Malini, Nair (2005): An Actuarial Analysis of Calibration of Crop Insurance Premiums to Heterogeneous Risks.
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Abstract
This paper examines whether the loadings on the crop insurance premium rates for risks such as moral hazard and adverse selection are adequate. From the discrete choice (tobit) analysis conducted, we discover that the premium loadings for 75% coverage level are not adequate, resulting in losses for the Risk Management Agency.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | An Actuarial Analysis of Calibration of Crop Insurance Premiums to Heterogeneous Risks |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | crop insurance, tobit modeling, moral hazard, adverse selection, premium rate, loading on premiums |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G22 - Insurance ; Insurance Companies ; Actuarial Studies C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models ; Discrete Regressors ; Proportions ; Probabilities C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C0 - General > C01 - Econometrics |
Item ID: | 37934 |
Depositing User: | Malini Nair |
Date Deposited: | 08 Apr 2012 16:37 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:43 |
References: | Driscoll, J. L. “Changes in Rate Making for Federal Crop Insurance.” Multiple Peril Crop Insurance: A Collection of Empirical Studies, ed. Harry Mapp, pp.27-48. Stillwater OK: Agricultural Experiment Station, Oklahoma State University, 1988. Goodwin, B.K. “ An Empirical Analysis of the Demand for Crop Insurance.” Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 75(May 1993):425-34. __. “Premium Rate Determination in the Federal Crop Insurance Program: What do Averages Have to Say About Risk?” J. Agr. and Res. Econ. 19(December 1994):382-95. Goodwin, B. K., and V. H. Smith. The Economics of Crop Insurance and Disaster Aid. Washington, D.C: AEI Press, 1995. Greene, W. H. Econometric Analysis. New York: McMillan Publishing Company, 1993. Kennedy, P. A Guide to Econometrics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1992. Knight, T. O., and K. H. Coble. “Mean Yields and Crop Insurance Premium Rates: What Actuarial Experience Reveals About Rate Structures and the Potential for Adverse Selection.” Unpublished, 1999. Knight, T. O., and K. H. Coble. “Actuarial Effects of Unit Structure in the U.S. Actual Production History Crop Insurance Program.” Submitted to J. Agr. and Appl. Econ., 1999. Milliman & Robertson, Inc. “ Federal Crop Insurance Company Ratemaking Overview.” Draft paper prepared for the Economic Research Service, USDA, Pasadena, CA, June 14, 1996. Miranda, M, J. “ Area-Yield Crop Insurance Reconsidered.” Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 73(May 1991):233-42. Skees, J. R., and M.R. Reed. “Rate Making for Farm-Level Crop Insurance: Implications for Adverse Selection.” Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 68(August 1986): 653-9. Smith, V. H., and B. K. Goodwin. “Crop Insurance, Moral Hazard, and Agricultural Chemical Use.” Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 78(May 1996):428-38. Williams, J. R., G.R. Carricker, G.A. Barnaby, and J. K. Harper. “Crop Insurance and Disaster Assistance Design for Wheat and Sorghum.” Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 75(May 1993):435-47. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/37934 |
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