Polat, Ali and Shahbaz, Muhammad and Ur Rehman, Ijaz and Satti, Saqlain Latif (2013): Revisiting Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in South Africa: Fresh Evidence from Combined Cointegration Test.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_51724.pdf Download (273kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study revisits the impact of financial development on economic growth in South Africa by incorporating trade openness in the production function. The paper covers the period of 1970-2011. We apply the Bayer-Hanck combined cointegration approach to examine the long run relationship between the variables. Our results indicate that financial development stimulates economic growth. Capital use adds in economic growth but trade openness impedes economic growth. The demand-side hypothesis is validated in South Africa. This paper suggests that government should redirect trade policies to reap optimal fruits of financial development for long run economic growth.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Revisiting Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in South Africa: Fresh Evidence from Combined Cointegration Test |
English Title: | Revisiting Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in South Africa: Fresh Evidence from Combined Cointegration Test |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | financial development, trade openness, economic growth, South Africa |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling |
Item ID: | 51724 |
Depositing User: | Muhammad Shahbaz |
Date Deposited: | 26 Nov 2013 07:44 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 15:06 |
References: | Abu-Bader, S. and Abu-Qarn, A. S. (2008). Financial development and economic growth: The Egyptian experience. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(5), 887-898. Adjasi, C. K. and Biekpe, N. B. (2006). Stock market development and economic growth: the case of selected African countries. African Development Review, 18(1), 144-161. Ageli, M. (2013). Saudi Financial Structure and Economic Growth: A Macroeconometric Approach. Ageli, M. M, Zaidan, SM (2012) Saudi Financial Structure and Economic Growth: A Macroeconometric Approach. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 5(3). Andrianaivo, M. and Yartey, C. A. (2010). Understanding the Growth of African Financial Markets. African Development Review, 22(3), 394-418. Acaravci, S. K., Ozturk, I. and Acaravci, A., (2011). Financial development and economic growth: literature survey and empirical evidence from sub-Saharan African countries. South African Journal of Economics and Management Sciences 12, 11-27. Ang, J. B. (2008). What are the mechanisms linking financial development and economic growth in Malaysia? Economic Modelling, 25(1), 38-53. Anwar, S. and Nguyen, L. P. (2011). Financial development and economic growth in Vietnam. Journal of Economics and Finance, 35(3), 348-360. Apergis, N., Filippidis, I. and Economidou, C. (2007). Financial deepening and economic growth linkages: a panel data analysis. Review of World Economics, 143(1), 179-198. Arestis, P. and Demetriades, P. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: Assessing the evidence. The Economic Journal, 107(442), 783-799. Arestis, P., Demetriades, P. O. and Luintel, K. B. (2001). Financial development and economic growth: the role of stock markets. Journal of money credit and banking, 33(1), 16-41. Asante, S., Agyapong, D. and Adam, A. M. (2011). Bank competition, stock market and economic growth in Ghana. International Journal of Business Administration, 2(4), p33. Barakat, M. and Waller, E. (2010). Financial Development And Growth In Middle Eastern Countries. International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 9(11). Beck, T. and Levine, R. (2004). Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(3), 423-442. Beck, T., Levine, R. and Loayza, N. (2000). Finance and the Sources of Growth. Journal of financial economics, 58(1), 261-300. Bolbol, A. A., Fatheldin, A. and Omran, M. M. (2005). Financial development, structure, and economic growth: the case of Egypt, 1974–2002. Research in International Business and Finance, 19(1), 171-194. Bannerjee, A., Dolado, J., Mestre, R., (1998). Error correction mechanism tests for co-integration in single equation framework. Journal of Time Series Analysis 19, 267-283. Bayer, C., and Hanck, C. (2013). Combining Non‐Cointegration Tests. Journal of Time Series Analysis 34, 83-95 Boubakari, A. and Jin, D. (2010). The Role of Stock Market Development in Economic Growth: Evidence from Some Euronext Countries. International Journal of Financial Research, 1(1), 14-20. Boswijk, H. P., (1994). Testing for an unstable root in conditional and unconditional error correction models. Journal of Econometrics 63, 37-60 Calderón, C. and Liu, L. (2003). The direction of causality between financial development and economic growth. Journal of development Economics, 72(1), 321-334. Caporale, G. M., Howells, P. and Soliman, A. M. (2005). Endogenous growth models and stock market development: evidence from four countries. Review of Development Economics, 9(2), 166-176. Carp, L. (2012). Can Stock Market Development Boost Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from Emerging Markets in Central and Eastern Europe. Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 438-444. Chang, T. (2002). Financial development and economic growth in Mainland China: a note on testing demand-following or supply-leading hypothesis. Applied Economics Letters, 9(13), 869-873. Cheng, X. and Degryse, H. (2010). The impact of bank and non-bank financial institutions on local economic growth in China. Journal of Financial Services Research, 37(2-3), 179-199. Christopoulos, D. K. and Tsionas, E. G. (2004). Financial development and economic growth: evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests. Journal of development Economics, 73(1), 55-74. Cole, R. A., Moshirian, F. and Wu, Q. (2008). Bank stock returns and economic growth. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(6), 995-1007. Cooray, A. (2010). Do stock markets lead to economic growth? Journal of Policy Modeling, 32(4), 448-460. De Gregorio, J. and Guidotti, P. E. (1995). Financial development and economic growth. World Development, 23(3), 433-448. Deidda, L. and Fattouh, B. (2002). Non-linearity between finance and growth. Economics Letters, 74(3), 339-345. Deidda, L. and Fattouh, B. (2008). Banks, financial markets and growth. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 17(1), 6-36. Demetriades, P. O. and Hussein, K. A. (1996). Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries. Journal of development Economics, 51(2), 387-411. Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and Levine, R. (1996a). Stock market development and financial intermediaries: Stylized facts. The World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), 291-321. Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and Levine, R. (1996b). Stock markets, corporate finance, and economic growth: An overview. The World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), 223-239. Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and Levine, R. (2004). Financial structure and economic growth: A cross-country comparison of banks, markets, and development. Dritsaki, C. and Dritsaki-Bargiota, M. (2005). The causal relationship between stock, credit market and economic development: An empirical evidence for greece. Economic Change and Restructuring, 38(1), 113-127. Edwards, S. (1998). Openness, productivity and growth: what do we really know? The Economic Journal, 108(447), 383-398. Enisan, A. A. and Olufisayo, A. O. (2009). Stock market development and economic growth: Evidence from seven sub-Sahara African countries. Journal of Economics and Business, 61(2), 162-171. Engle, R. F. and Granger, C. (1987). Cointegration and error correction representation: Estimation and testing. Econometrica 55, 251-276 Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37, 424-438. Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial structure and development (Vol. 1): Yale University Press New Haven. Gurgul, H. and Lukasz, L. (2012). Financial Development and Economic Growth in Poland in Transition: Causality Analysis. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), 62(4), 347-367. Harrison, A. (1996). Openness and growth: A time-series, cross-country analysis for developing countries. Journal of development Economics, 48(2), 419-447. Hondroyiannis, G., Lolos, S. and Papapetrou, E. (2005). Financial markets and economic growth in Greece, 1986–1999. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 15(2), 173-188. Hossain, M. S. and Kamal, K. M. M. (2010). Does Stock Market Development Cause Economic Growth? A Time Series Analysis for Bangladesh Economy. Paper presented at the International Conference On Applied Economics–ICOAE. Hye, Q. M. A. and Dolgopolova, I. (2011). Economics, finance and development in China: Johansen-Juselius co-integration approach. Chinese Management Studies, 5(3), 311-324. Jin, J. C. (2000). Openness and growth: an interpretation of empirical evidence from East Asian countries. Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 9(1), 5-17. Johansen, S. (1995). A statistical analysis of cointegration for I(2) variables. Econometric Theory 11, 25-59. Jung, W. S. (1986). Financial development and economic growth: international evidence. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 34(2), 333-346. Kagochi, J. M., Al Nasser, O. M. and Kebede, E. (2013). Does Financial Development Hold the Key to Economic Growth?: The Case Of Sub-Saharan Africa. The Journal of Developing Areas, 47(2), 61-79. Kar, M., Nazlıoğlu, Ş. and Ağır, H. (2011). Financial development and economic growth nexus in the MENA countries: Bootstrap panel granger causality analysis. Economic Modelling, 28(1), 685-693. King, R. G. and Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The quarterly journal of economics, 108(3), 717-737. Konya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978-992. Levine, R. (1997). Financial development and economic growth: views and agenda. Journal of economic literature, 35(2), 688-726. Levine, R. (1998). The legal environment, banks, and long-run economic growth. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 596-613. Levine, R. and Zervos, S. (1996). Stock market development and long-run growth. The World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), 323-339. Levine, R. and Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American economic review, 537-558. Lucas Jr, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of monetary economics, 22(1), 3-42. Luintel, K. B. and Khan, M. (1999). A quantitative reassessment of the finance–growth nexus: evidence from a multivariate VAR. Journal of development Economics, 60(2), 381-405. Majumder, M. and Eff, E. A. (2012). The link between economic growth and financial development: Evidence from districts of Bangladesh. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics(99), 116-118. Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D. and Weil, D. N. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. The quarterly journal of economics, 107(2), 407-437. Marques, L. M., Fuinhas, J. A. and Marques, A. C. (2013). Does the stock market cause economic growth? Portuguese evidence of economic regime change. Economic Modelling, 32, 316-324. Masoud, N. and Hardaker, G. (2012). The impact of financial development on economic growth: Empirical analysis of emerging market countries. Studies in Economics and Finance, 29(3), 148-173. McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development: Brookings Institution Press. Murinde, V. (2012). Financial development and economic growth: Global and African evidence. Journal of African Economies, 21(suppl 1), i10-i56. N'Zué, F. F. (2006). Stock market development and economic growth: evidence from Cote D'Ivoire. African Development Review, 18(1), 123-143. Naceur, S. B. and Ghazouani, S. (2007). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the MENA region. Research in International Business and Finance, 21(2), 297-315. Neusser, K. and Kugler, M. (1998). Manufacturing growth and financial development: Evidence from OECD countries. Review of economics and statistics, 80(4), 638-646. Nieuwerburgh, S. V., Buelens, F. and Cuyvers, L. (2006). Stock market development and economic growth in Belgium. Explorations in Economic History, 43(1), 13-38. Nurudeen, A. (2009). Does stock market development raise economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria. The Review of Finance and Banking, 1(1), 015-026. Osamwonyi, I. O. and Kasimu, A. (2013). Stock Market and Economic Growth in Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria. International Journal of Financial Research, 4(2), 83. Odhiambo, N. M., (2010). Finance-investment-growth nexus in South Africa: an ARDL bounds testing approach. Economic Change and Restructuring 43, 205-219. Odhiambo, N. M. (2011). Growth, employment and poverty in South Africa: in search of a trickle-down effect. Journal of Income Distribution 20, 49–62 Odhiambo, N. M., (2013). Financial systems and economic growth in South Africa: a dynamic complementarity test. International Review of Applied Economics, forthcoing issue Ovat, O. O. (2012). Stock Market Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Market Size Versus Liquidity. Canadian Social Science, 8(5), 65-70. Pagano, M. (1993). Financial markets and growth: an overview. European economic review, 37(2), 613-622. Perera, N. and Paudel, R. C. (2009). Financial development and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 9(1), 157-164. Rahman, M. H. (2004). Financial Development—Economic Growth Nexus: A Case Study of Bangladesh. The Bangladesh Development Studies, 30(3/4), 113-128. Robinson, J. (1952). The generalisation of the general theory and other essays: Macmillan. Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of political Economy, S71-S102. Rousseau, P. L. and Wachtel, P. (1998). Financial intermediation and economic performance: historical evidence from five industrialized countries. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 657-678. Rousseau, P. L. and Wachtel, P. (2000). Equity markets and growth: cross-country evidence on timing and outcomes, 1980–1995. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(12), 1933-1957. Schumpeter, J. A. (1912). The theory of economic development. Cambridge, MA: : Harvard University Press. Shan, J. and Jianhong, Q. (2006). Does Financial Development Lead Economic Growth? The Case of China. Annals of Economics and Finance, 7(1), 197. Shahbaz, M. (2013). Financial Development, Economic Growth, Income Inequality Nexus: A Case Study of Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research. 1(3), 24-47. Shahbaz, M., Afza, T. and Shabbir, M. S. (2013). Financial Development, Domestic Savings and Poverty Reduction in Pakistan: Using Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis. International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research. 1(5), 59-73. Shaw, E. S. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development (Vol. 39): Oxford University Press New York. Shen, C.-H., Lee, C.-C., Chen, S.-W. and Xie, Z. (2011). Roles played by financial development in economic growth: application of the flexible regression model. Empirical Economics, 41(1), 103-125. Stern, N. (1989). The economics of development: a survey. The Economic Journal, 99(397), 597-685. Tachiwou, A. M. (2010). Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: The Case of West African Monetary Union. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 2(3), P97. Wong, A. and Zhou, X. (2011). Development of Financial Market and Economic Growth: Review of Hong Kong, China, Japan, The United States and The United Kingdom. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 3(2), p111. Wu, J.-L., Hou, H. and Cheng, S.-Y. (2010). The dynamic impacts of financial institutions on economic growth: Evidence from the European Union. Journal of Macroeconomics, 32(3), 879-891. Yang, Y. Y. and Yi, M. H. (2008). Does financial development cause economic growth? Implication for policy in Korea. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(5), 827-840. Yanikkaya, H. (2003). Trade openness and economic growth: a cross-country empirical investigation. Journal of development Economics, 72(1), 57-89. Odhiambo, N. M. (2010). Finance-investment-growth nexus in South Africa: an ARDL-bounds testing procedure. Economic Change and Restructuring, 43(3), 205-219. Shahbaz, M. (2012). Does trade openness affect long run growth? cointegration, causality and forecast error variance decomposition tests for Pakistan. Economic Modelling 29, 2325-2339. Zivot, E. and Andrews, K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash: The oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 10, 251-270. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/51724 |