Estrada, Fernando (2012): The logic of violence in the civil war: the economics perspective. Published in: Perfil de Coyuntura Económica , Vol. 17, No. 8 (2012)
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Abstract
This article proposes a reading of the armed conflict from an evolutionary design that takes into account the concept of private protection agencies in the works of Schelling / Nozick / Gambetta. Their aim is to assess the dynamics of conflict and changes from its author's scientific output. A context of conflicts that includes new expressions of violence and the relative failure of the paramilitary reintegration involves using new analytical models (argumentation, game theory and inconsistent information). The recent evolution of emerging gangs and their expansion into areas that were paramilitary camps requires monitoring not only of the government and the authorities, but those investigating the conflict in the present tense. The author provides heuristic research support from Schelling’s theory of strategy, Nozick’s agencies and the protection, and Gambetta’s recent contributions to the relationship between organized crime and drug cartels.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | The logic of violence in the civil war: the economics perspective |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Civil War, Colombia, armed conflict, drug trafficking, organized crime, paramilitary counterinsurgency war, Game Theory and inconsistent information |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D84 - Expectations ; Speculations C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C7 - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory > C71 - Cooperative Games D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information ; Mechanism Design D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C7 - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory > C72 - Noncooperative Games |
Item ID: | 38823 |
Depositing User: | Fernando Estrada |
Date Deposited: | 16 May 2012 03:10 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 14:47 |
References: | Angrist, Joshua and Adriana D. Kugler, (2008), “Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. XC may, number 2. Banks, C.M., Sokolowski, J.A., (2008), From War on Drugs to War against Terrorism: Modeling the Evolution of Colombia’s Counter-Insurgency, Social Science Research. Cajas, Juan, (2008), “Globalización del crimen, cultura y mercados ilegales”, Ide@s, Concyteg, Año 3, Núm. 36. Castillo, María del Pilar, “La decisión de desplazarse: un modelo teórico a partir de un estudio de caso”, Bogotá, Revista Análisis Político 65, Enero/Abril de 2009, Instituto de Estudios Políticos y Relaciones Internacionales, IEPRI, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, pp. 33 – 52. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/38823 |