Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development

Chichilnisky, Graciela and Cole, Sam (1978): Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development. Published in: Futures (August 1978): pp. 303-321.

Abstract

This article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: modelling; modeling; scenarios; north-south; north; south; development; developing; economics; technology; macroeconomic; macroeconomic model; socio-technical; production; consumption; basic goods; luxury goods; microeconomic; developing; technology; production systems; labour; labor; labour output; labor output; capital; growth; population; price; scenario analysis; sociopolitical; quantitative
• Subjects: O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling

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