Cheng, Gong (2011): A Growth Perspective on Foreign Reserve Accumulation.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_46668.pdf Download (671kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Based on a dynamic open-economy macroeconomic model, this paper aims at understanding the contribution of domestic financial under-development to foreign reserve accumulation in some emerging market economies, especially in China. It is argued that foreign reserve accumulation is a consequence of a growth strategy induced by strong capital investment in a financially constrained economy. It is further proved using a Ramsey problem that purchasing international reserves is a welfare-improving policy in terms of production efficiency gains when the domestic economy faces two sources of frictions: credit constraint and capital controls. In fact, when domestic firms are occasionally credit-constrained and they do not have a direct access to international financial market, they need domestic saving instruments to increase their retained earnings so that they can sufficiently invest in capital. The central bank/government plays the role of financial intermediary and provides domestic firms with a liquid public bond, thus relaxing the domestic credit constraint. The proceeds of domestic public bonds are then invested abroad due to the limited scope of domestic financial market and a depressed domestic interest rate, leading to foreign reserve stockpiling. The speed of foreign reserve accumulation will slow down with the domestic financial deepening and the development of the domestic financial market.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | A Growth Perspective on Foreign Reserve Accumulation |
English Title: | A Growth Perspective on Foreign Reserve Accumulation |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Foreign reserves, capital controls, credit constraints, domestic savings, capital investment, economic growth, Chinese economy |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F43 - Economic Growth of Open Economies |
Item ID: | 46668 |
Depositing User: | M Gong Cheng |
Date Deposited: | 03 May 2013 00:12 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:37 |
References: | Adjemian, Stephane, Houtan Bastani, Michel Juillard, Ferhat Mihoubi, George Perendia, Marco Ratto, and S´ebastien Villemot (2011) ‘Dynare: Reference manual, version 4.’ Dynare Working Papers 1, CEPREMAP, April Aizenman, Joshua, and Jaewoo Lee (2007) ‘International reserves: Precautionary versus mercantilist views, theory and evidence.’ Open Economies Review 18(2), 191–214 Aizenman, Joshua, and Michael M. Hutchison (2010) ‘Exchange market pressure and absorption by international reserves: Emerging markets and fear of reserve loss during the 2008-09 crisis.’ NBER Working Papers 16260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, September Bacchetta, Philippe, and Kenza Benhima (2010) ‘The demand for liquid assets, corporate saving, and global imbalances.’ Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Dpartement d’Economtrie et d’Economie politique (DEEP) 10.12, Universit de Lausanne, Faculte des HEC, DEEP, December Bacchetta, Philippe, Kenza Benhima, and Yannick Kalantzis (2012) ‘Capital controls with international reserve accumulation: Can this be optimal?’ CEPR Discussion Papers 8753, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, January Benigno, Gianluca, and Luca Fornaro (2012) ‘Reserve accumulation, growth and financial crises.’ CEP Discussion Papers dp1161, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, August Bianchi, Javier, Juan Carlos Hatchondo, and Leonardo Martinez (2012) ‘International reserves and rollover risk.’ Technical Report, University of Wisconsin Caballero, Ricardo J., Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas (2008) ‘An equilibrium model of “global imbalances” and low interest rates.’ American Economic Review Dooley, Michael, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter M. Garber (2003) ‘An essay on therevived bretton woods system.’ NBER Working Papers 9971, National Bureau of Economic Research Erosa, Andres, and Martin Gervais (2001) ‘Optimal taxation in infinitely-lived agent and overlapping generations models : a review.’ Economic Quarterly (Spr), 23–44 Ghosh, Atish R., Jonathan David Ostry, and Charalambos G. Tsangarides (2012) ‘Shifting motives: Explaining the buildup in official reserves in emerging markets since the 1980s.’ IMF Working Papers 12/34, International Monetary Fund, January Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, and Olivier Jeanne (2007) ‘Capital flows to developing countries: The allocation puzzle.’ NBER Working Papers 13602, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, November IEO (2012) ‘International reserves: Imf concerns and country perspectives.’ In ‘IEO report’(International Monetary Fund) Jeanne, Olivier, and Romain Ranci`ere (2011) ‘The optimal level of international reserves for emerging market countries: A new formula and some applications.’ Economic Journal 121(555), 905–930 Korinek, Anton, and Luis Serven (2010) ‘Undervaluation through foreign reserve accumulation: Static losses, dynamic gains.’ Policy Research Working Paper Series 5250, The World Bank, March Ljungqvist, L., and T.J. Sargent (2004) Recursive Macroeconomic Theory 2e (Mit Press) Nelson, Richard R, and Howard Pack (1999) ‘The asian miracle and modern growth theory.’ Economic Journal 109(457), 416–36 Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie, and Martin Uribe (2003) ‘Closing small open economy models.’ Journal of International Economics 61(1), 163–185 Song, Zheng, Kjetil Storesletten, and Fabrizio Zilibotti (2011) ‘Growing like china.’ American Economic Review 101(1), 196–233 Walter, C., and F. Howie (2012) Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of Chinas Extraordinary Rise (John Wiley & Sons) Wen, Yi (2011) ‘Making sense of china’s excessive foreign reserves.’ Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Woodford, Michael (1990) ‘Public debt as private liquidity.’ American Economic Review 80(2), 382–88 Yu, Qiao (1998) ‘Capital investment, international trade and economic growth in china: Evidence in the 1980-1990s.’ China Economic Review 9(1), 73–84 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/46668 |