Are Investment and Saving Cointegrated Evidence From Middle East and North African Countries

Sbia, Rashid and Hamdi, Helmi (2013): Are Investment and Saving Cointegrated Evidence From Middle East and North African Countries.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between saving and investment for 6 Middle East and North African Countries for the period 1980-2008. To this end, we use panel cointegration analysis and Error Correction Model techniques. The long run estimation reveals causality between investment and saving for the entire sample. The Granger causality tests confirm this result and validate the presence of bidirectional causal relationship between investment and saving. However, the short run estimation shows no causality between the two variables for the entire sample. At the individual level, saving Granger cause investment for Bahrain and Saudi Arabia only.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Investment, Saving, Cointegration, Causality, MENA
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C33 - Panel Data Models ; Spatio-temporal Models; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E22 - Investment ; Capital ; Intangible Capital ; Capacity; N - Economic History > N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics ; Industrial Structure ; Growth ; Fluctuations > N15 - Asia including Middle East; N - Economic History > N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics ; Industrial Structure ; Growth ; Fluctuations > N17 - Africa ; Oceania; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O55 - Africa

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