Cellini, Roberto and Cuccia, Tiziana (2011): Are exchange rates really free from seasonality? An exploratory analysis on monthly time series.
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Abstract
This article questions the assumption that exchange rates are non-seasonal and provides selected evidence of monthly time series of exchange rates in which significant seasonal components are present. However, the seasonal component appears to be absent in more recent data. Tentative explanations are suggested.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Are exchange rates really free from seasonality? An exploratory analysis on monthly time series |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Seasonality; Exchange rates |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 30888 |
Depositing User: | Roberto Cellini |
Date Deposited: | 12 May 2011 12:22 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 02:15 |
References: | Grilli, V., Roubini, N. (1992), Liquidity and exchange rates, Journal of International Economics, 32, 339-52. Higgison, J. (1975) “An F test for the presence of moving seasonality”, mimeo; downloadable from the US Census Bureau website, www.census.gov. Jiménez-Martin, J.A., and Flores de Frutos, R. (2009), Seasonal fluctuations and equilibrium models of exchange rate, Applied Economics, 41, 2635-52. Meese, R., Rogoff, K. (1988), What is real? The exchange rate – interest differential relation over the modern floating rate period, The Journal of Finance, 43, 933-48. Miron, J.A. (1986), Seasonal fluctuations and the life cycle – permanent income model of consumption, Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1258-79. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/30888 |