Harin, Alexander (2017): Some estimations of the minimal magnitudes of forbidden zones in experimental data.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_80319.pdf Download (309kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Suppose a random variable takes on values in an interval. The minimal distance between the expectation of the variable and the nearest boundary of the interval is considered in the present article. A question whether this distance can be neglected with respect to the standard deviation is analyzed as the main item. This minimal distance can determine the minimal magnitudes of non-zero forbidden zones and biases caused by noise for results of experiments. These non-zero forbidden zones and biases cause fundamental problems, especially in interpretations of experiments in behavioral economics and decision sciences.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Some estimations of the minimal magnitudes of forbidden zones in experimental data |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | utility theory; prospect theory; behavioral economics; decision sciences; probability; experiments; data; variance; expectation; noise; |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology ; Computer Programs > C81 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data ; Data Access C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty |
Item ID: | 80319 |
Depositing User: | Alexander Harin |
Date Deposited: | 23 Jul 2017 03:55 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 11:17 |
References: | [1] Dokov, S. P., Morton, D.P., 2005. Second-Order Lower Bounds on the Expectation of a Convex Function. Math. Oper. Res. 30(3), 662–677. [2] Harin, А. 2012. Data dispersion in economics (I) – Possibility of restrictions. Rev. Econ. Fin. 2 (3): 59-70. [3] Harin, A., 2012. Data dispersion in economics (II) – Inevitability and Consequences of Restrictions, Rev. Econ. Fin. 2(4), 24–36. [4] Harin, A., 2015. General bounds in economics and engineering at data dispersion and risk, Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Scientific School 13, 105–117, in Modeling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems (Saint-Petersburg: IPME RAS). [5] Harin, А. Can forbidden zones for the expectation explain noise influence in behavioral economics and decision sciences? MPRA Paper No. 76240, 2017. [6] Kahneman, D., and Thaler, R., 2006. Anomalies: Utility Maximization and Experienced Utility, J Econ. Perspect. 20(1), 221–234. [7] Pinelis, I., 2011. Exact lower bounds on the exponential moments of truncated random variables, J Appl. Probab. 48(2), 547–560. [8] Prékopa, A., 1990, The discrete moment problem and linear programming, Discrete Appl. Math. 27(3), 235–254. [9] Prékopa, A., 1992. Inequalities on Expectations Based on the Knowledge of Multivariate Moments. Shaked M, Tong YL, eds., Stochastic Inequalities, 309–331, number 22 in Lecture Notes-Monograph Series (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/80319 |