Attavanich, Witsanu (2017): Impact of the First-Time Car Buyer Program on the Environmental Cost of Air Pollution in Bangkok.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_83170.pdf Download (900kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Despite facing with the air pollution caused by traffic congestion ranked top ten in the world, the Thai government launched a tax refund policy for first time car buyers between 16 September 2011 and 31 December 2012 aiming to give an opportunity to low-to-middle income people to own their first car with discounted price and stimulate economic growth. Although past studies evaluated the impacts of the program on several aspects, the environment aspect has been ignored. The objective of this study is therefore to evaluate the impact of the first-time car buyer program on environmental cost of air pollution in Bangkok using hourly air pollution records from monitoring stations for five major pollutants and the happiness data. The article finds that the program increased the levels of air pollution. Using the estimated willingness to pay for a unit reduction of each pollutant, this study reveals that the value of total environmental cost generated from the program is approximately equal to $6.173 billion dollars annually.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Impact of the First-Time Car Buyer Program on the Environmental Cost of Air Pollution in Bangkok |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | First-Time Car Buyer Program; Environmental Cost; Air Pollution; Bangkok; Subjective Well-Being; Interrupted Time Series; Program Evaluation |
Subjects: | Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q51 - Valuation of Environmental Effects Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q53 - Air Pollution ; Water Pollution ; Noise ; Hazardous Waste ; Solid Waste ; Recycling Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q58 - Government Policy |
Item ID: | 83170 |
Depositing User: | Witsanu Attavanich |
Date Deposited: | 10 Dec 2017 16:05 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:26 |
References: | Bangkok Post. 2016. City traffic jams burn up B97m of fuel a day. Published: 1/09/2016 at 11:55 AM. Accessed April 3, 2017 http://www.bangkokpost.com/print/1075777/ Bureau of the Budget. 2014. The first-time car buyer program. Monitoring and Evaluation Report for fiscal year 2013. Accessed April 1, 2017 http://www.bb.go.th/iWebTemp/25600401/ulmmn4554g1wfr2vjjnn3ieo191249.PDF Cady-Pereira, K. E., Payne, V. H., Neu, J. L., Bowman, K. W., Miyazaki, K., Marais, E. A., Kulawik, S., Tzompa-Sosa, Z. A., and Hegarty, J. D. 2017. Seasonal and Spatial Changes in Trace Gases over Megacities from AURA TES Observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., doi:10.5194/acp-2017-110, in review. Clark, A.E., Oswald, A.J. 1994. Unhappiness and unemployment. Economic Journal 104: 648– 659. Cohen A et al. 2004. Mortality impacts of urban air pollution. In: Ezzati M et al., eds. Comparative quantification of health risks: global and regional burden of disease attributable to selected major risk factors. Geneva, World Health Organization: 1353 –1434. Davis, L.W. 2008. The effect of driving restrictions on air quality in Mexico City. Journal of Political Economy 116(1), pp.38-81. Dayer, M.J., Jones, S., Prendergast, B., Baddour, L.M., Lockhart, P.B. and Thornhill, M.H., 2015. Incidence of infective endocarditis in England, 2000–13: a secular trend, interrupted time-series analysis. The Lancet 385(9974), pp.1219-1228. Department of Land Transport. 2016. The number of registered cars in Bangkok. Accessed April 3, 2017 http://apps.dlt.go.th/statistics_web/newcar.html Excise Department. 2013. Summary of the first-time car buyer program. Accessed April 3, 2017 http://www.fpo.go.th/FPO/modules/Content/getfile.php?contentfileID=3853 Gillings, D., D. Makuc, and E. Siegel. 1981. Analysis of interrupted time series mortality trends: an example to evaluate regionalized perinatal care. American Journal of Public Health 71: 38-46. Haraguchi, M. and Lall, U., 2015. Flood risks and impacts: A case study of Thailand’s floods in 2011 and research questions for supply chain decision making. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 14, pp.256-272. Katsouyanni K, Touloumi G, Samoli E, Gryparis A, Le Tertre A, Monopolis Y, Rossi G, Zmirou D, Ballester F, Boumghar A, Anderson HR, Wojtyniak B, Paldy A, Braunstein R, Pekkanen J, Schindler C, Schwartz J Epidemiology. 2001. Confounding and effect modification in the short-term effects of ambient particles on total mortality: results from 29 European cities within the APHEA2 project. Sep; 12(5):521-31. Chuersuwan N, Nimrat S, Lekphet S, Kerdkumrai. 2008. Levels and major sources of PM2.5 and PM10 in Bangkok Metropolitan Region. T Environ Int 34(5): 671-7. Levinson, A. 2012. Valuing public goods using happiness data: The case of air quality. Journal of Public Economics 96: 869-880. Luttmer, Erzo F.P. 2005. Neighbors as negatives: relative earnings and well-being. Quarterly Journal of Economics 120 (3): 963–1002. Muller, A. 2004. Florida's motorcycle helmet law repeal and fatality rates. American Journal of Public Health 94: 556-558. Nerlove, Marc, David M. Grether, and Jose´ L. Carvalho. 1979. Analysis of economic time series. New York: Academic Press. Noparumpa, T., and Saengchote, K. 2017. The impact of tax rebate on used car market: Evidence from Thailand. International Review of Finance 17: 147–154. doi: 10.1111/irfi.12094. PCD (Pollution Control Department) 2010. Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. Annual Air Quality [in Thai] Accessed April 3, 2017 http://aqnis.pcd.go.th Pearson, T., Campbell, M.J. and Maheswaran, R. 2016. Acute effects of aircraft noise on cardiovascular admissions–an interrupted time-series analysis of a six-day closure of London Heathrow Airport caused by volcanic ash. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology 18: 38-43. Phetcharat, S., R. Buntan and S. Chintarat. 2015. Impact from the Government's first car policy on traffic volume and travel speed in Bangkok. Journal of Science and Technology 23(5): 854-866. Powdthavee, Nattavudh. 2009. How much does money really matter? Estimating the causal effects of income on happiness. Empirical Economics 39 (1): 77–92. Prais, S. J., and C. B. Winsten. 1954. Trend estimators and serial correlation. Working paper 383, Cowles Commission. http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/ccdp/st/s-0383.pdf Wong CM, Vichit-Vadakan N, Kan H, Qian Z. 2008. Public health and air pollution in Asia (PAPA): a multicity study of short-term effects of air pollution on mortality. Environ Health Perspect 116(9):1195-202. Ruchirawat, M., Settachan, D., Navasumrit, P., Tuntawiroon, J. and Autrup, H. 2007. Assessment of potential cancer risk in children exposed to urban air pollution in Bangkok, Thailand. Toxicology letters, 168(3): 200-209. Stallings-Smith, S., Zeka, A., Goodman, P., Kabir, Z. and Clancy, L. 2013. Reductions in cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and respiratory mortality following the national Irish smoking ban: interrupted time-series analysis. PloS one 8(4): 62063. Seinfeld, John H., and Spyros N. Pandis. 1998. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics: From Air Pollution to Climate Change. New York: Wiley. Welsch, H. 2002. Preferences over prosperity and pollution: environmental valuation based on happiness surveys. Kyklos 55: 473-494. Welsch, H. 2006. Environment and happiness: valuation of air pollution using life satisfaction data. Ecological Economics 58: 801–813. WHO. 2017. Accessed April 3, 2017 http://www.who.int/phe/health_topics/outdoorair/databases/cities/en/ WHO. 2016. Mortality due to air pollution, world health statistics. 2016 Accessed April 3, 2017 http://www.who.int/gho/publications/world_health_statistics/2016/whs2016_AnnexA_MortalityAirPollution.pdf?ua=1&ua=1 William R.. Shadish, Cook, T.D. and Campbell, D.T. 2002. Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for generalized causal inference. Wadsworth Cengage learning. Yinon, L. and Thurston, G., 2017. An evaluation of the health benefits achieved at the time of an air quality intervention in three Israeli cities. Environment International. Zellner, A. 1962. An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias. Journal of the American Statistical Association 57: 348–368. Zhang, B. Top 5 Most Expensive Natural Disasters in History. Accessed April 3, 2017 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/top-5-most-expensive-natural-d/47459 Zhang, X., Zhang, X. and Chen, X. 2017. Valuing Air Quality Using Happiness Data: The Case of China. Ecological Economics 137: 29-36. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/83170 |