Stefanescu, Razvan and Dumitriu, Ramona (2015): Alegerea soluţiilor pentru expunerile faţă de risc.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_65074.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
In the framework of the risk management process, after a risk was identified, the exposure was analyzed and the solutions were generated, a decision about the best way to treat the exposure has to be adopted. In this paper we approach some techniques to optimize such a decision. We approach also some factors of the risk attitude.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Alegerea soluţiilor pentru expunerile faţă de risc |
English Title: | Choosing solutions to risk exposures |
Language: | Romanian |
Keywords: | Risk, Uncertainty, Decisions, Risk Exposures |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D89 - Other G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G32 - Financing Policy ; Financial Risk and Risk Management ; Capital and Ownership Structure ; Value of Firms ; Goodwill |
Item ID: | 65074 |
Depositing User: | Razvan Stefanescu |
Date Deposited: | 18 Sep 2015 06:10 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 07:00 |
References: | Alderfer, Clayton P. & Bierman, Harold (1970), Choices with risk: beyond the mean and variance, Journal of Business, 43, pp. 341 – 353. Allais, M. (1953), Le comportement de l'homme rationnel devant le risque: Critique des postulats et axiomes de l'école américaine, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, Vol.21, No. 4, pp. 503-546 (http://wolfweb.unr.edu/homepage/pingle/Teaching/BADM%20791/Week%206%20Decision%20Making%20Under%20Uncertainty/Allais%20Paradox%201953.pdf). Ambrus, A., & Greiner, B. & Pathak, P. (2009), Group versus individual decision-making: Is there a shift, Economics Working Papers from Institute for Advanced Study (http://web.stanford.edu/~niederle/Ambrusetal.pdf). Arnott, Richard J. & Stiglitz, Joseph E. (1990), The Welfare Economics of Moral Hazard, NBER Working Paper No. w3316 (http://ssrn.com/abstract=227986). Arrow, K. J. (1996), The theory of risk-bearing: small and great risks, Journal of risk and uncertainty, 12(2-3), pp. 103-111. Baird, I. S., & Thomas, H. (1985), Toward a contingency model of strategic risk taking, Academy of Management Review, 10(2), pp. 230-243 (https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/bitstream/handle/2142/29172/towardcontingenc1099bair.pdf?sequence=1). Bell, D. E. (1982), Regret in decision making under uncertainty, Operations research, 30(5), pp. 961-981. (http://www.people.hbs.edu/dbell/regret%20in%20decison%20making%20.pdf). Berg, T. (2010), The term structure of risk premia: new evidence from the financial crisis. European Central Bank Working Paper Series, No 1165 (http://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1165.pdf). Bommensath, Maurice (1982), Fluctuations monétaires et gestion financière de l’entreprise, Boulogne – Billancourt, Edition Hommes et Techniques, Paris. Brown, G. W. (2000), Managing foreign exchange risk with derivatives, Journal of Financial Economics, 60(2), pp. 401-448 (http://www.nkd-group.com/ghdash/mba555/PDF/ManagingFXwithDerivatives.pdf). Buschena, D. E. & Zilberman, D. (1994), What do we know about decision making under risk and where do we go from here?, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, pp. 425-445 (http://www.waeaonline.org/jareonline/archives/19.2%20-%20December%201994/JARE,Dec1994,pp425,Buschena.pdf). Campbell, J. Y. & Viceira, L. M. (2004), Long-horizon mean-variance analysis: A user guide, Manuscript, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA (http://www.people.hbs.edu/lviceira/faj_cv_userguide.pdf). Campi, M. C. & Calafiore, G. (2004), Decision making in an uncertain environment: the scenario-based optimization approach, Multiple Participant Decision Making, pp. 99-111 (http://www.ing.unibs.it/~campi/pdf-pszip/decision-making-uncertain.pdf). Carbaugh, Robert J. (2011), International Economics, 13th Edition, South-Western - Cengage Learning, New York. Connolly, Michael B. (2007), International business finance, Routledge, London. Cooke, S. & Slack, N. (1991), Making Management Decisions, Second edition, Prentice Hall, London. Cox, J. C. & Sadiraj, V. (2010), On the coefficient of variation as a criterion for decision under risk, Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 54(4), pp. 387-394 (http://excen.gsu.edu/workingpapers/GSU_EXCEN_WP_2010-04.pdf). Crouhy, Michel & Galai, Dan & Mark, Robert (2006), The Essentials of Risk Management, McGraw-Hill, New York. Damodaran, Aswath (2010), Risk Management: A Corporate Governance Manual (http://ssrn.com/abstract=1681017). De Giorgi, E. & Hens, T. (2009), Prospect theory and mean-variance analysis: Does it make a difference in wealth management?, Investment Management and Financial Innovations, Volume 6, Issue 1 (http://businessperspectives.org/journals_free/imfi/2009/imfi_en_2009_01_Giorgi.pdf). Demirag, Istemi & Goddard, Scott (1994), Financial Management for International Business, McGraw Hill, London. Dohmen, T. & Falk, A. & Huffman, D. & Sunde, U. & Schupp, J. & Wagner, G. G. (2011), Individual risk attitudes: Measurement, determinants, and behavioral consequences, Journal of the European Economic Association, 9(3), pp. 522-550 (http://arnop.unimaas.nl/show.cgi?fid=15550). Drucker P.F. (1985), The Practice of Management, Pan Books, London. Dyer, J. S. & Fishburn, P. C. & Steuer, R. E. & Wallenius, J. & Zionts, S. (1992), Multiple criteria decision making, multiattribute utility theory: the next ten years, Management science, 38(5), pp. 645-65 (http://web.mit.edu/~yves/www/decision%20theory/multiple_criteria_decisio---the_next_ten_years.pdf). Ellsberg, D. (1961), Risk, ambiguity, and the Savage axioms, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp. 643-669 (http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/users/brooks/public_html/feda/papers/eb1961ambiguity.pdf). Emard, Gerard (1989), Gestion de risque de taux d’intérêt, Press Universitaires de France, Paris. Embrechts, P. & Frey, R. & McNeil, A. (2005), Quantitative risk management, Princeton Series in Finance, Princeton, 10 (http://web.abo.fi/fak/mnf/mate/tammerfors08/embrechts_tuesday.pdf). Embrechts, P. & Hofert, M. (2014), Statistics and quantitative risk management for banking and insurance, Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 1, pp. 493-514 (http://www.math.ethz.ch/~embrecht/ftp/qrm_stat_review.pdf). Emmer, Susanne & Kratz, Marie & Tasche, Dirk. (2014), What is the Best Risk Measure in Practice? A Comparison of Standard Measures, ESSEC Working Paper No. 1322 (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2370378). Ertac, S. & Gurdal, M. Y. (2012), Deciding to decide: Gender, leadership and risk-taking in groups, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 83(1), pp. 24-30 (http://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/6504345.pdf). Fang, H. & Moscarini, G. (2005), Morale hazard, Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(4), pp. 749-777 (http://public.econ.duke.edu/~hf14/publication/giuseppe/jme_online.pdf). Fishburn, P. C. (1977), Mean-risk analysis with risk associated with below-target returns, The American Economic Review, pp. 116-126 (http://www.ldintelligence.com/docs/Fishburn-risk_below_target_returns.pdf). Frachot, A. & Georges, P. & Roncalli, T. (2001), Loss distribution approach for operational risk, Groupe de Recherche Opérationnelle, Crédit Lyonnais, Working Paper (http://www.thierry-roncalli.com/download/lda-practice.pdf). Friedman, M. & Savage, L. J. (1948), The utility analysis of choices involving risk, The Journal of Political Economy, pp. 279-304 (http://calculemus.org/lect/L-I-MNS/12/ekon-i-modele/savage.pdf). Giarini, Orio & Stahel, Walter R. (1996), Limitele certitudinii, Editura Edimpres-Camro, Bucureşti. Gilboa, I. (2008), Theory of Decision under Uncertainty, Lectures notes for a graduate-level course (http://www.econ.hit-u.ac.jp/~makoto/education/Gilboa_Lecture_Notes.pdf). Gupta, A. & Maranas, C. D. (2003), Managing demand uncertainty in supply chain planning, Computers & Chemical Engineering, 27(8), pp. 1219-1227 (http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.115.441&rep=rep1&type=pdf). Hansen, L. P. & Sargent, T. J. (2004), Certainty equivalence and model uncertainty, In Conference on Models and Monetary Policy: Research in the Tradition of Dale Henderson, Richard Porter, and Peter Tinsley (http://www.federalreserve.gov/events/conferences/mmp2004/pdf/hansensargent.pdf). Hansson, S. O. (1994), Decision theory, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm (http://people.kth.se/~soh/decisiontheory.pdf). Hillson, D. & Murray-Webster, R. (2007), Understanding and managing risk attitude, Gower Publishing, Ltd.. Ho, J. L. & Keller, L. R., & Keltyka, P. (2001), Managers' variance investigation decisions: an experimental examination of probabilistic and outcome ambiguity, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 14(4), pp. 257-278 (http://faculty.sites.uci.edu/lrkeller/files/2011/06/Managers-Variance-Investigation-Decisions-An-Experimental-Examination-of-Probabilistic-and-Outcome-Ambiguity-.pdf). Hogarth, R. M. & Kunreuther, H. (1995), Decision making under ignorance: Arguing with yourself, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 10(1), pp. 15-36 (http://opim.wharton.upenn.edu/risk/downloads/archive/arch337.pdf). Holt, C. A. & Laury, S. K. (2002), Risk aversion and incentive effects, American Economic Review, 92(5), pp. 1644-1655 (http://people.virginia.edu/~cah2k/highpay.pdf). Ionescu Gh. Gh. & Cazan Emil & Negruţă Adina Letiţia (1999), Modelarea şi optimizarea deciziilor manageriale, Editura Dacia, Cluj Napoca. Jaffray, J. Y. & Jeleva, M. (2007), Information processing under imprecise risk with the Hurwicz criterion. Proceedings of The 5th International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, Prague, Czech Republic, 2007 (http://www-desir.lip6.fr/publications/pub_1236_1_ADT09.pdf). Joslin, S. & Priebsch, M. & Singleton, K. J. (2014), Risk premiums in dynamic term structure models with unspanned macro risks, The Journal of Finance, 69(3), pp. 1197-1233. (http://www-bcf.usc.edu/~sjoslin/papers/JPS_JF.pdf). Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979), Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, Vol. 47, No. 2, pp. 263-291 (http://people.hss.caltech.edu/~camerer/Ec101/ProspectTheory.pdf). Karni, E. (2005), Savages’ Subjective Expected Utility Model, Retrieved March, 7, 2010 (http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.117.541&rep=rep1&type=pdf). Kirkwood, C. W. (2004), Approximating risk aversion in decision analysis applications, Decision Analysis, 1(1), pp. 51-67 (http://www.public.asu.edu/~kirkwood/Papers/ApproximatingRiskAversion.pdf). Kocherlakota, N. R. (1996), The equity premium: It's still a puzzle, Journal of Economic literature, pp. 42-71 (http://www.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/kdsalyer/LECTURES/Ecn200e/Kocherla.pdf). Lertprapai, S. (2013), Review: Multiple criteria decision making method with applications, International Mathematical Forum, Vol. 8, No. 7, pp. 347-355 (http://www.m-hikari.com/imf/imf-2013/5-8-2013/lertprapaiIMF5-8-2013.pdf). Loomes, G. & Sugden, R. (1982), Regret theory: An alternative theory of rational choice under uncertainty, The Economic Journal, Vol. 92, No. 368 pp. 805-824 (http://teaching.ust.hk/~bee/papers/misc/Regret%20Theory%20An%20Alternative%20Theory%20of%20Rational%20Choice%20Under%20Uncertainty.pdf). Machina, M. J. (1992), Choice under uncertainty: Problems solved and unsolved, In Foundations of Insurance Economics (pp. 49-82). Springer Netherlands (http://www2.uah.es/econ/MicroDoct/Machina_1987_Choice%20under%20uncertainty.pdf). Machina, M. J. & Schmeidler, D. (1992), A more robust definition of subjective probability, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, pp. 745-780 (http://econweb.ucsd.edu/~mmachina/papers/Machina-Schmeidler_Subj_Prob.pdf). March, J. G. & Shapira, Z. (1987), Managerial perspectives on risk and risk taking, Management science, 33(11), pp. 1404-1418 (https://hec.unil.ch/docs/files/83/655/march_shapira_1987_managerial_perspectives_on_risk_and_risk_taking.pdf). Markowitz, H. (1952), Portfolio selection, The Journal of Finance, 7(1), pp. 77-91 (https://www.math.ust.hk/~maykwok/courses/ma362/07F/markowitz_JF.pdf). Markowitz, Harry M (1987), Mean-Variance Analysis in Portfolio Choice and Capital Markets, Blackwell, 1987. Matter, Eric (1992), La rentabilité des investissement – Analyse du risque et stratégies, Presses Universitaires de France, Paris. McFadden, D (2000), Rationality for economists?, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Special Issue on Preference Elicitation (http://eml.berkeley.edu/nsf97/mcfadden.pdf). Nehring, K. (2000), A theory of rational choice under ignorance, Theory and Decision, 48(3), pp. 205-240 (http://old.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/nehring/papers/compigno.pdf). Nelson, S. C., & Katzenstein, P. J. (2014), Uncertainty, risk, and the financial crisis of 2008, International Organization, 68(02), pp. 361-392 (https://www.princeton.edu/politics/about/file-repository/public/Nelson-and-Katzenstein-Uncertainty-Risk-and-Crisis-IO-FINAL_07-16-13.pdf). Peyrard, Josette (1985), Gestion financière internationale, Centre de Libraire et d’Edition Techniques, Dept. Crente du Loire d’Entreprise, Paris. Pauly, M.V. (1968), The Economics of Moral Hazard: Comment, The American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 3, Part 1 (Jun., 1968), pp. 531-537 (http://www.ppge.ufrgs.br/giacomo/arquivos/eco02072/pauly-1968.pdf). Pratt, J. W. (1964), Risk aversion in the small and in the large, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, pp. 122-136 (http://www.aae.wisc.edu/aae706_content/References/Pratt-1964.pdf). Ricciardi, Victor (2007), A Literature Review of Risk Perception Studies in Behavioral Finance: The Emerging Issues (http://ssrn.com/abstract=988342). Roncalli, T. (2001), Introduction à la gestion des risques, Cours ENSAI, France (http://www.univ-evry.fr/modules/resources/download/default/m2if/roncalli/gdr.pdf). Saget M. (1999), Managerul intuitiv – o noua forţă, Editura Economică, Bucureşti. Savage, L. J. (1961), The foundations of statistics reconsidered. University of California Press (http://www.cs.ru.nl/~marinav/Teaching/BDMinAI/savage.pdf). Shavell, S. (1992), On moral hazard and insurance. In Foundations of Insurance Economics (pp. 280-301). Springer Netherlands (http://www.law.harvard.edu/faculty/shavell/pdf/92_Quart_J_Econ_541.pdf). Shevchenko, P. V. & Peters, G. W. (2013), Loss Distribution Approach for Operational Risk Capital Modelling under Basel II: Combining Different Data Sources for Risk Estimation (http://arxiv.org/pdf/1306.1882.pdf). Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona & Nistor, Costel (2010), Strategic Decisions for Romanian Exporters, Proceedings of the International Conference “Vanguard Scientific Instruments in Management”, Ravda. Ştefănescu, Răzvan & Dumitriu, Ramona (2010), Bazele Statisticii, Editura Europlus, Galaţi. Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona (2013), Procese decizionale în cadrul managementului riscurilor (Decision-Making Processes in the Risk Management) (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2341304). Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona (2015), Conţinutul Managementului Riscurilor din Afacerile Internaţionale (The Essentials of Risk Management in International Business) (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2612984). Tabatoni, Pierre & Roure, Francine (1988), La dinamique financière, Les Editions d’Organization, Paris. Taleb, N. N. (2007), The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, The Random House Publishing Group, New York, Ediţia în limba română: Taleb, N. N. (2010), Lebăda neagră. Impactul foarte puţin probabilului, Editura Curtea Veche, Bucureşti. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1974), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases, Science, Vol. 85, No. 4157, pp. 1124-1131 (http://psiexp.ss.uci.edu/research/teaching/Tversky_Kahneman_1974.pdf). Tversky, A. & Wakker, P. (1995), Risk attitudes and decision weights, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, pp. 1255-1280 (http://people.few.eur.nl/wakker/pdfspubld/95.5amosijstorema.pdf). Von Neumann, J. & Morgenstern, O. (1947), Theory of games and economic behavior, Ed. in Princeton University Press (60th Anniversary Commemorative Edition), 2007. Voorbraak, F. (2000), Partial probability: Theory and applications, International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems, 8(03), pp. 331-345 (ftp://decsai.ugr.es/pub/utai/other/smc/isipta99/073.pdf). Weber, E. U. & Milliman, R. A. (1997), Perceived risk attitudes: Relating risk perception to risky choice, Management Science, Vol. 43, No. 2, pp. 123-144 (http://www.communicationcache.com/uploads/1/0/8/8/10887248/perceived_risk_attitudes-_relating_risk_perception_to_risky_choice.pdf). Winters, Alan (1993), International Economics, 4th Edition, Routledge, London. Zhang, J. & Casari, M. (2012), How groups reach agreement in risky choices: an experiment, Economic Inquiry, 50(2), pp. 502-515. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/65074 |