Onur, Esen (2011): How much you know matters: A note on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle.
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Abstract
This paper offers a dynamic model of the foreign exchange market where some investors in the market are more informed than others. By adjusting the proportion of informed investors in the market, it is shown that the disconnect between macroeconomic variables and the exchange rate is sensitive to the amount of asymmetric information in the market. A surprising fi�nding is that this disconnect is bigger when the proportion of informed investors in the market is smaller.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | How much you know matters: A note on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Market microstructure; Foreign exchange market; Asymmetric information |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information ; Mechanism Design F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 32772 |
Depositing User: | Esen Onur |
Date Deposited: | 13 Aug 2011 02:28 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 22:12 |
References: | Bacchetta, P., and Van Wincoop, E. (2006) "Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?,"American Economic Review, 96, No.3, 552-575. Bjonnes, G., Rime, D., and Solheim, H. (2004). "Liquidity Provision in the Overnight Foreign Exchange Market", Journal of International Money and Finance, 24, 177-198. Bjonnes, G., Rime, D., and Solheim, H. (2005). "Volume and Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market: Does It Matter Who You are? "in Exchange Rate Economics: Where Do We Stand? Paul De Grauwe (ed.), The MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass. 39-63. Evans, Martin D. D., and Rime, D. (2010). "Micro Approaches to Foreign Exchange Determination,"Working Papers No 10-4, Georgetown University . Fan, M., and Lyons, R. (2003) "Customer Trades and Extreme Events in Foreign Exchange" in Essays in Honor of Charles Goodhart, Paul Mizen (ed.), Edward Elgar: Northampton, MA, USA, pages 160-179. Flood, P., R., and Rose, K., A. (1995). "Fixing Exchange Rates A Virtual Quest for Fundamentals,"Journal of Monetary Economics 36, 3-37. Marsh, W., I. and O'Rourke, C. (2005). "Customer Order Flow and Exchange Rate Movements: Is There Really Information Content?"Cass Business School, London. Onur, E. (2008). "The Role of Asymmetric Information Among Investors in the Foreign Exchange Market,"International Journal of Finance and Economics 13, 368-385. Osler, C., Mende A., and Menkhof, L. (2010). "Price Discovery in Currency Markets," Working Papers No 03, Brandeis University Townsend, Robert M. (1983), "Forecasting the Forecasts of Others," Journal of Political Economy 91, 546-588. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/32772 |