Cernadas, Luis and Aldazosa, René (2011): Estimación de una Función de Reacción para la Política Monetaria en Bolivia. Published in: Revista Monetaria , Vol. Vol. X, No. Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (January 2011): pp. 1-36.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_40592.pdf Download (558kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper models the behavior of the Central Bank of Bolivia, through the estimation of reaction functions. According to the monetary program, the central bank implements its policy through the use of monetary aggregates. However, given the crawling peg exchange rate regime, the nominal exchange rate became a very important variable for economic policy management. Additionally, the reduction in levels of dollarization have caused an improvement in the transmission mechanism from interest rates to prices. Thus, we estimate three reaction functions: one for the nominal exchange rate, other for the interest rate and other for the net loans. The results indicate that this variable adequately explains the stance of the monetary authority.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Estimación de una Función de Reacción para la Política Monetaria en Bolivia |
English Title: | Estimating a Monetary Policy Reaction Function for Bolivia |
Language: | Spanish |
Keywords: | Política Monetaria, Mecanismos de Transmisión, Función de Reacción, Bolivia |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates |
Item ID: | 40592 |
Depositing User: | Luis Cernadas |
Date Deposited: | 11 Aug 2012 07:49 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 14:17 |
References: | Ball, L. (1997), “Efficient Rules for Monetary Policy”. NBER Working Paper Nº5952. Ball, L. (1998), “Policy Rules for Open Economies”. Research Discussion Paper Nº 9806, Reserve Bank of Australia. Ball, L. (2000). “Policy Rules and External Shocks”. NBER Working Paper Nº7910. Baum, C., Schaffer, H., Stillman, S. (2003), “Instrumental Variables and GMM estimation and testing”. Boston College, Watt University, New Zealand Department of Labour. WP Nº 545. Bernanke, B., Blinder, A. (1988). “Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand”, American Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 2, pp. 435-439. Bernanke, B., Gertler, M. (1996). “Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission”, NBER working paper series, No. 5146 Carvalho, A., Moura, M., (2008), “What Can Taylor Rules Say About Monetary Policy in Latin America”, Documento de trabajo. Banco Central de Brazil. Castro, J. F., Morón, E. (2002), “Uncovering Central Bank Monetary Policy Objectives: Going Beyond Fear of Floating”. Macroeconomics 02050002, Econ WPA. Cernadas, L., Paz, V. (2008), “El Canal de Transmisión de las Tasas de Interés en la Ejecución de la Política Monetaria: ¿Funciona en Bolivia? “, Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Cernadas, L., Rodrigo, L., Rodriguez H., Fernandez V., Paz V. y Aldazosa R. (2009) “Instrumentación de La Política Monetaria por Medio de un Corredor de Tasas de Interés”. Documento de trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Clarida, R., Galí, J., Gertler, M. (1998). “Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence”. European Economic Review, Vol. Nº42. Clarida, R., Gertler, M. (1997), “How the Bundesbank Conducts Moentary Policy, in Reducing Inflation: Motivation and Strategy”. Chicago: University of Chicago. Clarida, R., (2001), “The Empirics of Monetary Rules in Open Economies”, Working Paper No 8603, National Bureau of Economic Research. Cossío, J., Laguna, M., Martin, D., Mendieta, P., Mendoza, R., Palmero, M., y Rodriguez, H. (2009). “La inflación y Políticas del Banco Central de Bolivia”. Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Escobar, F. y Mendieta, P. (2004), “Inflación y Depreciación en una Economía Dolarizada: el caso de Bolivia”, Banco Central de Bolivia, Revista de Análisis, Volumen 7 N°1 Estrella, A. y Mishkin, F. (1996). "Is There a Role for Monetary Aggregates in the Conduct of Monetary Policy?". Working Paper No 5845. National Bureau of Economic Research. Favero, C. A. (2001), “Applied Macroeconometrics”, Oxford University Press. Gerdesmeier, D., Roffia, B. (2003). “Empirical Estimates of Reaction Functions for The Euro Area”. Working paper Nº 206. European Central Bank. González, P., Tejada, M., (2006), “No linealidades en la Regla de Política Monetaria del Bacno Central de Chile: Una Evidencia Empírica”, Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Chile. Hansen, L., (1982), “Large Sample Properties of Generalizaed Method of Moments Estimators”. Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4. Hansen, L., (2007), “Generalizaed Method of Moments Estimation”, Department of Economics, University of Chicago. Horváth, B., Maino, R. (2006). “Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Belarus”. WP/06/246. International Monetary Fund. Jácome, L., Parrado, E. (2006). “The quest for price stability in Central America and the Dominican Republic”. Documento de Trabajo Nº390. Banco Central de Chile Koivu, T., Mehrotra, A., Nuutilainen R. (2008). “McCallum rule and Chinese monetary policy”. Discussion Papers Nº15. Bank of Finland. Lahura, E. (2005). “El efecto Traspaso de la Tasa de Interés y la Política Monetaria en el Perú: 1995-2004”. Documentos de Trabajo. N° 2005-008. Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. Leiderman, L., Maino, R., Parrado, E. (2008). “Metas de inflación en economías dolarizadas”. Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. McCallum, Bennett, 1988, “Robustness properties of a rule for monetary,” Carnegie- Rochester Conference Series on Public Society Nº 29. McCallum, Bennett, 2003, “Japanese Monetary Policy, 1991-2001. Working paper. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic. Mendieta, P. (2008). “El equilibrio de la competitividad cambiaria boliviana: un enfoque empírico”. Documento de Trabajo Para Presentación en el Segundo Encuentro de Economistas. Banco Central de Bolivia. Mendieta, P., Murillo, A., Palmero, M. (2008). “Estimación de un modelo estructural pequeño para Bolivia”. Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Mendoza, R. y Boyan, R. (2001). “Metas Explícitas de Inflación y la política monetaria en Bolivia”. Documento de Trabajo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Morales, J. y Sachs, J. (1990), “Bolivia´s economic crisis” en Jeffrey Sachs, Ed., Developing Country Debt and Economic Performance, Vol. 2, Chicago y Londres Press. Morón, E., Winkelried, D. (2005). “Monetary Policy rules for financially vulnerable economies”, Journal of Development Economics, 76. Parrado, E. (2004). “Singapore’s Unique Monetary Policy: How Does It Work”. WP/04/10. International Monetary Fund. Plantier, C., Scrimgeour, D. (2002). “Estimating a Taylor Rule for New Zealand with a time-varying neutral real rate”. Discussion Paper Series 06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Poole, W. (1999). “Monetary Policy Rules?”. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Restrepo, J. (1999). “Reglas monetarias en Colombia y Chile”. Archivos de Macroeconomía Nº 99. Departamento Nacional de Planeacón. Colombia. Svensson, L, (1997). “Inflation forecast targeting: implementing and monitoring inflation targets”. European Economic Review Nº 41. Taylor, J, (1993). “Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice”. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy Nº39. Wang, S. y Handa, J. (2007), “Monetary Policy rules under a fixed exchange rate regime: empirical evidence from China”. Department of Economics, McGill University. Williams, J. (1999). “Simple rules for monetary policy”. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Discussion Paper Nº12. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/40592 |