Dobrescu, Emilian (2004): Economia Romaniei in perioada 2003-2010: Estimari de macromodel. Published in: Dezvoltarea durabila in Romania: Modele si scenarii pe termen mediu si lung, Emilian Dobrescu & Lucian-Liviu Albu (Editors), Expert Publishing House, Bucharest, Romania, 2005 (2005): pp. 271-293.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_35768.pdf Download (2MB) | Preview |
Preview |
PDF
APROBARE_EXPERT.jpg Download (983kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper presents the Version 2000 of the Romanian macromodel (elaborated by the author). For the period 2003-2010, two scenarios have been elaborated. The first, named “Desirable” incorporates the main lines of the Strategy for integration of Romania into European Union. The second scenario, named “Moderate”, takes into account a slower improvement of the external competitiveness of economy. Both assume an unambiguous promotion of the structural reforms necessary for implementation of functional market mechanisms.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Economia Romaniei in perioada 2003-2010: Estimari de macromodel |
English Title: | Romanian economy during 2003-2010: Macromodel estimations |
Language: | Romanian |
Keywords: | macromodel, simulations, forecasting |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy |
Item ID: | 35768 |
Depositing User: | Emilian Dobrescu |
Date Deposited: | 10 Jun 2012 09:17 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 07:35 |
References: | Balassa, B.: "The Purchasing Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal", Journal of Political Economy, 72 (December), p. 584-596, 1964 Bhagwati, J.: "Why Are Services Cheaper in the Poor Countries?" Economic Journal, 94, June, p. 279-280,1984 Buiter, W.H.; Grafe, C: "Central Banking and the Choice of Currency Regime in Accession Countries", în Revue d'Economie Financière, Special Issue: "Ten Years of Transition in Eastern European Countries - Achievement and Challenges", Paris, p. 287-318, 2001 Ciupagea, C.; Ţurlea, G.; Ţurlea, C.; Unguru, M.; Gheorghiu, D.; Gheorghiu, R.: „Procese definitorii şi tendinţe în integrarea economică europeană. Strategii de dezvoltare economică a României în perspectiva integrării în Uniunea Europeană", Studii şi cercetări economice, Voi. 8, CIDE-INCE Academia Română, p. 3-74, 2003 Dobrescu, E.: Macromodels of the Romanian Transition Economy, Third Edition, Expert Publishing House, Bucharest, 2000 Dobrescu, E.: "Macromodel Estimations for the Romanian Pre- Accession Economic Programme", Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, Supplement 1/2002, p. 5-38, 2002a Dobrescu, E.: Transition in Romania - Econometric Approaches, Economica Publishing House, Bucharest, 2002b Dobrescu, E.: Macromodel Estimations for the 2002 Version of the Romanian Pre-Accession Economic Programme, The 29th Conference Macromodels Cedzyna-Poland, December, 2002c Dobrescu; E.: "Macromodel Estimations for the Romanian Pre- Accession Economic Programme (2003 Version)", Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 4/2003, p. 23-50, 2003 Dornbush, R.: "Purchasing Power Parity", în The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money & Finance, Vol. 3, New York, Stockton Press, p. 236-244,1992 Dornbush, R.: Exchange Rate and Inflation, The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1994 Heston, A.; Nuxoll, D.A.; Summers, R.: "The Differential-Productivity Hypothesis and Purchasing-Power Parities: Some New Evidence", Review of International Economics, 2(3), October, p. 227-243,1994 Kravis, I.; Lipsey, R.: "Toward an Explanation of National Price Levels", Princeton Studies in International Finance, 52, International Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University, November, 1983 Krugman, P.R.; Obstfeld, M.: International Economics - Theory and Policy, Fifth Edition, Addison-Wesley Longman, 2000 Rusu, C; Bulearcă, M.; Hornianschi, N.; Bădileanu, M.; Sima, C; Neagu, C; Miroiu, R.; Odae, N.: „Formularea ipotezelor şi construirea scenariilor privind evoluţia în perspectiva anului 2010 a industriei româneşti şi a ramurilor industriale. Definirea măsurilor şi instrumentelor economico-sociale necesare aplicării politicii industriale", Studii şi cercetări economice, Voi. 9-10, CIDE-INCE, Academia Română, p. 3-104,2003 Samuelson, P.A.: "Theoretical Notes on Trade Problems", Review of Economics and Statistics, 46 (May), p. 145-154,1964 Samuelson, P. A'.: "Facets of Balassa-Samuelson Thirty Years Later", Review of International Economics, 2(3), October, p. 201-226,1994 Santarossa, D.L.: "Arrears as a Sign of Financial Repression in Transition Economies - The Case of Romania Romanian Economic Research Observer, Nos. 11-12, Romanian Academy - National Institute of Economic Research, 2001 Schreyer, P.; Koechlin, F.: Purchasing Power Parities - Benchmark Results, OECD Statistics Directorate 1, www.oecdwash.org/DAT A/ STATS/ppp_1999bench.pdf_, 2002 *** Project LINK: Meeting April 23-25, World Economic Outlook Generated by United Nations/Department of Economic and Social Affairs, (www.chass.utoronto.ca/link), 2003 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/35768 |