HAMDI, Helmi and SBIA, Rashid (2012): Short-run and Long-run causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in a small open economy.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_49904.pdf Download (418kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth for the kingdom of Bahrain during the period 1980–2008. By performing an error-correction model, our results reveal that electricity consumption and GDP are cointegrated. The granger causality tests indicate bi-directional relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth in the long-run while results of the short-run reveal unidirectional causality relationship between the two variables.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Short-run and Long-run causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in a small open economy |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Electricity consumption, Growth, Bahrain, cointegration, Granger causality |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O44 - Environment and Growth O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy |
Item ID: | 49904 |
Depositing User: | rashid sbia |
Date Deposited: | 19 Sep 2013 12:28 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:34 |
References: | Akarca, A. T., Long, T. V., (1980). On the Relationship between Energy and GNP: A Reexamination. Journal of Energy and Development, 5, 326-331. Altinay, G., Karagol, E., (2005). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey. Energy Economics, 27, 849-856. Asafu-Adjaye, J., (2000). The Relationship between Energy Consumption, Energy Prices and Economic Growth: Time Series Evidence from Asian Developing Countries. Energy Economics, 22, 615-625. Chang, J., Wong, J. F. (2001). Poverty, energy and economic growth in Singapore. Working Paper, Department of Economics, National University of Singapore. Engle, R., and Granger, C. W. J., (1987). Cointegration and Error- Correction Representation, Estimation and Testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276. Ghali,-K.H, and El-Sakka,-M.I.T (2004) “Energy use and output growth in Canada: a multivariate cointegration analysis” Energy Economics, Vol. 26 (2), pp.225–38. Granger, C.W.J., (1986). Developments in the study of cointegrated economic variables. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 48, 213-228. Granger, C.W.J., (1988). Some recent developments in a concept of causality. Journal of Econometrics 39, 199-211. Hwang, D. B., and Gum, B., (1992). The Causal Relationship between Energy and GNP: The Case of Taiwan. Journal of Energy and Development, 16, 219-226. Jumbe, C. B. L., (2004). Cointegration and Causality between Electricity Consumption and GDP: Empirical Evidence from Malawi. Energy Economics, 26, 61-68. Kraft, J., and Kraft, A., (1978). On the Relationship between Energy and GNP. Journal of Energy and Development, 3, 401-403. Masih, A., and Masih, R., (1996). Energy Consumption, Real Income and Temporal Causality: Results from a Multi-Country Study Based on Cointegration and Error Correction Modeling Techniques. Energy Economics, 18, 165-183. Mazumder, P., and Marathe, A., (2007). Causality Relationship between Electricity Consumption and GDP in Bangladesh. Energy Policy, 35, 395-402 Nanthakumar, L.,and Subramaniam, T., (2010). Dynamic Cointegration Link between Energy Consumption and Economic Performance: Empirical Evidence from Malaysia. International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance, Vol.1, No.3. Narayan, P.K., and Smyth, R., (2008). Energy consumption and real GDP in G7 countries, new evidence from panel cointegration with structural breaks. Energy Economics 30, 2331–2341. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. J., (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289-326. Phillips, P.C.B.and Perron, P., (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75, 335–346. Stern, D. I., (2000). A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the Role of Energy in the US Macro Economy. Energy Economics, 22, 267-283. Wolde-Rufael, Y., (2005). Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: A Time Series Experience for 17 African Countries. Energy Policy, 34, 1106-1114. World Bank., (2009). World Development Indicators 2009. Washington: United States. World Telecommunication Indicators. (2011). ICT Indicators Database 2011. (15th Edition). Yu, E. S. and Jin, J. C., (1992). Cointegration Test of Energy Consumption, Income and Employment. Resource and Energy, 14, 259-66. Yu, E. S. and Choi, J. Y., (1985). The Causal Relationship between Energy and GNP: An International Comparison. Journal of Energy and Development, 10, 249-272. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/49904 |