Effah Nyamekye, Gabriel and Adusei Poku, Eugene (2017): What is the effect of inflation on consumer spending behaviour in Ghana?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_81081.pdf Download (348kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper examines the effect of inflation on consumer spending behaviour in Ghana during the period 1964 to 2013 using annual data. The analysis of the results was done using Ordinary least square test (OLS), the Johansen test (JH), and Vector Error Correction (VECM) test. The findings of the studies based on the JH tests showed stable significant long run relationship between inflation and consumer spending behaviour. The findings of the study shows significant short run relationship between inflation and consumer spending using the VECM. The results of the OLS test show there is positive relationship between inflation and consumer spending behaviour. Policy makers should take into account the findings of the study in managing the economy. Future studies on causality and structural break are worth undertaking.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | What is the effect of inflation on consumer spending behaviour in Ghana? |
English Title: | What is the effect of inflation on consumer spending behaviour in Ghana? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Inflation, consumer spending behaviour, long run, short run |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D11 - Consumer Economics: Theory D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D12 - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation L - Industrial Organization > L6 - Industry Studies: Manufacturing > L67 - Other Consumer Nondurables: Clothing, Textiles, Shoes, and Leather Goods; Household Goods; Sports Equipment L - Industrial Organization > L6 - Industry Studies: Manufacturing > L68 - Appliances ; Furniture ; Other Consumer Durables P - Economic Systems > P2 - Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies > P24 - National Income, Product, and Expenditure ; Money ; Inflation P - Economic Systems > P4 - Other Economic Systems > P44 - National Income, Product, and Expenditure ; Money ; Inflation P - Economic Systems > P4 - Other Economic Systems > P46 - Consumer Economics ; Health ; Education and Training ; Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty |
Item ID: | 81081 |
Depositing User: | DR SAMUEL ASUAMAH YEBOAH |
Date Deposited: | 01 Sep 2017 14:55 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 10:05 |
References: | Aruoba, S. B., & Schorfheide, F. (2011). Sticky prices versus monetary frictions: An estimation of policy trade-offs. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3(1), 60-90. Bloom, N. (2009). The impact of uncertainty shocks. Econometrica, 77(3), 623-685. Carvalho, C., & Nechio, F. (2014). Do people understand monetary policy? Journal of Monetary Economics, 66, 108-123. Cashin, D., & Unayama, T. (2015). Measuring intertemporal substitution in consumption: evidence from a VAT increase in Japan. Review of Economics and Statistics (Unpublished article). Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Wieland, J. (2012). The optimal inflation rate in new keynesian models: Should central banks raise their inflation targets in light of the zero lower bound? Review of Economic Studies, 79(4), 1371-1406. Correia, I., Farhi, E., Nicolini, J. P., & Teles, P. (2013). Unconventional fiscal policy at the zero bound. American Economic Review, 103(4), 1172-1211. Dickey, D., & Wayne, A. F. (1979). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Root”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431. Doepke, M., & Schneider, M. (2006). Inflation and the redistribution of nominal wealth. Journal of Political Economy, 114(6), 1069-1097. Dra¨ger, L., & Lamla, M. J. (2013). Anchoring of consumers’ inflation expectations: Evidence from microdata. DEP (Socioeconomics) Discussion Papers: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. Eggertsson, G. B. (2006). The deflation bias and committing to being irresponsible. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 38(2), 283-321. Eggertsson, G. B. (2008). Great expectations and the end of the depression. The American Economic Review, 98(4), 1476-1516. Eggertsson, G. B. (2011). What fiscal policy is effective at zero interest rates? In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, 25, 59–112. University of Chicago Press. Eggertsson, G. B., & Woodford, M. (2003). The zero bound on interest rates and optimal monetary policy. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 34(1), 139-235. Farhi, E., & Werning, I. (2015). Fiscal multipliers: Liquidity traps and currency unions. Unpublished Manuscript, MIT. Hausman, J. K., & Wieland, J. F. (2014). Abenomics: preliminary analysis and outlook. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2014(1), 1-63. Howard, D. H. (1978). Personal saving behaviour and the rate of inflation. The Review of Economic and Statistics, 60, 547-554. Ichiue, H., & Nishiguchi, S. (2015). Inflation expectations and consumer spending at the zero bound: micro evidence. Economic Inquiry, 53(2), 1086-1107. Jalil, A., & Rua, G. (2015). Inflation expectations and recovery from the depression in 1933: Evidence from the narrative record. Unpublished Manuscript, Federal Reserve Board. Katona, G. (1975). Psychological Economics, Elsevier, New York. Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y., (1992). Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root: How sure are we that Economic Time Series have a Unit Root? Journal of Econometrics, 54(1-3), 159-178. Malmendier, U., & Nagel, S. (2009). Learning from inflation experiences. Unpublished manuscript, UC Berkeley. Mian, A., Rao, K., & Sufi, A. (2013). Household balance sheets, consumption, and the economic slump. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128(4), 1687-1726. Pa´stor, L., & Veronesi, P. (2013). Political uncertainty and risk premia. Journal of Financial Economics 110(3), 520-545. Piazzesi, M., & Schneider, M. (2009). Momentum traders in the housing market: survey evidence and a search model. The American Economic Review, 99(2), 406-411. Romer, C. D., & Romer, D. H. (2010). The macroeconomic effects of tax changes: estimates based on a new measure of fiscal shocks. The American Economic Review, 100(3), 763-801. Taylor, J. B. (January 28, 2013). Fed policy is a drag on the economy. Wall Street Journal. Werning, I. (2012). Managing a liquidity trap: monetary and fiscal policy. Unpublished Manuscript, MIT. Woodford, M. (2011). Simple analytics of the government expenditure multiplier. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3(1), 1-35. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/81081 |