Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development

Chichilnisky, Graciela and Cole, Sam (1978): Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development. Published in: Futures (August 1978): pp. 303-321.


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This article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.

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