Drivers of the Post-Crisis Slump in the Eurozone and the US

Kollmann, Robert and Pataracchia, Beatrice and Raciborski, Rafal and Ratto, Marco and Roeger, Werner and Vogel, Lukas (2017): Drivers of the Post-Crisis Slump in the Eurozone and the US. Published in: VOX CEPR's Policy Portal No. http://voxeu.org/article/drivers-post-crisis-slump-eurozone-and-us (27 April 2017)

Abstract

The Global Crisis led to a sharp contraction and long-lasting slump in both Eurozone and US real activity, but the post-crisis adjustment in the Eurozone and the US shows striking differences. This column argues that financial shocks were key determinants of the 2008-09 Great Recession, for both the Eurozone and the US. The post-2009 slump in the Eurozone mainly reflects a combination of adverse aggregate demand and supply shocks, in particular lower productivity growth, and persistent adverse shocks to capital investment linked to the poor health of the Eurozone financial system. Mono-causal explanations of the persistent slump are thus insufficient. Adverse financial shocks were less persistent for the US.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Post-crisis slump, Eurozone, United States, demand and supply shocks, financial shocks
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance; F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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