http://ksghome.harvard.edu/~.drodrik.academic.ksg/institutionsrule,%205.0.pdf). Rosenstein-Rodan, P.N. (1943). The Problems of Industrialisation of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe. The Economic Journal, Vol. 53, No. 210/211. (Jun. - Sep., 1943), pp. 202-211. O'Rourke, K. H. and R. Sinnott, 2001. "The Determinants of Individual Trade Policy Preferences: International Survey Evidence," Trinity College Dublin Economic Papers 200110, Trinity College Dublin Economics Department. O'Rourke, Kevin H. & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2002. "From Malthus to Ohlin: Trade, Growth and Distribution Since 1500," NBER Working Papers 8955. Sachs, J.D. and A.M. Warner (1999). The big push, natural resource booms and growth. – Journal of Development Economics, vol.59, 43-76. Shandong (2009). Shandong Province data base [Shandong sheng shengqing ziliaoku]. Http://www.infobase.gov.cn/bin/mse.exe?seachword=&K=a&A=16&rec=42&run=13 http://bbs.tiexue.net/post_1207004_1.html . Shmelev, N. Popov, V. (1989). The Turning Point: Revitalizing the Soviet Economy. Doubleday, 1989. Spiegel, Shari (2007). Macroeconomic and Growth Policy. Policy Note. UN DESA, 2007. Stalin, J. (1927). Interview with Foreign Workers' Delegations. November 5, 1927. Works, Vol. 10, August - December, 1927. Foreign Languages Publishing House, Moscow, 1954. Stalin, J. V. (1976). THE TASKS OF ECONOMIC EXECUTIVES.From J. V. Stalin, Problems of Leninism, Foreign Languages Press, Peking, 1976, pp. 519-31. http://marx2mao.com/Stalin/TEE31.html Toye, John (1989). Development Theory and Experiences of Development. Issues for the Future. Toye, John (2009). Development in an interdependent world: old issues, new directions? Background paper for WESS 2010. WDI database (2010). World Bank, 2010. Williamson, Jeffrey G. (2002). Winners and Losers over Two Centuries of Globalization. WIDER Annual lecture 6. WIDER/UNU, November 2002. WIPO (2009). World Intellectual Property Indicators. WIPO, Geneva, 2009. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/28111 |