Urbina, Jilber (2014): Producto Potencial y Brecha del Producto en Nicaragua. Published in: Revista de Economía y Finanzas , Vol. II, (December 2015): pp. 59-93.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_75592.pdf Download (402kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This work presents several estimations of Nicaraguan potential output. Results show that both, observed output and potential output are growing steadily. Potential output registered, on average, 3.41% in its growth rate for the period 2000-2013, meanwhile, observed output growths at 3.38% for the same time span. Specifically, the average potential growth was 4.59% in 2013 which fluctuates between a minimum value of 4.39% and a maximum of 4.80%. It was determined that the output gap is not statistically different from zero, which implies that domestic inflation is determined by factors other than the pressures generated via aggregate demand.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Producto Potencial y Brecha del Producto en Nicaragua |
English Title: | Potential output and output gap in Nicaragua |
Language: | Spanish |
Keywords: | Potential output, output gap, economic growth. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C13 - Estimation: General E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E23 - Production E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles |
Item ID: | 75592 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Jilber Urbina |
Date Deposited: | 23 Dec 2016 13:17 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 17:45 |
References: | Apel, M., Jansson, P., y Riksbank, S. (1999). A parametric approach for estimating core ination and interpreting the ination process. Sveriges Riksbank. Backhus, D. y Kehoe, P. (1992). International evidence of the historical properties of businesscycles. American Economic Review, 82(4):864-888. Baxter, M. y King, R. G. (1999). Measuring business cycles: approximate band-pass filters for economic time series. Review of economics and statistics, 81(4):575-593. Canova, F. (1994). Detrending and turning points. European Economic Review, 38(3):614-623. Christiano, L. J. y Fitzgerald, T. J. (2003). The band pass filter. International Economic Review, 44(2):435-465. Clark, P. K. (1987). The cyclical component of us economic activity. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, pages 797-814. Clark, P. K. (1989). Trend reversion in real output and unemployment. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1):15-32. Claus, I., Conway, P., y Scott, A. (2000). The output gap: measurement, comparisons and assessment. Number 44. Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Cogley, T. y Nason, J. M. (1995). Effects of the hodrick-prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series implications for business cycle research. Journal of Economic Dynamics and control, 19(1):253-278. Cooley, T. F. y Ohanian, L. E. (1991). The cyclical behavior of prices. Journal of Monetary Economics, 28(1):25-60. Correia, I. H., Neves, J. L., y Rebelo, S. (1992). Business cycles from 1850 to 1950: New facts about old data. European Economic Review, 36(2):459-467. Giorno, C., Richardson, P., Roseveare, D., y Van den Noord, P. (1995). Potential output, output gaps and structural budget balances. OECD Economic Studies, 24(1):167-209. Hassler, J., Lundvik, P., Persson, T., y Soderlind, P. (1992). The Swedish business cycle: Stylized facts over 130 years. Number 22. Institute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm University. Hodrick, R. J. y Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar us business cycles: an empirical investigation. Journal of Money, credit, and Banking, pages 1-16. Johnson, M. C. A. (2013). Potential Output and Output Gap in Central America, Panama and Dominican Republic. Number 13-145. International Monetary Fund. Kim, C.-J. y Nelson, C. R. (1999). State-space models with regime switching: classical and gibbs-sampling approaches with applications. MIT Press Books, 1. Kuttner, K. N. (1994). Estimating potential output as a latent variable. Journal of business & economic statistics, 12(3):361-368. Marconi, S. y Samaniego, P. (1995). Una aproximación al cálculo del producto potencial para ecuador. Nota Técnica, (10). Ravn, M. O. y Uhlig, H. (2002). On adjusting the hodrick-prescott filter for the frequency of observations. Review of economics and statistics, 84(2):371-376. Razzak, W. y Dennis, R. (1996). The output gap using the Hodrick-Prescott fillter with a non-constant smoothing parameter: an application to New Zealand. Reserve Bank of New Zealand. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/75592 |