Harin, Alexander (2015): An existence theorem for restrictions on the mean in the presence of a restriction on the dispersion.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_64646.pdf Download (284kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This article analyzes, from the purely mathematical point of view, a general practical problem. The problem consists in the influence of the scatter of experimental data on their mean values (and, possibly, on the probability) near the borders of intervals. The second central moment, the dispersion is a common measure of a scatter. Suppose, for instance, a nonnegative random variable X takes values in a finite interval . Write M for its mean. If there is a non-zero restriction on a central moment |E(X-M)n|≥|rnDisp.n|>0 under the condition 2≤n<∞, then A<(A+|rnDisp.n|/(B-A)n)≤M≤(B-|rnDisp.n|/(B-A)n). That is, |rnDisp.n|/(B-A)n)>0 is the width of a non-zero “forbidden zone” for the mean M near a border of the interval. Here, in the case of , this non-zero restriction is a restriction on the dispersion E(X-M)2≥r2Disp.2=σ2Min>0. So, if there is a non-zero restriction on the dispersion, then a non-zero “forbidden zone” exists for the mean near a border of the interval.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | An existence theorem for restrictions on the mean in the presence of a restriction on the dispersion |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | mean; dispersion; scatter; scattering; noise; probability; economics; utility theory; prospect theory; decision theories; human behavior; |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C0 - General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments > C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments > C93 - Field Experiments D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty |
Item ID: | 64646 |
Depositing User: | Alexander Harin |
Date Deposited: | 27 May 2015 20:56 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 16:35 |
References: | [1] Bernoulli, D., “Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis,” Commentarii Academiae Scientiarum Imperialis Petropolitanae 5 (1738), 175–192. English translation: “Exposition of a New Theory on the Measurement of Risk,” Econometrica 22 (1954) no. 1, 23–36. [2] Allais, M., “Le comportement de l'homme rationnel devant le risque: Critique le postulats et axioms de L'École Américaine,” Econometrica 21 (1953), 503–546. [3] Ellsberg, L., “Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 75 (1961) no. 4, 643–669. [4] Kahneman, D., and R. Thaler, “Anomalies: Utility Maximization and Experienced Utility,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 20 (2006), no. 1, 221–234. [5] Schoemaker, P., and J. Hershey, “Utility measurement: Signal, noise, and bias,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 52 (1992) no. 3, 397–424. [6] Butler, D. J., and G. C. Loomes, “Imprecision as an Account of the Preference Reversal Phenomenon,” American Economic Review 97 (2007), no. 1: 277–297. [7] Tversky, A., and P. Wakker, “Risk attitudes and decision weights,” Econometrica 63 (1995), 1255–1280. [8] Steingrimsson, R., and R. D. Luce, “Empirical evaluation of a model of global psychophysical judgments: IV. Forms for the weighting function,” Journal of Mathematical Psychology 51 (2007), pp. 29–44. [9] Aczél, J., and R. D. Luce, “A behavioral condition for Prelec’s weighting function on the positive line without assuming W(1)=1,” Journal of Mathematical Psychology 51 (2007), pp. 126–129. [10] Harin А., “Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Continuous case”, 53th Scientific conference of MIPT "Modern problems of fundamental and applied sciences, 53, 312–315, (2010). [11] Harin, А., “Theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale”, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference “Financial and Actuarial Mathematics and Eventoconverging Technologies”, 2010, pp. 312–315 [12] Harin, А., (2012b), “Data dispersion in economics (II) – Inevitability and Consequences of Restrictions”, Review of Economics & Finance 2 (2012), no. 4: 24–36. [13] Harin А. (2009b), “Taking into account boundary effects of noises as a new way to solution of problems of the utility theory”, First Russian Economic Congress, 2009. [14] Harin А. (2012a), “Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale and utility theory. “Four-fold-pattern” paradox”, 19th International Conference on “Mathematics. Computer. Education”, 2012. [15] Harin, А., (2009a), “About existence of ruptures in the probability scale: Calculation of ruptures’ values”, Proceedings of the Ninth International Scientific School “Modelling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems”, 2009, pp. 458–464. [16] Harin, А., (2014), “The random–lottery incentive system. Can p~1 experiments deductions be correct?”, 16th conference on the Foundations of Utility and Risk, 2014. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/64646 |