Zaghdoudi, Taha (2015): Modèle de détection avancée des crises bancaires basé sur une approche panel logistique.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_72363.pdf Download (257kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The succession of banking crises in which most have resulted in huge economic and financial losses, prompted several authors to study their determinants. These authors constructed early warning models to prevent their occurring. It is in this same vein as our study takes its inspiration. In particular, we have developed a warning model of banking crises based on a panel logit approach. The results of this model have allowed us to identify the involvement of the decline in bank profitability, deterioration of the competitiveness of the traditional intermediation, banking concentration and higher real interest rates in triggering bank crisis.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Modèle de détection avancée des crises bancaires basé sur une approche panel logistique |
English Title: | Banking crisis detection model based on a panel logistic approach |
Language: | French |
Keywords: | Banking crisis, logistic panel data |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C23 - Panel Data Models ; Spatio-temporal Models C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models ; Discrete Regressors ; Proportions ; Probabilities G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises |
Item ID: | 72363 |
Depositing User: | Taha Zaghdoudi |
Date Deposited: | 04 Jul 2016 13:22 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 20:57 |
References: | J Ball and D Pain. Leading indicator models of banking crises. Financial Stability, 2000. Asli Demirgüç-Kunt and Enrica Detragiache. The determinants of banking crises in developing and developed countries. Sta� Papers, 45(1):81�109, 1998. Irving Fisher. The debt-de�ation theory of great depressions. Econometrica: Journal of the Econo- metric Society, pages 337�357, 1933. Denise Flouzat. Économie contemperaine: Les phénomŁnes monétaires. Presses universitaires de France, 1977. Dominic Gasbarro, I Gde Made Sadguna, and J Kenton Zumwalt. The changing relationship between camel ratings and bank soundness during the indonesian banking crisis. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 19(3):247�260, 2002. Graciela L Kaminsky and Carmen M Reinhart. The twin crises: the causes of banking and balance- of-payments problems. American economic review, pages 473�500, 1999. Aykut Kibritçioulu. Excessive risk-taking, banking sector fragility, and banking crises. U of Illinois, Commerce and Bus. Admin. Working Paper, (02-0114), 2002. Charles P Kindleberger. Manias, panics, and crashes: a history of �nancial crises. The Scriblerian and the Kit-Cats, 32(2):379, 2000. Hyman P Minsky. Central banking and money market changes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pages 171�187, 1957. Bruno Powo Fosso. Les déterminants des faillites bancaires dans les pays en développement: le cas des pays de l’union économique et monØtaire ouest-africaine (uemoa). 2000. D Randall. Qui joue avec le feu. . . . Finance & Développement, 46(3):40�42, 2009. Wimboh Santoso. The determinants of problem banks in indonesia (an empirical study). Directorate of Banking Research and Regulations, Bank of Indonesia, 1998. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/72363 |