Pappas, Anastasios (2010): Capital mobility and growth: Evidence from Greece. Published in: MIBES Transactions International Journal , Vol. 4, No. 1 (2010): pp. 80-95.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_29105.pdf Download (328kB) | Preview |
Abstract
A standard argument of the advocates of unrestricted capital flows is that they boost a small country’s growth by increasing the efficiency of the allocated capital. In this paper I examine the nexus between capital flows and real growth for the Greek economy during the period 1980-2000. Such a positive link is not confirmed by the analysis either for total capital flows or flows concerning exclusively Foreign Direct Investments which are considered as stable and in general valuable. These results are robust to both of estimation methods employed (Granger Causality test and OLS regressions) and pass stringent extreme bound analysis criteria (EBA). The findings of this paper support the notion that capital account liberalization is not panacea for the economic development of small open economies.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Capital mobility and growth: Evidence from Greece |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Growth; capital flows; FDI; Greece |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O10 - General O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O16 - Financial Markets ; Saving and Capital Investment ; Corporate Finance and Governance C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F43 - Economic Growth of Open Economies |
Item ID: | 29105 |
Depositing User: | Anastasios P. Pappas |
Date Deposited: | 23 Nov 2011 10:39 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 21:40 |
References: | Arestis, Phillip, Fattouh, B., Demetriades, P and Mouratidis, K (2002) 'The Impact of Financial Liberalization Policies on Financial Development: Evidence from Developing Economies.' International Journal of Finance and Economics, 7 . pp. 109-121. Bailliu Jeannine (2000) “Private Capital Flows, Financial Development, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries” Bank of Canada Working Paper 2000-15 Beck T., Levine R. and Loayza N. (1999) “Finance and the Sources of Growth”, The World Bank Development Research Group, Policy Research Working Paper 2057, February Bekaert, Geert, Campbell R. Harvey, and Christian Lundblad (2004) “Does financial liberalization spur growth?” NBER Working Paper, AFA 2002 Atlanta Meetings, September Breusch, T.S. and L. Godfrey (1981), “A review of recent work on testing for autocorrelation in dynamic simultaneous models.” in D. Currie, R. Nobay and D. Peel (eds), Macroeconomic Analysis: Essays in Macroeconomics and Econometrics, London:Croom Helm. Chinn Menzie D. and Hiro Ito (2005) “What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions” Santa Cruz Center for International Economics, Paper 05’03 Demetriades Panicos and Siong Hook Law (2004) “Finance, Institutions and Economic Growth” Department of Economics, University of Leicester, Discussion Paper Series in Economics No. 04/5, February. Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1979) “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root” Journal of the American Statistical Association 74, pp.427-431. ------------------------------(1981) “Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root” Econometrica 49, pp.1057-1072. Dritsaki, M. and Dritsakis, N. (2008) “On the Nexus Between Openness and Growth in Greece”, Applied Economics and Policy Analysis, Vol 2, No. 1-2, pp.303-316 Dritsakis, N. and A. Adamopoulos (2004) "Financial development and economic growth in Greece: An empirical investigation with Granger causality analysis", International Economic Journal, Vol. 18 (4) pp. 547-559 Engle R. F. (1982) “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom Inflation” Econometrica 50, pp.987-1007 Fischer Bernhard and Helmut Reisen (1992) “Towards Capital Account Convertibility” OECD Development Centre, Policy Brief No.4 Granger, C. W.J. (1969) “Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods”, Econometrica, Vol.37.pp.424-438. Granger, C. W. J. and Newbold, P.(1974) "Spurious regressions in econometrics" Journal of Econometrics Issue 2, Volume 2, pp.111-120 Hall, Robert E., and Jones, C. I., (1999) “Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker Than Others?,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 114(1), pp. 83-116. King Robert G. and Ross Levine (1993) “Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right” World Bank, Policy Research Working Papers, WPS 1083 Klenow, P. and A. Rodriguez-Clare (1997) “The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has it gone too far?” NBER Macroeconomics Annual, B. Bernanke and J. Rotemberg eds., Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, pp. 73-102. Kose, Ayhan, Eswar Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wie (2003) “Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence”, IMF forthcoming, March 17 --------------- (2004). "Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries," NBER Working Paper No. 10942, December Levine Ross and David Renelt (1992) “A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions” American Economics Review Vol. 82, No. 4, pp.942-963 Levine Ross and Sara Zervos (1996) “Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth” World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper 1690, December MacKinnon J. G. (1991) “Critical Values for Cointegration Tests, R.F. Engle and C.W.J. Granger (eds) in Long-run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration. Oxford: Oxford University Press Mankiw Gregory, David Romer and David N. Weil (1992) “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 2. (May, 1992), pp. 407-437. Miniane Jacques (2004) “A New Set of Measures on Capital Account Restrictions” IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 51, No. 2, International Monetary Fund, pp.276-308 Newey W. and K. West (1987) “A Simple Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix”, Econometrica 54, pp.703-708 Obstfeld M. (1998) “The Global Capital Market: Benefactor or Menace?” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol.12, No.4, pp.9–30 Petroulas P. (2007) “Short-Term Capital Flows and Growth in Developed and Emerging Markets”, Bank of Greece Working Paper n.60, May Phillips, P.C.B., (1986) “Understanding Spurious Regressions in Econometrics” Journal of Econometrics, 33, pp. 311-340 Phillips, P.C.B. and Perron, P. (1988) “Testing for a unit root in time series analysis” Biometrica 75, pp.335-346 Quinn Dennis (1997) “The Correlates of Change in International Financial Regulation” American Political Science Review, Vol.91, No.3, September, pp.531-551 Quinn D. and M. Toyoda (2003) “Does Capital Account Liberalization Lead to Economic Growth?: An Empirical Investigation”, Georgetown University McDonough School of Business, unpublished Ramsey, J.B. (1969). “Tests for Specification Errors in Classical Linear Least Squares Regression Analysis”, Journal of the Royal Statistics Society, 31:2, 350-371 Reisen Helmut (1999) “After the Great Asian Slump: Towards a Coherent Approach to Global Capital Flows”, OECD Development Centre, Policy Brief No.16 Rodrik, Dani (1998) “Who Needs Capital-Account Convertibility?” Peter Kenen (ed.), “Should the IMF Pursue Capital Account Convertibility?” Essays in International Finance, No. 207, Princeton University, pp. 55-65 Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997a) “I Just Run Four Million Regressions” NBER Working Paper Series No. 6252, January. Sala-i-Martin X. (1997b) “I Just Ran Two Million Regressions” American Economic Review, vol. 87, No.2 pp. 178-183. Stiglitz J. (2000) “Capital Market Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Instability” World Development Vol. 28, No. 6, pp.1075-1086 White, Halbert (1980) “A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroscedasticity” Econometrica, Vol. 48, pp.817-838 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/29105 |