Idrovo Aguirre, Byron and Tejada, Mauricio (2010): Modelos de predicción para la inflación de Chile. Published in: Cámara Chilena de la Construcción. Documentos de trabajo (29 March 2010)
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Abstract
In order to predict the inflation of Chile, we considered multivariate time series models and contrast the precision and predictive stability.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Modelos de predicción para la inflación de Chile |
English Title: | Inflation forecast models for Chile |
Language: | Spanish |
Keywords: | Inflación; curva de phillips; series de tiempo |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models |
Item ID: | 31586 |
Depositing User: | Byron Javier Idrovo Aguirre |
Date Deposited: | 20 Jun 2011 10:54 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 16:25 |
References: | De Gregorio J., 2009. "La Macroeconomía, los Economistas y la crisis", Banco Central de Chile, Documentos de Política Económica, No. 33. Pincheira P. & García A., 2009. "Forecasting Inflation in Chile With an Accurate Benchmark", Banco Central de Chile, Documento de Trabajo, No. 514. Elliot G. & Timmerman A., 2008. "Economic Forecasting", Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 46, No. 1 (Mar. 2008), pp. 3-56. Stock J. H. & Watson M. W., 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?", NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Giacomini, R. & White, H., 2006. "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability", Econometrica, 74(6): 1545-78. Céspedes L.F ,Ochoa M. & Soto C. (2005). "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of Chile", Banco Central de Chile, Documento de Trabajo No. 355. Lindé J., 2005. "The Efects of Permanent Technology Shocks on Labour Productivity and Hours in the RBC Models" Discussion Papers 4827, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. Rudd J. & Whelan K., 2005. "Modelling inflation dynamics: a critical review of recent research", Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). Stock J. &Watson M., 2003. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices", Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 41, No. 3 (Sep., 2003), pp. 788-829. Nadal de Simone F., 2001. "Proyección de Inflación en Chile", Revista de Economía Chilena 4(3): 59-85. Stock J. & Watson M., 1998. "Difusion Indexes", NBER Working Paper No. 6702. Kim & Nelson 1998. State Space Models With Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications. The MIT Press. Cambridge, Massachusetts. London, England. Stock J. & Watson M., 1991. "A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems", Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 91-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/31586 |