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Influence de la politique monétaire sur le taux long Quelques évidences empiriques, cas du Maroc

EL FAIZ, Zakaria and ZIANI, Manal (2016): Influence de la politique monétaire sur le taux long Quelques évidences empiriques, cas du Maroc.

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Abstract

In an uncertain economic environment, long-term interest rates appear to be highly volatile and their sensitivity towards short-term interest rates appears to be still ambiguous. The aim of this work is to analyze this relationship, and to evaluate the impact of short-term interest rate on long-term interest rate in Morocco. We used a New Keynesian Model augmented with the term structure of interest rates, estimated with Bayesian methods on quarterly data for the period 2004-2015. The result shows that long-term interest rate increases in response to an increase in short term interest rate, which signifies that monetary policy in Morocco has the ability to influence long-term interest rates.

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