Ismail, Mohd Adib and Mawar, Murni Yunus (2012): Energy use, emissions, economic growth and trade: A Granger non-causality evidence for Malaysia.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_38473.pdf Download (240kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper investigates the relationship among energy, emissions and economic growth in Malaysia with the presence of trade activities. We employ Johansen’s (1995) approach to investigate the relationship. Using annual data from 1971 to 2007, the empirical results shows that there are long-run causalities among energy, emission and economic growth, and among energy, emissions, export and capital, while the short-run Granger non-causality test shows that there are unidirectional causalities running from energy to economic growth and capital, from economic growth to capital and from emissions to export. The short-run results show that the Malaysian data support the growth hypothesis relationship between energy and economic growth, in which the conservation policies such as reduction measures in energy use will not work to improve the environment. In contrast, in the long-run, the feedback hypothesis is observed. Therefore, we suggest the policy makers in Malaysia to focus on long-run conservation policies.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Energy use, emissions, economic growth and trade: A Granger non-causality evidence for Malaysia |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Emissions; Economic growth; Export; VECM; Causality; Impulse-response function; Malaysia |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q50 - General Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q43 - Energy and the Macroeconomy |
Item ID: | 38473 |
Depositing User: | MOHD ADIB ISMAIL |
Date Deposited: | 30 Apr 2012 12:46 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 14:30 |
References: | Ang, J. (2008). "Economic development, pollutant emissions and energy consumption in Malaysia." Journal of Policy Modeling 30: 271-278. Aslanidis, N. (2009) Environmental Kuznets curves for carbon emissions: A critical survey. Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Working Papers 336, 1-33 Bank, W. (2011). World Development Indicators, ESDS International, University of Manchester. September 2011. Bo, S. (2011). "A literature survey on environmental Kuznets curve." Energy Procedia 5: 1322-1325. Chen, S., Kuo, H., Chen, C. (2007). "The relationship between GDP and electricity consumption in 10 Asian countries." Energy Policy 35: 2611-2621. Chiou-Wei, S., Chen, C., Zhu, Z. (2008). "Economic growth and energy consumption revisited - Evidence from linear and nonlinear Granger causality." Energy Economics 30: 3063-3076. Chontanawat, J., Hunt, L., Pierse, R. (2008). "Does energy consumption cause economic growth?: Evidence from a systematic study of over 100 countries." Journal of Policy Modeling 30: 209-220. Dinda, S. (2004). "Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: A survey." Ecological Economics 49: 431-455. Elliott, G., Rothernberg, T., Stock, J. (1996). "Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root." Econometrica 64: 813-836. Glynn, J., Perera, N., Verma, R. (2007) Unit root tests and structural breaks: A survey with applications. Revista De Metodos Cuantitativos Para La Economia Y La Empresa 3, 63-79 Halicioglu, F. (2009). "An econometric study of CO2 emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade in Turkey." Energy Policy 37: 1156-1164. Hamit-Haggar, M. (2012). "Greenhouse gas emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: A panel cointegration analysis from Canadian industrial sector perspective." Energy Economics 34: 358-364. Huang, B., Hwang, M., Yang, C. (2008). "Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth revisited: A dynamic panel data approach." Ecological Economics 67: 41-54. Jinke, L., Hualing, S., Dianming, G. (2008). "Causality relationship between coal consumption and GDP: Difference of major OECD and non-OECD countries." Applied Energy 85: 421-429. Johansen, S. (1995). Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models. Oxford, Oxford University Press. Kijima, M., Nishide, K., Ohyama, A. (2010). "Economic models for the environmental Kuznets curve: A survey." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34: 1187-1201. Koop, G., Pesaran, M., Potter, S. (1996). "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models." Journal of Econometrics 74: 119-147. Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P., Schmidt, P., Shin, Y. (1992). "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?" Journal of Econometrics 54: 159-178. Lean, H., Smyth, R. (2010). "CO2 emissions, electricity consumption and output in ASEAN." Applied Energy 87: 1858-1864. Lee, C., Chang, C. (2008). "Energy consumption and economic growth in Asian countries: A more comprehensive analysis using panel data." Resource and Energy Economics 30: 50-65. Lee, C., Chang, C., Chen, P. (2008). "Energy-income causality in OECD countries revisited: The key role of capital stock." Energy Economics 30: 2359-2373. Mahadevan, R., Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2007). "Energy consumption, economic growth and prices: A reassessment using panel VECM for developed and developing countries." Energy Policy 35: 2481-2490. Masih, A., Masih, R. (1996). "Energy consumption, real income and temporal causality: results from a multi-country study based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques." Energy Economics 18: 165-183. Narayan, P., Prasad, A. (2008). "Electricity consumption-real GDP causality nexus: Evidence from a bootstrapped causality test for 30 OECD countries." Energy Policy 36: 910-918. Ozturk, I. (2010). "A literature survey on energy-growth nexus." Energy Policy 38: 340-349. Payne, J. (2009). "On the dynamics of energy consumption and output in the US." Applied Energy 86: 575-577. Payne, J. (2010). "Survey of the international evidence on the causal relationship between energy consumption and growth." Journal of Economic Studies 37: 53-95. Payne, J., Taylor, J. (2010). "Nuclear energy consumption and economic growth in the U.S.: An empirical note." Energy Sources 5: 301-307. Perron, P. (1989). "The Great Crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis." Econometrica 57: 1361-1401. Reynolds, D., Kolodziej, M. (2008). "Former Soviet Union oil production and GDP decline: Granger causality and the multi-cycle Hubbert curve." Energy Economics 30: 271-289. Sari, R., Ewing, B., Sotyas, U. (2008). "The relationship between disaggregate energy consumption and industrial production in the United States: An ARDL approach." Energy Economics 30: 2302-2313. Song, T., Zheng, T, Tong, L. (2008). "An empirical test of the environmental Kuznets curve in China: A panel cointegration approach." China Economic Review 19: 381-392. Sotyas, U., Sari, R. (2009). "Energy consumption, economic growth, and carbon emissions: Challenges faced by an EU candidate member." Ecological Economics 68: 1667-1675. Sotyas, U., Sari, R., Ewing, B. (2007). "Energy consumption, income, and carbon emissions in the United States." Ecological Economics 62: 482-489. Stern, D. (2004). "The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve." World Development 32: 1419-1439. Yamada, H., Toda, H. (1998). "Inference in possibly integrated vector autoregressive models: Some finite sample evidence." Journal of Econometrics 86: 55-95. Yoo, S. (2006). "The causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN countries." Energy Policy 34: 3573-3582. Yuan, J., Kang, J., Zhao, C., Hu, Z. (2008). "Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from China at both aggregated and disaggregated levels." Energy Economics 30: 3077-3094. Zhang, X., Cheng X. (2009). "Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China." Ecological Economics 68: 2706-2712. Zivot, E., Andrews, D. (1992). "Further evidence on the Great Crash, the oil price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 10: 251-270. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/38473 |