Fanti, Lucrezia (2018): An AB-SFC Model of Induced Technical Change along Classical and Keynesian Lines.
This is the latest version of this item.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_87469.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper introduces the classical idea about the so-called directed and induced technical change (ITC) within a Keynesian demand-side and evolutionary endogenous growth model in order to analyze the interplay among technical change, long-run economic growth and functional income distribution. An ITC process is analyzed within an Agent-Based Stock-Flow Consistent (AB-SFC) model, wherein credit-constrained heterogeneous firms choose both the intensity and the direction of the innovation towards a labor- or capital-saving choice of technique. In the long-run, the model reproduces the so-called Kaldor stylized facts (i.e. with a purely labor-saving technical change), however during the transitional phase the model shows a labor-saving/capital-using innovation pattern, as the aggregate output-capital ratio decreases until it stabilizes in the long-run, as well as declining labor share for long time periods and we can ascribe these evidences mainly to the directed technical change process. In order to stress the effective role of the innovation bias on the model dynamics, we compare the baseline scenario with a counterfactual scenario wherein a neutral technical progress is at work.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | An AB-SFC Model of Induced Technical Change along Classical and Keynesian Lines |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Agent-Based Macroeconomics; Stock-Flow Consistent Models; Induced Technical Change; Directed Innovation; Choice of Techniques; Labor Share; Growth and Distribution. |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E24 - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational Income Distribution ; Aggregate Human Capital ; Aggregate Labor Productivity E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E25 - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O33 - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences ; Diffusion Processes O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O41 - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models |
Item ID: | 87469 |
Depositing User: | Lucrezia Fanti |
Date Deposited: | 01 Jul 2018 03:46 |
Last Modified: | 16 Oct 2019 04:51 |
References: | Acemoglu, D. (1998). Why Do New Technologies Complement Skills? Directed Technical Change and Wage Inequality. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(4):1055–1089. Acemoglu, D. (2002). Directed Technical Change. Review of Economic Studies, 69(4):781–809. Acemoglu, D. (2003). Labor- and Capital- Augmenting Technical Change. Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(1):1–37. Acemoglu, D. (2014). Localized and Biased Technologies: Atkinson and Stiglitz’s New View, In- duced Innovations, and Directed Technological Change. NBER Working Papers 20060, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Arthur, B. W., Darlauf, S. N., and Lane, D. (1997). The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, volume 27. Addison-Wesley Reading, MA. Atkinson, A. B. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1969). A New View of Technological Change. Economic Journal, 79(315):573–578. Bassanini, A. and Manfredi, T. (2014). Capital’s Grabbing Hand? A Cross-Country/Cross-Industry Analysis of the Decline of the Labour Share. Eurasian Business Review, 4(1):3–30. Bentolila, S. and Saint-Paul, G. (2003). Explaining Movements in the Labor Share. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 3(1):1–33. Blanchard, O. (1997). The medium run. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 28(2):89–158. Caiani, A., Catullo, E., and Gallegati, M. (2017a). The Effects of Fiscal Targets in a Currency Union: A Multi-Country Agent Based-Stock Flow Consistent Model. SSNR. Caiani, A., Godin, A., Caverzasi, E., Gallegati, M., Kinsella, S., and Stiglitz, J. E. (2016). Agent based-stock flow consistent macroeconomics: Towards a benchmark model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 69(C):375–408. Caiani, A., Russo, A., and Gallegati, M. (2017b). Are higher wages good for business? An assess- ment under alternative innovation and investment scenarios. MPRA Paper 80439, University Library of Munich, Germany. Caiani, A., Russo, A., and Gallegati, M. (2018). Does Inequality Hamper Innovation and Growth? Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 28:1–52. Calvino, F. and Virgillito, M. E. (2018). The Innovation-Employment nexus: a critical survey of theory and empirics. Journal of Economic Surveys, 32(1). Delli Gatti, D., Gaffeo, E., Gallegati, M., Giulioni, G., and Palestrini, A. (2007). Emergent Macroe- conomics: an Agent-Based Model of Business Fluctuations. Springer. Delli Gatti, D., Gallegati, M., and Russo, A. (2006). Technological Innovation, Financial Fragility and Complex Dynamics. In Economic Growth and Distribution: on the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, Salvadori, N. Ed., pages 311–330. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK. Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., and Roventini, A. (2010). Schumpeter meeting Keynes: A policy-friendly model of endogenous growth and business cycles. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34(9):1748–1767. Dosi, G., Pereira, M. C., Roventini, A., and Virgillito, M. E. (2017). When more flexibility yields more fragility : the microfoundations of keynesian aggregate unemployment. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 81:162–186. Dosi, G., Sodini, M., and Virgillito, M. E. (2015). Profit-driven and demand-driven investment growth and fluctuations in different accumulation regimes. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, pages 707–728. Dosi, G. and Virgillito, M. E. (2016). The Schumpeterian and the Keynesian Stiglitz: Learning, Coordination Hurdles and Growth Trajectories. LEM Papers Series 2016/20, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. Drandakis, E. M. and Phelps, E. S. (1966). A Model of Induced Invention, Growth and Distribution. Economic Journal, 76(304):823–840. Dumenil, G. and Levy, D. (1999). Being keynesian in the short term and classical in the long term: The traverse to classical long-term equilibrium. Manchester School, 67(6):684–716. Dumenil, G. and Levy, D. (2003). Technology and distribution: Historical trajectories a la marx. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 52(2):201–233. Foley, D. K. (2003a). Endogenous technical change with externalities in a classical growth model. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 52(2):167–189. Foley, D. K. (2003b). Unholy Trinity: Labor, Capital and Land in the New Economy. Routeledge. Foley, D. K. and Michl, T. R. (1999). Growth and Distribution. Harvard University Press. Godley, W. and Lavoie, M. (2006). Monetary Economics: an Integrated Approach to Credit,Money, Income, Production and Wealth. Palgrave Macmillan. Grossman, G. M. and Helpman, E. (1991). Trade, Knowledge Spillovers, and Growth. European Economic Review, 35(2). Habakkuk, J. H. (1962). American and British Technology in the Nineteenth Century. Cambridge University Press. Hicks, J. (1932). Theory of Wages. Macmillan. Howitt, P. and Aghion, P. (1998). Capital Accumulation and Innovation as Complementary Factors in Long-Run Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 3(2):111–130. Hutchinson, J. and Persyn, D. (2012). Globalisation, concentration and footloose firms: in search of the main cause of the declining labour share. Review of World Economics, 148(1):17–43. Jones, C. (2005). The shape of production functions and the direction of technical change. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(2):517–549. Jones, C. I. (2015). The Facts of Economic Growth. Nber working papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Kaldor, N. (1957). A Model of Economic Growth. The Economic Journal, 67(268):591–624. Kalecki, M. (1971). Selected Essays on the Dynamics of the Capitalist Economy. Cambridge University Press. Karabarbounis, L. and Neiman, B. (2014). The Global Decline of the Labor Share. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(1):61–103. Kennedy, C. (1964). Induced bias in innovation and the theory of distribution. The Economic Journal, 74(295):541–547. Kirman, A. (2010). Complex Economics. Individual and Collective Rationality. Routledge. Lavoie, M. and Stockhammer, E. (2012). Wage-led growth : concepts, theories and policies. ILO Working Papers 41, International Labour Organization. Nakatani, T. (1979). Price competition and technical choice. Kobe University Economic Review, 25:66–77. Napoletano, M., Dosi, G., Fagiolo, G., and Roventini, A. (2012). Wage Formation, Investment Behavior and Growth Regimes: An Agent-Based Analysis. Revue de l’OFCE, 0(5):235–261. OECD (2012). Labour Losing to Capital: What explains the declining Labour Share? Working paper, Employment Outlook, Paris. OECD (2015). The Labor Share in G20 Economies. Working paper, International Labour Organi- zation (ILO) and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Okishio, N. (1961). Technical changes and the rate of profit. Kobe University Economic Review, 7:86–99. Park, C.-S. (2001). Criteria of Technical Choice and Evolution of Technical Change. Research in Political Economy, 19:87–106. Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press. Riccetti, L., Russo, A., and Gallegati, M. (2015). An Agent Based Decentralized Matching Macroe- conomic Model. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 10(2):305–332. Romer, P. (1989). Capital Accumulation In The Theory Of Long Run Growth. In Modern Business Cycle Theory, Barro, J., Ed., pages 51–127. Harvard University Press, New York. Salter, W. E. G. (1962). Productivity and Technical Change. Cambridge University Press. Samuelson, P. (1965). A Theory of Induced Innovation along Kennedy-Weisz ̈acker Lines. Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(4):343–356. Shaikh, A. (1978). Political Economy and Capitalism: Notes on Dobb’s Theory of Crisis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2:233–251. Shaikh, A. (1999). Explaining the Global Economic Crisis: a Critique of Brenner. Historical Materialism, 5:103–144. Shaikh, A. (2016). Capitalism. Competition, Conflict and Crises. Oxford University Press. Stiglitz, J. E. (2012). The Price of Inequality: How Today’s Divided Society Endangers Our Future. W.W. Norton Company. Stiglitz, J. E. (2015). Unemployment and Innovation. Working Papers Series 1, Institute for New Economic Thinking. Stiglitz, J. E. (2016). New Theoretical Perspectives on the Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals, volume Basu K., Stiglitz J.E. (eds) Inequality and Growth: Patterns and Policy. International Economic Association Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. Stiglitz, J. E. and Greenwald, B. (2015). Creating a Learning Society. A New Approach to Growth, Development and Social Progress. Columbia University Press. Stockhammer, E. (2013). Why have wage shares fallen? A panel analysis of the determinants of functional income distribution: for the International Labour Organisation (ILO) project "New Perspectives on Wages and Economi. ILO Working Papers 994709133402676, In- ternational Labour Organization. Sylos-Labini, P. (1983). Factors affecting changes in productivity. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 6(2):161–179. Van Der Ploeg, F. (1987). Growth cycles, induced technical change, and perpetual conflict over the distribution of income. Journal of Macroeconomics, 9(1):1–12. Zamparelli, L. (2015). Induced Innovation, Endogenous Technical Change and Income Distribution in a Labor-Constrained Model of Classical Growth. Metroeconomica, 66(2):243–262. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/87469 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
An AB-SFC Model of Induced Technical Change along Classical and Keynesian Lines. (deposited 28 May 2018 14:39)
- An AB-SFC Model of Induced Technical Change along Classical and Keynesian Lines. (deposited 01 Jul 2018 03:46) [Currently Displayed]