Batuo, Enowbi and Mlambo, Kupukile and Asongu, Simplice (2017): Linkages between financial development, financial instability, financial liberalisation and economic growth in Africa. Forthcoming in: Research in International Business and Finance
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_82641.pdf Download (544kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, the implications of financial liberalisation for stability and economic growth has come under increased scrutiny. One strand of literature posits a positive relationship between financial liberalisation and economic growth and development. However, others emphasise the link between financial liberalisation is intrinsically associated with financial instability which may be harmful to economic growth and development. This study assesses linkages between financial instability, financial liberalisation, financial development and economic growth in 41 African countries for the period 1985-2010. The results suggest that financial development and financial liberalisation have positive effects on financial instability. The findings also reveal that economic growth reduces financial instability and the magnitude of reduction is higher in the pre-liberalisation period compared to post-liberalisation period.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Linkages between financial development, financial instability, financial liberalisation and economic growth in Africa |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Economic Growth , Financial Development, Financial instability and Africa |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G23 - Non-bank Financial Institutions ; Financial Instruments ; Institutional Investors O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O16 - Financial Markets ; Saving and Capital Investment ; Corporate Finance and Governance O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth ; Aggregate Productivity ; Cross-Country Output Convergence O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O55 - Africa |
Item ID: | 82641 |
Depositing User: | Simplice Asongu |
Date Deposited: | 11 Nov 2017 18:52 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 13:17 |
References: | Agbloyor, E. K., Abor, J., Adjasi, C. K. D., & Yawson, A., (2013). “Exploring the causality links between financial markets and foreign direct investment in Africa”, Research in International Business and Finance, 28(May, 2013), pp. 118-134. Akerlof, G. (1970) “The Market for Lemon: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism”. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(1970), pp. 488-500. Al-Suwailem, S., (2014). “Complexity and endogenous instability”, Research in international Business and Finance, 30(Janaury), pp. 393-410. Alagidede, P., Panagiotidis, T., & Zhang, X., (2011). “Why a diversified portfolio should include African assets”, Applied Economics Letters, 18(14), pp. 1333-1340. Ansart, S., & Monvoisin, V., (2017).“The new monetary and financial initiatives: Finance regaining its position as servant of the economy”, Research in international Business and Finance, 39 (Part B), pp. 750–760. Arellano, M., & Bond, S., (1991). “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), pp. 277-297. Arellano, M., & Bover, O., (1995). “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models”, Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), pp. 29-52. Aryeetey, E., (1994). “The global Financial crisis and domestic resources mobilisation in Africa” Working Paper No. 101, African Development Bank,Tunis. Asongu, S. A. (2013a). “How do financial reforms affect inequality through financial sector competition? Evidence from Africa”, Economics Bulletin, 33(1), pp. 401-414. Asongu, S. A. (2013b). “How has politico-economic liberalization affected financial allocation efficiency? Fresh African Evidence”, Economics Bulletin, 33(1), pp. 663-676. Asongu, S. A. (2014). “Financial development dynamic thresholds of financial globalization: evidence from Africa”, Journal of Economic Studies, 41(2), pp. 166-195. Asongu, S. A., (2015a). “Fresh Patterns of Liberalization, Bank Return and Return Uncertainty in Africa. In Challenges to Financial Stability –Perspective, Models and Policies (Volume 1: A Framework for Modeling Systemic Risk Drivers of Different Markets) Ed. Renata Karkowska (Chapter 6), pp. 121-143. Asongu, S. A., (2015b). “Liberalisation and Financial Sector Competition: A Critical Contribution to the Empirics with an African Assessment”, South African Journal of Economics, 83(3), pp. 425-451. Asongu, S. A. & De Moor, L., (2017). “Financial Globalisation Dynamic Thresholds for Financial Development: Evidence from Africa”, The European Journal of Development Research, 29(1), pp. 192–212. Baltagi B., P.Demitriade and S.H. Law (2007). “Financial Development, Openness and Institutions: Evidence from Panel Data”, Paper presented at the conference on new perspectives on financial globalisation of the IMF, April 26-27, 2007. Banya, R. & Biekpe, N. (2017). “Banking Efficiency and its determinants in selected Frontier African Markets”, Economic Change and Restructuring. DOI: 10.1007/s10644-016-9200-3. Batuo, M. E., & Asongu, S. A, (2015). “The impact of liberalisation policies on income inequality in African countries”, Journal of Economic Studies, 42(1), pp. 68-100. Beck, T., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R., (2003). “Law, Endowment and Finance”, Journal of Financial Economics, 70(2), pp. 137-81. Bekaert, G., Harvey C., & Lundbald, C., (2006), “Growth Volatility and Financial Liberalisation”, Journal of international Money and Finance, 25(3), pp. 370-403. Biekpe, N., (2011). “The Competitiveness of Commercial Banks in Ghana”, African Development Review, 23(1), pp. 75–87. Blundell, R., & Bond,S., (1998), “Initial Condition and Moment Restriction in Dynamic Panel Data Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87 (1),pp. 115-143. Bonfiglioli, A., & Mendicino, C., (2004). “Financial Liberalisation, Banking Crises and Growth: Assessing the links”, SSE/EFI Working Paper No 567, Stockholm. Caprio, G. Jr & Klingebiel, D., (1996), ‘Banking Insolvency; Bad Luck, Bad Policy or Bad Banking’ Presented at the Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics. Chinn, M.D., & Ito, H., (2002). “Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions, and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence”, NBER Working Paper, No. 8967, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Chortareas, G., Magkonis, G. Moschos, D., & Panagiotidis T., (2015). “Financial Development and Economic Activity in advanced and developing open economies: Evidence from Panel Cointegration”, Review of Development Economics: Forthcoming. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/rode.12132/full Daniel, B.C. & Jones J. B., (2007), “Financial Liberalization and Banking Crises in Emerging Economies”, Journal of international Economics, 72(1), 202-221. Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Detragiache, E., (2001), “Financial Liberalisation and Financial fragility’, in Caprio, P.Honahan and J.E. Stigilitz (eds), Financial Liberalisation: How Far, How Fast? Cambridge University Press. Demirguc-Kunt, A. & Levine, R., (1996), “Stock Markets, Corporate Finance and Economic Growth: An Overview”, The World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), pp. 223-40. Demirguc-Kunt, A. & Levine, R., (1999), " Bank Based and Market Based Financial System: cross- country comparisons", the World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 2143, Washington. Desai, M. A., Foley, C. F., & Hines Jr. J. R., (2006), “Capital Controls, Liberalisations and Foreign Direct Investment’, Review of Financial Studies, 19(4), pp.1433-1464. Diaz-Alejandro, C., (1985), “Goodbye Financial Repression Hello Financial Crash,” Journal of Development Economics, 19(1-2), pp.1-24. Dimitras, A., Kyriakou,M. & Latridis G., (2015), “Financial crisis, GDP variation and earning managment in Europe”, Research in International Business and Finance, Vol 34, 338-335 Dobson, W., & Huffbauer, C. G., (2001). “World Capital Markets: Challenge to the G10”. Institute for international Economics, Washington. Mackenzia, D., (2001), “ The Credit Crisis as a Problem in the Sociology of Knowledge”, American Journal of Sociology, 116(6), pp.1778-1841 Edison, H. J., Klein, M. W., Ricci, L. A., & Sloek, T., (2002). “Capital account liberalization and Economic Performance: survey and synthesis”, Journal of international Money and Finance 21(6), pp. 749-776 Edwards, S., (2001), “Capital Mobility and Economic Performance: Are Emerging Economies Different?”, NBER Working Paper No. 8076, Cambridge. Eggoh C., (2008) “Financial Development , Financial Instability and Growth: A Reappraisal” Law, Economics and Management Faculty, University of Orleans. Eichengreen , B., & Mussa, M., (1998), “Capital Account Liberalisation and IMF”. Financial and Development, 35(4) http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/1998/12/eichen.htm#author (Accessed:11/08/2016). Eichengreen, B & Arteta, C., (2002), ‘Banking Crises in Emerging Market: Presumption and Evidence’. In: M. I. Blejer and M. Skreb (eds), Financial Policies in Emerging Markets. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press. Eichengreen, B., (2001), ‘Capital Account Liberalisation: What Do the Cross Country Studies Tell us?’ University of California, Berkeley Mimeo. Eichengreen, B., & Leblang, D., (2003), ‘Capital account liberalisation and Growth; Was Mr. Mahathir Right?’ International Journal of Finance and Economics, 8(3), pp.205-204. Ekpenyong, D.E. (1994), “Financial distress banks: nature and implication,” The Nigerian Banker, The Chartered Institute of Banker of Nigeria, Lagos, April-June. Enowbi-Batuo, M., & Kupukile, M., (2010). “How can economic and political liberalization improve financial development in African countries?” Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 2, (1), pp. 35-59. Fry, M., (1997), “In Favour of Financial Liberalisation,” The Economic Journal, 107(442), pp. 754-770. Helleiner, G. K. (1998). Capital Account Regime and Developing Countries (London: Macmillian Press). Gallegati, M., Giulioni, G., & Kichiji, N., (2003). “Complex Dynamc and Financial Fragility in an Agent based model”. Advance in Complex Systems, 6(3), pp. 267-282. Gibson, H. D., & Tsakalatos, E. (1994). “The Scope and Limits of Financial Liberalisation in Developing Countries: A Critical Survey”, Journal of Development Studies, 30(3), pp.578-628. Goldberg, C. A., & Veitch, J. M., (2010). “Country risk and financial integration--A case study of South Africa”, Research in International Business and Finance, 24(2), pp. 138-145. Goldsmith, R. (1969). Financial Structure and Development, New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Goldstein, M., Carmen, R & Kaminsky, G. (2000). “Assessing financial Vulnerability: An Early Warming System for emerging Markets”, Institute for international Economics, Washington. Herrero, G., & Del Rio, P., (2003). “Financial stability and the design of monetary policy”. Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 0315, Madrid. Greenwald, B., & Stiglitz, J.E. (1988). “Information, Finance Constraints and Business Fluctuations”, in Kahn, M., and Tsiang, S. C. (eds) Oxford University Press, Oxford. Guillaumont P., Jeanneney S. G., & Brun, J. F., (1999). “How Instability lowers African Growth” Journal of African Economies, 8(1), pp.87-107. Guillaumont, S., & Kpodar, R., (2004).” Financial Development, Financial instability and Poverty” Working Paper No. 2004-13, CERDI, Clermont Ferrand. Hellmann, T.F., Murdock, K.C. & Stiglitz, J. E., (2000). “Liberalisation, Moral Hazards in Banking and Prudential Regulation: Are Capital Requirements Enough?” American Economic Review, 90(1), pp. 147-165. Henry P. B., (2000), “Stock Market liberalisation, economic reform and emerging market equity prices”. Journal of Finance, 55(2), pp. 529-564. Henry, P. B., (2007), “Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence and Speculation” Journal of Economic Literature, 45(4), pp. 887-935. Jolliffe, I. T., (2002). Principal Component Analysis (2nd Ed.), New York: Springer. Kaminsky, G., & Reinhart, C. M., (1999), “The Twin Crises: Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payment Problems”, American Economic Review, 89(3), pp. 473-500. Kaminsky, G., & Schmukler S., (2002), “Short- Run Pain, Long Run Gain: The Effect of Financial liberalisation”, Mimeo. Kaminsky, G., & Sergio S., (2002), “Short- Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effect of Financial Liberalisation”, Mimeo Kasekende, L. A., & Atingi-Ego, M., (1999), “Impact of liberalisation on the key markets in Sub Saharan Africa, the case of Uganda,” Journal of International Development, 11(3), pp.411-35 Keynes J. M. (1973), “The ex ante Theory of the Rate of Interest” The Economic Journal. December, and The General Theory and After, Part II Defence and Development, Macmillan for the Royal Society, p. 215-223. Klomp, J., & Haan J., (2009), “Central Bank Independence and Financial Instability”, Journal of Financial Stability, 5(4), pp. 321-338. Kose, M. A., Prasad E. S, & Terrones, M. E., (2007), “How Does Financial Globalisation Affect Risk Sharing? Patterns and Channels”, IMF working papers No. 07-238, Washington. Kose, M. A., Prasad, E. S., & Taylor, A. D. (2011) “Threshold in the process of international financial integration”, Journal of International Money and Finance 30(1), pp. 147-179. Kose, M. A., Prasad, E. S., Rogoff, K., & Wei, S. J. (2006). “Financial globalization: a reappraisal”, IMF Staff Papers 56(1), pp. 8-62. Laeven, L., & Valencia, F., (2008), “System Banking Crises: A New Database”, IMF Working Paper No. 224, International Monetary Fund, Washington. Levine R., (2001). “International Financial Liberalisation and Economic Growth”, Review of International Economics, 9(4), pp. 688-702. Levine, R., Loayza N. & Thorsten B., (2000), “Financial intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 46(1), pp. 31-77. Loayza R. & Ranciere, R., (2002) “ Financial Development, Financial Instability and Growth” CESifo Working Paper No. 684, Munich. Martin P., & Rey H., (2002), “Financial Globalisation and Emerging Markets: With or Without Cash?” NBER Working Papers 9288, Cambridge. Mckinnon, R. I. (1973), Money and Capital in Economic Development, Brooking Institution, Washington, DC. Minsky, H., (1982) . The Financial Instability Hypothesis: capitalist processes and the behaviour of the economy,in Kindleberger, Ch.and Jean-Pierre Laffargue(ed) Minsky, H., (1992). “The Financial Instability Hypothesis”, The Jerome Levy Economics Institute of College, Working Paper, No.74 , New York. Mishkin, F., (2003). “Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crisies in Emerging Market Countries,” in Martin Feldstein,ed., Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries (University of Chicago Press: Chicago):93-130. Motelle, S., & Biekpe, N., (2015). “Financial integration and stability in the Southern African development community”, Journal of Economics and Business, 79(May-June, 2015), pp. 100-117. Murinde, V., (2010), “Bank regulation in Africa: From Basel I to Basel II and now at a cross roads”, AERC Seminar, April 2010, Nairobi. Naude, W., (1995), “Financial Liberalisation and Interest Rate Risk Management in Sub- Saharan Africa”, CSAE Working Paper No.12, Oxford: Centre for the Study of African Economies. Oshikoya, T. W. (1992), “Interest Rate Liberalisation, Saving, Investment and Growth: the Case of Kenya”, Saving and Development, 16(3), pp. 305-320. Nelson, S. C., & Katzenstein, P. J., (2011). “Uncertainty, Risk and Financial Crisis in 2008”, Department of Political Sciences, Northwestern University. https://www.princeton.edu/politics/about/file-repository/public/Nelson-and-Katzenstein-Uncertainty-Risk-and-Crisis-IO-FINAL_07-16-13.pdf (Accessed: 26/01/2014). Rajan R., & Zingale L., (2003), “The Great Reversals: the politics of financial Development in the 20th Century”, Journal of Financial Economics, 69(1), pp.5-50. Reinhart, C. M., & Tokatlidis, I., (2003), “Financial Liberalisation: The African Experience”, Journal of African Economies, 12 (AERC supplement 2), pp.53-88. Rodrik, D., & Subramanian, A. (2009). “Why did financial globalization disappoint?”, IMF Staff Papers, 56(1), pp. 112-138. Rogoff, K., (1999) . “International institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 13(4), pp. 21-42. Schumpeter, J.A. (1912/1934), The theory of Economic development, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Seck, D., & El Nil, Y.H. (1993), “Financial Liberalisation in Africa”, World Development, 21, (11), pp.1867-1881. Shaw, E.S. (1973), Financial Deepening in Economic Development, Oxford University Press, New York, NY. Stiglitz, J. & Weiss, A. (1981) . “Credit Rationing in Market with Imperfect Information”, American Economic Review, 71(3), pp. 393-410. Tchamyou, S. V., (2016). “The Role of Knowledge Economy in African Business”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-016-0417-1. Tchamyou, S. V., & Asongu, S. A., (2017). “Information Sharing and Financial Sector Development in Africa”, Journal of African Business, 18(1), pp. 24-49. Tornell, A., Westermann, F., & Martinez, L., (2004). “The Positive Link between Financial Liberalization, Growth and Crisis”. NBER Working paper 10293, Cambridge. Williamson, J. & Mahar, M., (1998), “A Survey of Financial Liberalisation”, Essay in International Finance No.211. New Jersey: Princeton University Printing Services. World Bank (2010). World Development indicators, World Bank, Washington, DC. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/82641 |