Harin, Alexander
(2014):
*Problems of utility and prospect theories. Certainty effect near certainty.*

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## Abstract

A need for experiments on the certainty effect near the certainty (near the probability p = 1) is stated in this paper. The need supported by the Aczél–Luce question whether Prelec’s weighting function W(p) is equal to 1 at p = 1, by the purely mathematical restrictions and the “certain–uncertain” inconsistency of the random–lottery incentive experiments. The results of the experiments of the certainty effect near the certainty show that Prelec’s (probability) weighting function can be discontinuous at the probability p = 1. There is a need for new experiments at probabilities which are closer to p=1, e.g., at probabilities p=.99 and p=.999.

Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Problems of utility and prospect theories. Certainty effect near certainty |

Language: | English |

Keywords: | utility; prospect theory; certainty effect; experiment; Prelec; probability weighting function; |

Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments > C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty |

Item ID: | 61026 |

Depositing User: | Alexander Harin |

Date Deposited: | 30 Dec 2014 23:39 |

Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 17:05 |

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URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/61026 |