Price of recreational products and the exchange rate: an empirical investigation on US data

Cellini, Roberto and Paolino, Alessandro (2007): Price of recreational products and the exchange rate: an empirical investigation on US data.

Abstract

The paper analyses the cointegration relationships and the causal links between the exchange rate of the US Dollar, on the one side, and different price indices of US products on the other side. Data are of monthly frequency and cover a period of two or three decades. We show that the exchange rate cointegrate with the Consumer Price Index and with the prices indices of several agricultural, manufactured and service goods; moreover a one-direction causal link is present, running from price to exchange rate. On the opposite, cointegrating relationships between exchange rate and price indices do not exist in the case of recreational products with “cultural” content. Tentative theoretical explanations are proposed.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Institution: University of Catania
• Language: English
• Keywords: Price Index; Exchange Rate; Cointegration; Causality
• Subjects: Z - Other Special Topics > Z1 - Cultural Economics ; Economic Sociology ; Economic Anthropology > Z11 - Economics of the Arts and Literature; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F13 - Trade Policy ; International Trade Organizations

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