Valadkhani, Abbas (2010): Modelling the Price of Unleaded Petrol in Australia’s Capital Cities. Published in: Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal , Vol. 4, No. 2 (2010): pp. 19-38.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_50396.pdf Download (221kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper examines the long-run and short-run determinants of unleaded petrol price in Australia’s capital cities using monthly data to find out whether prices respond asymmetrically to external shocks. In the long-run petrol prices are mainly determined by Tapis crude oil and Singapore petrol prices. There is some evidence of asymmetric price adjustments in the short-run since petrol price increases have been mostly passed on to the consumer faster than price decreases in four capital cities. One can thus argue that there are a significant degree of market inefficiency and/or collusion, requiring a closer government price monitoring and scrutiny.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Modelling the Price of Unleaded Petrol in Australia’s Capital Cities |
English Title: | Modelling the Price of Unleaded Petrol in Australia’s Capital Cities |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Petrol prices, Asymmetry, Australia |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables L - Industrial Organization > L9 - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities L - Industrial Organization > L9 - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities > L91 - Transportation: General L - Industrial Organization > L9 - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities > L98 - Government Policy |
Item ID: | 50396 |
Depositing User: | Professor Abbas Valadkhani |
Date Deposited: | 06 Oct 2013 06:09 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:35 |
References: | Al-Gudhea, S., Kenc, T. and Dibooglu, S. (2007), ‘Do Retail Gasoline Prices Rise More Readily Than They Fall? A Threshold Cointegration Approach’, Journal of Economics and Business, 59, 560–74 Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (1996), Inquiry into the Petroleum Products Declaration, Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra. Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (2007), Petrol prices and Australian consumers: Report of the ACCC Inquiry Into the Price of Unleaded Petrol, December, Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra. Bachmeier, L.J. and Griffin, J.M. (2003), ‘New Evidence on Asymmetric Gasoline Price Responses’, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(3), 772–76 Bacon, R.W. (1991), ‘Rockets and Feathers: The Asymmetric Speed of Adjustment of U.K. Retail Gasoline Prices to Cost Changes,’ Energy Economics, 13, 211–18. Balke, N.S., Brown, S.P.A., and Yu¨cel, M.K. (1998), ‘Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices: An asymmetric Relationship?’, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Economic Review, First Quarter, 2–11. Borenstein, S., Cameron, A.C., and Gilbert, R. (1997), ‘Do Gasoline Prices Respond Asymmetrically to Crude Oil Price Changes?, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, 305–339. Chen, L.H, Finney, M. and Lai, K.S. (2005), ‘A Threshold Cointegration Analysis of Asymmetric Price Transmission from Crude Oil to Gasoline Prices’, Economics Letters, 89, 233–39. Enders, W., and Granger, C.W.J. (1998), ‘Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates’, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 16(3), 304–11. Enders, W., and Siklos, P.L. (2001), Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment’, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 19, 166–76. Engle, R. F. and Granger, C.W.J. 1987, ‘Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing’, Econometrica, 55, 251-76. FuelWatch (2009), ‘Petrol Prices Explained’, accessed 10 February 2009 (http://www.fuelwatch.wa.gov.au/info/dsp_petrol_prices.cfm ). Galeotti, M., Lanza, A., and Manera, M. (2003), ‘Rockets and Feathers Revisited: An International Comparison on European Gasoline Markets, Energy Economics, 25, 175–90. Godby, R., Lintner, A.M., Stengos, T. and Wandschneider, B. (2000), ‘Testing for Asymmetric Pricing in the Canadian Retail Gasoline Market’, Energy Economics, 22, 349–368. Granger, C.W.J. and Lee, T.H. (1989), ‘Investigation of Production, Sales and Inventory Relationships Using Multicointegration and Non-symmetric Error Correction Models’, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, S145-S159. Hansen, B.E. and Seo, B. (2002), ‘Testing for Two-Regime Threshold Cointegration in Vector Error-Correction Models’, Journal of Econometrics, 110, 293-318. Industry Commission (1994), Petroleum Products, Report No. 40, July. Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra. Johansen, S. (1995), Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models, Oxford University Press, Oxford. Johnson, R.N. (2002), ‘Search Costs, Lags and Prices at the Pump’, Review of Industrial Organization, 20, 33– 50. Karrenbrock, J.D. (1991), ‘The Behaviour of Retail Gasoline Prices: Symmetric or not?’, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 73, 19– 29. Kaufmann, R.K., and Laskowski, C. (2005), ‘Causes for an Asymmetric Relation Between the Price of Crude Oil and Refined Petroleum Products’, Energy Policy, 33, 1587– 96. MacKinnon, J. G., Haug, A.A. and Michelis, L. (1999), ‘Numerical Distribution Functions of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration,’ Journal of Applied Econometrics, 14, 563-577. Peltzman, S. (2000), ‘Prices Rise Faster than They Fall’, Journal of Political Economy, 108, 466– 502. Queensland Parliament (2006) ‘Inquiry into Petrol Pricing in Queensland’, Legislative Assembly of Queensland, April 2006, Brisbane. Radchenko, S. (2005), ‘Oil Price Volatility and the Asymmetric Response of Gasoline Prices to Oil Price Increases and Decreases’, Energy Economics, 27, 708–30. Reilly, B. and Witt, R. (1998), ‘Petrol Price Asymmetries Revisited’, Energy Economics, 20, 297-308 Valadkhani, A. and Mitchell, W.F. (2002), ‘Assessing the Impact of Changes in Petroleum Prices on Inflation and Household Expenditures in Australia’, Australian Economic Review, 35(2), 122-32. Walker, G. Murphy, T. and Hicks, J. (1997), ‘Country Petrol Pricing: Evidence and Recommendations’, Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 3(1), 85-98. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/50396 |