Dorsch, Michael and Maarek, Paul (2012): Inefficient predation, information, and contagious institutional change.
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This paper presents an agency theory of revolutionary political transitions from autocracy to democracy. We model authoritarian economic policy as the equilibrium outcome of a repeated game between an elite ruling class and a disenfranchised working class, in which workers have imperfect information about the elite's policy choice and the economy's productive capacity. We characterize the conditions under which, in equilibrium, (i) the elite will set inefficient economic institutions under the threat of revolution, (ii) information shocks can catalyze democratic revolutions that may be contagious among similar countries, and (iii) democracy can be consolidated following a political transition.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Inefficient predation, information, and contagious institutional change|
|Keywords:||Political transition, Revolution, Asymmetric information, Contagion, Democratic consolidation, Arab Spring|
|Subjects:||D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D71 - Social Choice ; Clubs ; Committees ; Associations
D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D74 - Conflict ; Conflict Resolution ; Alliances ; Revolutions
P - Economic Systems > P4 - Other Economic Systems > P48 - Political Economy ; Legal Institutions ; Property Rights ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Regional Studies
|Depositing User:||Paul Maarek|
|Date Deposited:||12. May 2012 23:55|
|Last Modified:||17. Feb 2013 04:35|
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